Astonishing-Error — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$25

Unrealized P&L

+$8

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$7.55K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$328

Open exposure

$226

1 position

First seen

2026-04-05

last 07-21 03:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

73% 100% +$25

Politics

27% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?	No		+230	$218	98¢	$226	+$8	06-15 06:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia enter Stinky by May 31?	2	$959	530	530	+0	open	—	05-25 07:15
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	2	$956	500	500	+0	open	—	05-08 05:08
will mojtaba khamenei leave iran by august 31 20260720003950635	2	$855	455	455	+0	open	—	07-21 02:51
israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	2	$739	389	389	+0	open	—	07-01 03:22
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?	2	$737	405	405	+0	open	—	07-01 07:52
Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-2.5)	1	$485	500	0	+500	open	—	05-23 08:22
Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)	1	$480	490	0	+490	Sevilla FC	+$10	05-09 08:05
Spread: Sønderjyske Fodbold (-2.5)	1	$475	490	0	+490	Viborg FF	+$15	05-08 05:28
Spread: Aalesunds FK (-1.5)	1	$474	495	0	+495	open	—	05-25 07:55
european country agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	1	$428	460	0	+460	open	—	07-21 03:23
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?	2	$423	225	225	+0	open	—	06-16 07:18
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?	1	$218	230	0	+230	open	—	06-15 06:21
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	2	$195	100	100	+0	open	—	04-05 07:42
lal get bil 2026 04 05 spread away 2pt5	1	$97	100	0	+100	open	—	04-05 07:50
Spread: FC Groningen (-2.5)	2	$30	990	0	+990	open	—	05-21 07:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 03:23:21	european country agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	No	BUY	460	93¢	$428	0xb05bf5…
07-21 02:51:24	will mojtaba khamenei leave iran by august 31 20260720003950635	No	SELL	455	94¢	$428	0x9ad84f…
07-21 02:12:58	will mojtaba khamenei leave iran by august 31 20260720003950635	No	BUY	455	94¢	$428	0x437868…
07-01 07:52:49	U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?	No	SELL	405	91¢	$369	0xf022b6…
07-01 06:56:55	U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?	No	BUY	405	91¢	$369	0x42c2b2…
07-01 03:22:50	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	389	95¢	$370	0xee869b…
07-01 02:07:17	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	389	95¢	$370	0xc7ba82…
06-16 07:18:16	Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?	No	SELL	225	93¢	$209	0xcad36e…
06-16 05:28:57	Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?	No	BUY	225	95¢	$214	0x1e7250…
06-15 06:21:12	Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?	No	BUY	230	95¢	$218	0x434645…
05-25 07:55:16	Spread: Aalesunds FK (-1.5)	Tromsø IL	BUY	495	96¢	$474	0xfb0655…
05-25 07:15:26	Will Russia enter Stinky by May 31?	No	SELL	530	90¢	$477	0x3a2c39…
05-25 06:34:11	Will Russia enter Stinky by May 31?	No	BUY	530	91¢	$482	0x328595…
05-23 08:22:06	Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-2.5)	FC Internazionale Milano	BUY	500	97¢	$485	0xaa4a83…
05-21 07:04:06	Spread: FC Groningen (-2.5)	FC Groningen	BUY	490	3¢	$15	0x7785e7…
05-21 07:03:43	Spread: FC Groningen (-2.5)	FC Groningen	BUY	500	3¢	$15	0xc3c25b…
05-09 08:05:53	Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)	Sevilla FC	BUY	490	98¢	$480	0x4ec3ff…
05-08 05:28:05	Spread: Sønderjyske Fodbold (-2.5)	Viborg FF	BUY	490	97¢	$475	0xd70835…
05-08 05:08:45	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	500	96¢	$478	0x357807…
05-08 03:04:51	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	96¢	$478	0x233d8e…
04-05 07:50:31	lal get bil 2026 04 05 spread away 2pt5	Getafe CF	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xd91503…
04-05 07:42:51	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x2a251b…
04-05 05:23:25	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xf5a420…