Realized P&L (7d)
+$382
Unrealized P&L
+$1.06K
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (7d)
1
Trades (7d)
9
196 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$3.05K
$65.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$335
Open exposure
$27.6K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-27
last 11-02 06:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 28 days
Categories
Politics
54% 61% +$951
Other
46% 89% +$319
Tech
0% 100% +$6
Crypto
0% 60% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? No +8,015 $7,352 94¢ $7.6K +$223 10-14 00:56
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +5,259 $4,812 97¢ $5.1K +$305 08-06 00:58
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +3,277 $2,702 90¢ $2.9K +$231 10-29 02:51
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +2,167 $1,950 99¢ $2.1K +$187 07-10 16:47
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +2,174 $2,000 98¢ $2.1K +$135 07-10 16:47
China coup attempt before 2027? No +1,728 $1,677 98¢ $1.7K +$21 06-11 22:40
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +1,562 $1,500 97¢ $1.5K +$20 10-14 00:55
Trump out as President before 2027? No +1,268 $1,223 97¢ $1.2K +$8 11-02 06:08
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? No +940 $900 96¢ $902 +$2 11-02 06:08
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? No +695 $655 99¢ $685 +$30 10-25 21:47
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No +485 $404 93¢ $451 +$47 10-18 23:04
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No +413 $400 98¢ $403 +$3 11-02 06:09
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No +355 $346 98¢ $347 +$1 11-02 06:10
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No +323 $286 98¢ $317 +$31 06-11 22:39
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +104 $100 98¢ $102 +$2 10-14 00:16
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No +191 $214 22¢ $41 -$173 10-25 21:52
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +14 $10 2¢ $0 -$10 10-13 20:26