Realized P&L (24h)
+$3
Unrealized P&L
+$23
Hit rate
96.2%
Resolved (24h)
7
Trades (24h)
10
1,387 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$29
$5.10K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$721
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-19
last 11-12 12:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 130 days
Categories
Politics
73% 76% +$61
Other
27% 76% +$0
Sports
0% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? No +86 $84 99¢ $85 +$1 07-26 04:52
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? No +62 $58 97¢ $60 +$2 11-05 03:42
Will Barack Obama be arrested before 2027? No +60 $58 98¢ $59 +$1 11-05 03:21
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +72 $50 78¢ $56 +$6 11-05 03:09
China coup attempt before 2027? No +38 $37 98¢ $37 +$0 06-15 07:34
Will Anthony Albanese be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? Yes +92 $40 40¢ $36 -$4 11-05 03:10
Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026? No +30 $29 99¢ $30 +$1 11-05 03:22
Will Pam Bondi be arrested before 2027? No +28 $27 98¢ $28 +$1 11-05 03:21
Will a European country take military action on Iran by December 31? No +29 $28 93¢ $27 -$1 11-10 10:21
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 No +20 $17 96¢ $19 +$2 08-23 05:00
Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 15? No +20 $19 94¢ $19 $0 11-01 11:31
Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027? No +18 $17 99¢ $18 +$1 09-10 16:32
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +19 $16 90¢ $17 +$2 11-10 10:43
will gustavo petro be charged in the us by december 31 No +18 $13 92¢ $17 +$4 08-23 04:59
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2028 elections? Yes +19 $17 88¢ $17 $0 11-05 02:52
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +21 $14 74¢ $15 +$1 11-10 10:43
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +15 $13 99¢ $15 +$2 06-10 07:18
Will the US strike 14 countries in 2026? No +14 $14 100¢ $14 +$0 06-21 07:21
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026? No +14 $14 98¢ $14 +$0 06-16 11:53
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? No +15 $13 95¢ $14 +$1 07-16 13:31
russia coup attempt in 2026 No +14 $13 98¢ $14 +$1 06-15 07:32
will a us iran deal in 2026 include surrender of iranian enriched uranium 20260623023201640 No +14 $13 96¢ $14 +$1 07-16 13:36
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30? No +13 $13 97¢ $13 +$0 11-10 10:26
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2028 elections? Yes +17 $13 78¢ $13 $0 11-05 02:52
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? No +13 $13 97¢ $13 $0 11-10 10:21
Will Ukraine target Moscow on November 10, 2026? No +13 $12 98¢ $12 +$0 11-10 10:23
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes +12 $10 96¢ $12 +$2 05-14 05:07
Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026? No +11 $11 100¢ $11 +$0 06-21 07:20
Will AI-chip export licensing become law this year? No +14 $13 80¢ $11 -$2 07-19 06:51
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? No +11 $10 98¢ $11 +$1 05-06 12:03