Palatable-Avalanche — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$5.08K

Unrealized P&L

+$79

Hit rate

68.4%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

945

3,836 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$157.9K

$562.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

$147

Open exposure

$10.1K

21 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-30 01:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 95 days

Categories

Other

63% 63% +$5,944

Politics

27% 55% -$4,626

Tech

6% 65% -$2,531

Crypto

5% 67% +$350

Sports

0% 67% +$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day

Open positions (21) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	+2,101	$751	100¢	$2.1K	+$1,344	10-28 23:51
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	-1,700	-$1,221	86¢	$-1468	-$247	09-16 18:13
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	+1,438	$705	99¢	$1.4K	+$715	10-29 01:51
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	No	-1,160	-$1,134	98¢	$-1134	+$1	09-11 02:21
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-1,000	-$940	100¢	$-995	-$55	06-13 06:30
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	+1,000	$850	93¢	$928	+$78	07-05 04:05
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+644	$2,427	84¢	$538	-$1,889	08-20 14:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-500	-$265	92¢	$-462	-$197	06-07 01:16
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	+433	-$249	92¢	$401	+$649	09-08 14:53
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-398	-$376	99¢	$-395	-$19	06-06 21:58
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Yes	+200	$101	59¢	$118	+$17	06-16 11:27
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+644	$390	16¢	$106	-$284	08-20 16:25
USDC depeg by December 31?	No	+30	$30	99¢	$30	$0	10-23 02:22
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?	Yes	+100	$34	20¢	$20	-$13	10-05 23:23
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?	No	+15	$12	79¢	$12	+$0	08-30 06:14
natoeu troops fighting in ukraine by december 31 2026	No	+7	$7	96¢	$7	+$0	08-13 08:43
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?	No	+4	$3	97¢	$4	+$1	06-02 23:40
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?	Yes	+15	$3	21¢	$3	+$0	05-05 21:07
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-3	-$1	9¢	$-0	+$1	06-01 23:47
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?	Yes	+1	-$22	3¢	$0	+$22	06-02 23:38
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	+0	$45	6¢	$0	-$45	10-04 05:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us collect less than 100b in revenue in 2025	115	$39.3K	22,370	21,129	+1,240	Yes	+$2,347	02-28 15:23
will a dozen eggs cost between 2pt252pt50 in march	311	$30.5K	26,417	30,913	-4,496	Yes	+$2,692	04-10 14:20
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	40	$26.9K	20,288	18,999	+1,289	open	—	08-20 16:25
nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	49	$26.4K	25,993	10,612	+15,381	No	-$5,041	08-20 17:40
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?	25	$23.9K	23,682	11,881	+11,801	Yes	+$158	09-01 18:10
Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?	11	$20.1K	10,131	10,131	+0	Yes	+$150	09-02 15:45
will a minecraft movie be the top grossing movie of 2025	1	$20.0K	0	20,000	-20,000	Yes	-$20	01-05 00:39
Zama auction clearing price above $0.05?	115	$17.6K	19,553	13,688	+5,865	No	-$1,736	01-26 12:14
Zama auction clearing price above $0.04?	22	$10.7K	8,309	8,015	+294	Yes	+$258	01-26 00:59
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	8	$10.2K	6,000	6,000	+0	Yes	+$4	04-08 00:14
Will Reform UK win at least 2200 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	12	$10.1K	10,142	0	+10,142	No	+$10	05-11 14:56
Will Reform UK win at least 2000 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	2	$10.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	+$10	05-09 06:30
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$10.0K	5,000	5,000	+0	Yes	+$10	04-08 00:12
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	24	$9.6K	5,882	5,702	+180	No	+$454	04-22 00:52
nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	38	$9.0K	7,240	7,240	+0	open	—	08-20 16:30
will superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025 845	1	$7.7K	0	7,740	-7,740	Yes	-$8	01-05 00:43
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	20	$7.7K	5,125	5,125	+0	Yes	-$420	03-04 02:33
gpt ads by march 31 269 364 978	19	$6.9K	3,302	3,940	-637	Yes	-$29	01-26 15:02
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	19	$6.9K	4,427	3,994	+433	open	—	09-08 14:53
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?	138	$6.7K	1,761	9,901	-8,140	No	-$417	06-26 23:16
will a dozen eggs cost between 2pt502pt75 in march	226	$6.7K	13,344	6,449	+6,895	No	+$236	04-10 14:40
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?	17	$6.2K	4,034	4,034	+0	No	+$135	01-27 07:43
will lilo and stitch be the second highest grossing movie of 2025	6	$6.1K	333	5,732	-5,398	Yes	-$5	01-05 08:36
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?	12	$5.8K	3,200	3,200	+0	No	+$174	01-27 08:01
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026?	52	$5.6K	2,174	6,996	-4,822	Yes	+$361	06-19 08:20
Will Ethena reach $1.20 by December 31, 2026?	2	$5.6K	5,735	0	+5,735	open	—	09-29 00:17
Zama auction clearing price above $0.06?	19	$5.1K	7,217	5,217	+2,000	No	-$189	01-25 22:32
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	10	$4.7K	4,233	2,133	+2,101	open	—	10-28 23:51
