USDE depeg by December 31?
open
Total volume
$512
$99 in 24h
Trades
26
Unique wallets
12
Liquidity
$5,214
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-06-06
last 07-21 01:52
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-12.2¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $416
vs crowd: 12% YES on $500)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $4 | $427 | $423 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $42 | — | +$42 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $1 | $12 | $11 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2 | $14 | — | +$14 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $416 | $416 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $24 | $24 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| unranked | 4 | $53 | — | +$53 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inborn-Proof 0x4512…c4a9 | Yes | +476 | $39 | $39 | 4 | 06-28 17:54 |
| Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | +454 | $416 | $416 | 2 | 06-14 00:41 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-14 00:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +15 | $1 | $5 | 3 | 06-28 17:54 |
| Proper-Description 0x4c2a…65dc | Yes | +13 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-21 01:52 |
| Happy-Go-Lucky-Manicure 0xfe61…e9c2 | No | +13 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-14 00:41 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +13 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 07-18 23:05 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-14 00:40 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-21 01:52:16 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 13 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xe346ed… |
| 07-21 01:52:16 | Proper-Description 0x4c2a…65dc | Yes | BUY | 13 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xe346ed… |
| 07-18 23:05:04 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 13 | 91¢ | $12 | 0x396566… |
| 07-18 23:05:04 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 13 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x396566… |
| 06-28 17:54:31 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x3e16ed… |
| 06-28 17:54:31 | Inborn-Proof 0x4512…c4a9 | Yes | BUY | 48 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x3e16ed… |
| 06-28 17:54:31 | Necessary-Wrapper 0xf6f5…512f | Yes | SELL | 73 | 7¢ | $5 | 0x3e16ed… |
| 06-28 17:53:53 | (anonymous) 0x25dc…e33b | Yes | SELL | 55 | 15¢ | $8 | 0x777828… |
| 06-28 17:53:53 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 18 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x777828… |
| 06-28 17:53:53 | Necessary-Wrapper 0xf6f5…512f | Yes | BUY | 73 | 14¢ | $10 | 0x777828… |
| 06-24 18:36:25 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x5a5ff4… |
| 06-24 18:36:25 | Inborn-Proof 0x4512…c4a9 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x5a5ff4… |
| 06-24 18:36:25 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x5a5ff4… |
| 06-14 00:41:33 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Manicure 0xfe61…e9c2 | No | BUY | 13 | 92¢ | $12 | 0xf7df95… |
| 06-14 00:41:33 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xf7df95… |
| 06-14 00:41:22 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 6 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xa1d115… |
| 06-14 00:41:22 | Inborn-Proof 0x4512…c4a9 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 8¢ | $24 | 0xa1d115… |
| 06-14 00:41:22 | Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | BUY | 406 | 92¢ | $373 | 0xa1d115… |
| 06-14 00:40:39 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xd0b17c… |
| 06-14 00:40:39 | Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | BUY | 48 | 89¢ | $43 | 0xd0b17c… |
| 06-14 00:40:39 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 10¢ | $3 | 0xd0b17c… |
| 06-14 00:40:39 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xd0b17c… |
| 06-08 13:22:37 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 7 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x6c39be… |
| 06-08 13:22:37 | Ordinary-Hire-Mover 0x6ad8…637b | Yes | SELL | 7 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x6c39be… |
| 06-06 14:39:07 | (anonymous) 0x25dc…e33b | Yes | SELL | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x6d79cd… |
| 06-06 14:39:07 | Ordinary-Hire-Mover 0x6ad8…637b | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x6d79cd… |