| 06-08 10:14:18 |
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
|
Yes |
SELL |
5 |
68¢ |
$3 |
0x557655…
|
| 06-08 01:07:52 |
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
6 |
64¢ |
$4 |
0x64fb95…
|
| 06-08 01:07:48 |
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
6 |
75¢ |
$4 |
0x4d0e29…
|
| 06-08 01:07:04 |
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
5 |
65¢ |
$3 |
0x32e4d4…
|
| 06-08 01:07:00 |
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
5 |
76¢ |
$4 |
0xf68ffd…
|
| 06-07 14:07:19 |
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
5 |
41¢ |
$2 |
0x04595a…
|
| 06-07 01:05:10 |
will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026
|
No |
SELL |
11 |
55¢ |
$6 |
0x2d7a6e…
|
| 06-02 10:05:26 |
Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?
|
No |
SELL |
5 |
65¢ |
$3 |
0x0b8486…
|
| 05-29 22:06:59 |
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
|
No |
BUY |
6 |
66¢ |
$4 |
0xaac2c5…
|
| 05-29 20:06:02 |
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
5 |
15¢ |
$1 |
0x709801…
|
| 05-28 20:05:31 |
Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
21 |
2¢ |
$0 |
0x57ad6e…
|
| 05-28 20:04:00 |
Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
26 |
0¢ |
$0 |
0x5935d3…
|
| 05-28 15:04:28 |
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
|
No |
SELL |
5 |
60¢ |
$3 |
0x24334e…
|
| 05-28 10:04:25 |
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
|
No |
BUY |
5 |
70¢ |
$3 |
0x4fabf7…
|
| 05-25 13:40:22 |
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?
|
No |
SELL |
5 |
93¢ |
$5 |
0xb5dfd1…
|
| 05-25 13:40:19 |
Will Anthropic have closed its next funding round by June 30, 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
5 |
92¢ |
$5 |
0x9e437d…
|
| 05-25 12:02:45 |
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
7 |
68¢ |
$5 |
0x35d848…
|
| 05-25 02:03:26 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
|
No |
SELL |
5 |
7¢ |
$0 |
0xe5310e…
|
| 05-23 12:03:44 |
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
8 |
45¢ |
$4 |
0x69ba70…
|
| 05-23 07:35:36 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
|
No |
BUY |
5 |
31¢ |
$2 |
0x3992bb…
|
| 05-23 02:05:23 |
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
10 |
42¢ |
$4 |
0x016e60…
|
| 05-15 08:08:24 |
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
|
Yes |
SELL |
10 |
90¢ |
$9 |
0x946573…
|
| 05-09 09:35:01 |
Will Anthropic have closed its next funding round by June 30, 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
5 |
87¢ |
$4 |
0x7f9cdb…
|
| 05-09 09:31:15 |
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?
|
No |
BUY |
5 |
90¢ |
$4 |
0x664887…
|
| 04-30 09:40:34 |
Will a team win every pistol round they play at BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
50 |
6¢ |
$3 |
0x730479…
|
| 04-28 16:07:54 |
Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
14 |
7¢ |
$1 |
0x2f8f33…
|
| 04-28 15:54:34 |
Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
22 |
9¢ |
$2 |
0x11adc3…
|
| 04-28 15:54:32 |
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
25 |
30¢ |
$8 |
0x67ff78…
|
| 04-28 15:53:24 |
Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
13 |
7¢ |
$1 |
0x37a94e…
|
| 04-28 04:37:40 |
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on April 29?
|
Yes |
BUY |
20 |
3¢ |
$1 |
0x7643d9…
|
| 04-28 04:37:38 |
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on April 29?
|
Yes |
BUY |
20 |
3¢ |
$1 |
0x506479…
|
| 04-28 04:19:20 |
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 72°F or higher on April 27?
|
No |
SELL |
13 |
100¢ |
$13 |
0x020da1…
|
| 04-27 00:39:24 |
Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
116 |
4¢ |
$5 |
0x44d9f0…
|
| 04-26 00:38:08 |
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 92°F or higher on April 27?
|
Yes |
BUY |
9 |
64¢ |
$6 |
0xf4a8e8…
|
| 04-26 00:38:00 |
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 72°F or higher on April 27?
|
No |
BUY |
14 |
68¢ |
$10 |
0xbf33af…
|
| 04-25 07:01:26 |
Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?
|
Yes |
BUY |
7 |
68¢ |
$5 |
0x51fa14…
|
| 04-25 00:37:54 |
Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?