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	26	$4.6K	3,488	3,988	-500	No	-$352	02-02 03:03
Will the next Google Gemini Flash model be released on September 2, 2026?	11	$4.6K	2,343	2,343	+0	Yes	+$58	09-02 15:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 01:19:51	Will Ethena reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	41	92¢	$38	0xffcb43…
10-30 01:04:40	Will Ethena reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	123	91¢	$112	0xbb0e58…
10-30 01:04:24	Will Ethena dip to $0.12 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	297	74¢	$219	0x127496…
10-30 00:34:12	GHO depeg by December 31?	No	BUY	163	95¢	$155	0x4686b2…
10-30 00:33:58	USDTb depeg by December 31?	No	BUY	36	93¢	$33	0x4c7fac…
10-29 21:02:46	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.50 and $2.60 in October?	No	BUY	257	100¢	$257	0x91a935…
10-29 20:57:55	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	444	32¢	$143	0xe41caf…
10-29 19:16:12	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.50 and $2.60 in October?	No	BUY	178	98¢	$175	0x7a07d0…
10-29 19:08:18	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	518	32¢	$166	0x232e3a…
10-29 17:41:28	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	2,000	87¢	$1,740	0x6deab3…
10-29 17:27:32	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	32	20¢	$6	0x9d8acb…
10-29 13:38:44	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.30 and $2.40 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xce6d55…
10-29 13:38:44	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.30 and $2.40 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x2c813f…
10-29 10:36:31	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.50 and $2.60 in October?	No	BUY	660	98¢	$647	0x508244…
10-29 08:56:47	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.30 and $2.40 in October?	Yes	BUY	13	19¢	$2	0xb7e8c1…
10-29 08:56:47	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.50 and $2.60 in October?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x6ac212…
10-29 01:51:29	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	479	97¢	$467	0x381530…
10-29 01:11:23	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00 and $2.10 in October?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x688699…
10-29 01:09:55	Will Ethena reach $0.70 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	103	95¢	$98	0xd97275…
10-28 23:52:11	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	Yes	BUY	157	51¢	$81	0x05cc35…
10-28 23:51:49	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	700	98¢	$686	0x7cdac2…
10-28 23:49:43	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xbcd3d9…
10-28 23:49:43	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x7d19f2…
10-28 23:49:43	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0x767a1c…
10-28 23:47:26	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	Yes	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x729f22…
10-28 23:46:49	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	Yes	SELL	170	58¢	$99	0x121e03…
10-28 23:46:47	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	Yes	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0x237272…
10-28 23:44:34	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	Yes	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0xd1f691…
10-28 23:44:34	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	Yes	BUY	22	58¢	$13	0x434e34…
10-28 23:42:02	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	Yes	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0xbd1ade…
10-28 23:42:01	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	Yes	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0xb06bbc…
10-28 23:38:02	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xbe4d91…
10-28 23:35:50	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	No	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x95791c…
10-28 23:35:47	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	Yes	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0xbd7f52…
10-28 23:35:47	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x731177…
10-28 23:34:44	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x72c0cb…
10-28 23:33:17	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	Yes	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0xb93776…
10-28 23:33:17	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x76249f…
10-28 23:30:04	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	Yes	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0x377769…
10-28 23:25:46	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x556c1a…
10-28 23:23:47	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x3c5006…
10-28 23:20:53	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	Yes	BUY	72	47¢	$34	0xd636d7…
10-28 23:19:44	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	Yes	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x85c7f6…
10-28 23:17:04	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	Yes	BUY	95	48¢	$46	0x649394…
10-28 23:11:17	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	No	BUY	84	50¢	$42	0x89774a…
10-28 23:11:11	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x6f8c75…
10-28 23:11:11	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	Yes	BUY	153	47¢	$72	0x1fa6be…
10-28 22:42:20	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	Yes	SELL	1	45¢	$0	0xa49ea7…
10-28 22:41:17	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.10 and $2.20 in October?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xecc370…
