Realized P&L
-$159
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
31.7%
Resolved
935
Trades
5,983
lifetime
Volume
$15.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$13
14 positions
First seen
2026-04-19
last 10-30 05:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 41 days
Categories
Crypto
99% 48% -$128
Other
0% 20% -$2
Sports
0% 0% -$28
Politics
0% 0% -$1
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
10 active days in 12wk • peak 2073 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? Yes +45 $1 4¢ $2 +$1 10-05 15:43
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? Yes +31 $1 5¢ $1 +$0 10-05 15:47
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? Yes +32 $1 4¢ $1 +$0 10-05 15:57
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +94 $1 1¢ $1 +$0 10-05 15:39
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +31 $1 4¢ $1 +$0 10-05 15:53
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026? Yes +62 $1 2¢ $1 +$0 10-05 15:57
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? Yes +37 $1 3¢ $1 +$0 10-05 15:55
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December? Yes +50 $1 2¢ $1 $0 10-05 15:41
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? Yes +25 $1 3¢ $1 $0 10-05 15:50
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House Yes +111 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-05 15:58
USDC depeg by December 31? Yes +51 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-05 15:38
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes +56 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-05 15:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October? Yes +69 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 10-05 15:44
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? Yes +29 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 10-05 15:41