|
Yes |
BUY |
5 |
60¢ |
$3 |
0xfd6666…
|
| 04-25 00:37:30 |
Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
139 |
4¢ |
$5 |
0x5de942…
|
| 04-24 00:39:08 |
Will there be at least 1850 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
50 |
1¢ |
$1 |
0x5d8852…
|
| 04-24 00:39:02 |
Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
10 |
11¢ |
$1 |
0xdf210c…
|
| 04-22 22:35:48 |
highest temperature in nyc on april 23 2026 72 73f
|
No |
BUY |
24 |
64¢ |
$15 |
0x0111ed…
|
| 04-22 22:33:40 |
highest temperature in nyc on april 23 2026 62 63f
|
Yes |
BUY |
100 |
1¢ |
$1 |
0xa2c5b0…
|
| 04-22 16:42:10 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
59 |
1¢ |
$0 |
0x50c940…
|
| 04-22 16:41:32 |
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
10 |
2¢ |
$0 |
0xd9a804…
|
| 04-21 06:38:00 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
|
Yes |
SELL |
100 |
0¢ |
$0 |
0x8db71c…
|
| 04-21 06:37:50 |
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in April 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
33 |
1¢ |
$0 |
0x2c765a…
|
| 04-21 06:37:26 |
Will Trump talk to Yoon Suk Yeol in April?
|
Yes |
SELL |
52 |
0¢ |
$0 |
0x5870d3…
|
| 04-21 06:37:22 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?
|
Yes |
SELL |
66 |
0¢ |
$0 |
0x4b038c…
|
| 04-21 06:37:14 |
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in April?
|
Yes |
SELL |
5 |
1¢ |
$0 |
0x05d0e5…
|
| 04-21 06:37:02 |
Will Seoul have 75mm or more of precipitation in April?
|
Yes |
SELL |
10 |
1¢ |
$0 |
0xf298bd…
|
| 04-21 06:37:00 |
Will London have between 30-40mm of precipitation in April?
|
Yes |
SELL |
5 |
1¢ |
$0 |
0x151a2a…
|
| 04-21 06:36:56 |
Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in April?
|
Yes |
SELL |
13 |
0¢ |
$0 |
0xa6bb09…
|
| 04-21 06:36:42 |
Will there be at least 2100 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
5 |
0¢ |
$0 |
0xe14e53…
|
| 04-21 06:36:40 |
Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
|
Yes |
SELL |
10 |
0¢ |
$0 |
0xdcf817…
|
| 04-12 05:08:55 |
highest temperature in chicago on april 13 2026 74forhigher
|
Yes |
BUY |
13 |
92¢ |
$12 |
0x7682cf…
|
| 04-12 04:46:33 |
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
10 |
12¢ |
$1 |
0x757c71…
|
| 04-12 04:32:33 |
Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
20 |
6¢ |
$1 |
0xfb863a…
|
| 04-12 04:32:23 |
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
9 |
12¢ |
$1 |
0x781f72…
|
| 04-12 00:40:07 |
highest temperature in nyc on april 12 2026 52 53f
|
Yes |
BUY |
6 |
17¢ |
$1 |
0xd3416e…
|
| 04-12 00:39:35 |
Will Claude go down 12+ times in April?
|
Yes |
BUY |
4 |
80¢ |
$3 |
0x8d20d6…
|
| 04-10 00:35:31 |
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
|
Yes |
BUY |
100 |
1¢ |
$1 |
0xa3e46d…
|
| 04-10 00:35:29 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
|
Yes |
BUY |
100 |
1¢ |
$1 |
0x608b97…
|
| 04-08 04:34:05 |
Will Claude go down 6-8 times in April?
|
No |
BUY |
10 |
93¢ |
$9 |
0x8fa9c4…
|
| 04-08 04:34:05 |
Will Claude go down 12+ times in April?
|
Yes |
BUY |
8 |
59¢ |
$5 |
0x8b08d5…
|
| 04-05 23:50:11 |
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
5 |
34¢ |
$2 |
0x685e77…
|
| 04-04 12:37:59 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
59 |
2¢ |
$1 |
0x52efda…
|
| 04-04 12:33:13 |
highest temperature in nyc on april 5 2026 67forbelow
|
Yes |
BUY |
17 |
91¢ |
$16 |
0x800377…
|
| 04-04 12:32:15 |
Will Claude go down 12+ times in April?