10-28 22:21:04	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.10 and $2.20 in October?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x2e5cee…
10-28 21:46:34	Will a dozen eggs cost ≥$2.70 in October?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xb54ffe…
10-28 21:40:37	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xe073c9…
10-28 21:40:37	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	Yes	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x8879cd…
10-28 21:39:50	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	Yes	BUY	33	49¢	$16	0x9dbed9…
10-28 21:38:52	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x4db916…
10-28 21:38:52	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x4db916…
10-28 21:38:50	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.10 and $2.20 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x08fa22…
10-28 21:35:11	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	Yes	BUY	60	23¢	$14	0x2f5693…
10-28 21:32:35	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	Yes	SELL	0	26¢	$0	0x1b3672…
10-28 21:31:20	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	44	20¢	$9	0x10b779…
10-28 21:31:13	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	21	20¢	$4	0xc7fa39…
10-28 21:31:11	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	160	20¢	$32	0x10d435…
10-28 21:26:19	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x61e70c…
10-28 21:20:40	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x1e28f5…
10-28 21:20:13	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xc1d74f…
10-28 21:19:41	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	Yes	SELL	48	51¢	$25	0xb20908…
10-28 21:19:14	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.50 and $2.60 in October?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x657a13…
10-28 21:19:13	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.30 and $2.40 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x634d10…
10-28 21:19:13	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.10 and $2.20 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x56f2a8…
10-28 21:18:47	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.50 and $2.60 in October?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd4f1c3…
10-28 21:18:47	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.10 and $2.20 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xbe0ea7…
10-28 21:18:47	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.30 and $2.40 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x853783…
10-28 21:18:11	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.10 and $2.20 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xc8379c…
10-28 21:17:34	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xa2cdc1…
10-28 21:16:20	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x025537…
10-28 21:14:50	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.30 and $2.40 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xb394d4…
10-28 21:14:28	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	Yes	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x258908…
10-28 21:13:26	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	Yes	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0x4cf5be…
10-28 21:13:26	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	Yes	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x14a8c3…
10-28 19:08:47	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	374	80¢	$299	0x389160…
10-28 17:06:23	Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	41¢	$41	0x5eab14…
10-28 08:57:41	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	93¢	$465	0x81fd80…
10-28 04:46:35	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	300	79¢	$237	0x3d81df…
10-27 09:03:32	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	Yes	BUY	202	53¢	$107	0x7b4032…
10-27 09:00:38	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x75ac0e…
10-27 09:00:38	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.50 and $2.60 in October?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x67d494…
10-27 08:52:35	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.10 and $2.20 in October?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x506b6e…
10-27 04:58:47	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x6c9936…
10-27 04:58:45	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	Yes	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0x33ebb9…
10-27 03:58:23	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	Yes	BUY	14	53¢	$7	0x3e51a5…
10-26 18:09:32	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	60	77¢	$46	0xaf1a4c…
10-26 18:09:27	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	203	77¢	$157	0x513bd0…
10-26 18:09:26	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	43	77¢	$33	0x564d45…
10-26 06:36:21	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xc5c284…
10-26 06:36:21	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	Yes	BUY	64	53¢	$34	0xb5445d…
10-26 03:19:29	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xd8cd22…
10-26 03:19:09	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	Yes	BUY	86	53¢	$45	0xa873cb…
10-26 03:18:59	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x5ab897…
10-26 03:18:53	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	Yes	BUY	25	53¢	$13	0x1ba0cd…
10-25 13:09:59	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	Yes	BUY	1	53¢	$0	0x80b3b0…