Realized P&L
+$895
Unrealized P&L
+$978
Hit rate
94.0%
Resolved
57
Trades
185
lifetime
Volume
$60.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$327
Open exposure
$27.5K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-27
last 10-25 21:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 27 days
Categories
Politics
52% 59% +$569
Other
48% 89% +$319
Tech
0% 100% +$6
Crypto
0% 60% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
10 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? No +8,015 $7,352 95¢ $7.6K +$263 10-14 00:56
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +5,259 $4,812 96¢ $5.1K +$242 08-06 00:58
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +4,064 $3,670 98¢ $4.0K +$313 10-19 05:40
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +2,174 $2,000 98¢ $2.1K +$127 07-10 16:47
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +2,167 $1,950 97¢ $2.1K +$158 07-10 16:47
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,051 $1,697 82¢ $1.7K -$25 10-25 21:54
China coup attempt before 2027? No +1,728 $1,677 96¢ $1.7K -$23 06-11 22:40
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +1,562 $1,500 96¢ $1.5K +$5 10-14 00:55
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? No +695 $655 98¢ $683 +$28 10-25 21:47
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No +485 $404 92¢ $444 +$40 10-18 23:04
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No +323 $286 96¢ $308 +$22 06-11 22:39
Trump out as President before 2027? No +234 $223 96¢ $225 +$2 10-25 21:48
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +104 $100 96¢ $99 -$1 10-14 00:16
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No +191 $214 27¢ $52 -$163 10-25 21:52
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +14 $10 1¢ $0 -$10 10-13 20:26