|
Yes |
BUY |
5 |
44¢ |
$2 |
0x1925f3…
|
| 04-03 05:07:45 |
highest temperature in nyc on april 3 2026 68 69f
|
Yes |
BUY |
9 |
8¢ |
$1 |
0x0fa384…
|
| 04-03 04:42:15 |
highest temperature in nyc on april 3 2026 68 69f
|
Yes |
BUY |
2 |
8¢ |
$0 |
0xd001cb…
|
| 04-03 04:32:01 |
highest temperature in nyc on april 3 2026 68 69f
|
Yes |
BUY |
1 |
8¢ |
$0 |
0x37da95…
|
| 04-03 04:31:57 |
highest temperature in miami on april 3 2026 86 87f
|
Yes |
BUY |
50 |
1¢ |
$1 |
0x3c26b1…
|
| 04-03 00:55:21 |
highest temperature in chicago on april 3 2026 58forhigher
|
Yes |
BUY |
10 |
94¢ |
$9 |
0xc04e9c…
|
| 04-02 18:32:37 |
highest temperature in seattle on april 2 2026 54 55f
|
Yes |
BUY |
10 |
10¢ |
$1 |
0xc6c596…
|
| 04-02 14:21:37 |
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
|
Yes |
BUY |
5 |
36¢ |
$2 |
0x5b38d5…
|
| 04-02 12:14:07 |
highest temperature in nyc on april 2 2026 59forbelow
|
Yes |
BUY |
5 |
99¢ |
$5 |
0x3dceaf…
|
| 04-02 11:31:49 |
highest temperature in houston on april 2 2026 82 83f
|
Yes |
BUY |
2 |
55¢ |
$1 |
0x08202f…
|
| 04-02 10:44:01 |
highest temperature in denver on april 2 2026 72 73f
|
Yes |
BUY |
3 |
38¢ |
$1 |
0x9c0b7b…
|
| 04-02 07:52:01 |
highest temperature in denver on april 2 2026 72 73f
|
Yes |
BUY |
2 |
38¢ |
$1 |
0x87fcc5…
|
| 04-02 04:44:17 |
highest temperature in austin on april 2 2026 80 81f
|
Yes |
BUY |
17 |
6¢ |
$1 |
0x558e4f…
|
| 04-02 04:38:23 |
highest temperature in houston on april 2 2026 82 83f
|
Yes |
BUY |
3 |
55¢ |
$2 |
0xe47cc0…
|
| 04-02 04:38:13 |
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?
|
Yes |
BUY |
10 |
10¢ |
$1 |
0xf4086e…
|
| 04-01 22:45:37 |
highest temperature in miami on april 2 2026 84 85f
|
Yes |
BUY |
81 |
2¢ |
$2 |
0xb7d5ee…
|
| 04-01 22:33:33 |
highest temperature in miami on april 2 2026 86 87f
|
Yes |
BUY |
10 |
1¢ |
$0 |
0xfe9aac…
|
| 04-01 22:33:33 |
highest temperature in miami on april 2 2026 86 87f
|
Yes |
BUY |
6 |
1¢ |
$0 |
0xd18435…
|
| 04-01 22:33:33 |
highest temperature in miami on april 2 2026 86 87f
|
Yes |
BUY |
14 |
1¢ |
$0 |
0xc8c4d5…
|
| 04-01 22:33:33 |
highest temperature in miami on april 2 2026 86 87f
|
Yes |
BUY |
15 |
1¢ |
$0 |
0xc74a7d…
|
| 04-01 22:33:33 |
highest temperature in miami on april 2 2026 86 87f
|
Yes |
BUY |
13 |
1¢ |
$0 |
0xbe4abe…
|
| 04-01 22:33:33 |
highest temperature in miami on april 2 2026 86 87f
|
Yes |
BUY |
14 |
1¢ |
$0 |
0x3d004c…
|
| 04-01 22:33:33 |
highest temperature in miami on april 2 2026 86 87f
|
Yes |
BUY |
13 |
1¢ |
$0 |
0x379564…
|
| 04-01 22:33:33 |
highest temperature in miami on april 2 2026 86 87f
|
Yes |
BUY |
10 |
1¢ |
$0 |
0x17ecf0…
|
| 04-01 22:33:27 |
highest temperature in miami on april 2 2026 86 87f
|
Yes |
BUY |
5 |
1¢ |
$0 |
0x612b58…
|
| 04-01 22:33:11 |
highest temperature in miami on april 2 2026 84 85f
|
Yes |
BUY |
19 |
2¢ |
$0 |
0x7cb013…
|
| 04-01 14:49:51 |
highest temperature in chicago on april 4 2026 58 59f
|
Yes |
BUY |
5 |
19¢ |
$1 |
0x5e3b76…
|
| 04-01 13:24:29 |
highest temperature in houston on april 1 2026 84 85f
|
Yes |
BUY |
1 |
19¢ |
$0 |
0xd5f31a…
|
| 04-01 13:16:25 |
highest temperature in chicago on april 4 2026 58 59f
|
Yes |
BUY |
1 |
19¢ |
$0 |
0xcd9ce8…
|
| 04-01 13:16:01 |
highest temperature in houston on april 1 2026 84 85f
|
Yes |
BUY |
3 |
19¢ |
$1 |
0x7d7782…
|
| 04-01 12:52:09 |
highest temperature in houston on april 1 2026 84 85f
|
Yes |
BUY |
6 |
19¢ |
$1 |
0x240bc8…
|
| 04-01 00:49:55 |
will trump meet with reza pahlavi in march 2026 665
|
Yes |
BUY |
55 |
1¢ |
$1 |
0xecb489…
|
| 03-31 21:41:05 |
will trump meet with reza pahlavi in march 2026 665
|
Yes |
BUY |
30 |
1¢ |
$0 |
0xe915c0…
|