Evergreen-Grill 0x08cede…d4f301
whale 15W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
-$950
Unrealized P&L
+$55
Hit rate
54.3%
Resolved (90d)
546
Trades (90d)
7,472
76,750 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$152.7K
$2.01M lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$3.73K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 23:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 261 days
Categories
Other
54% 38% +$11,119
Politics
33% 54% +$12,142
Sports
9% 39% -$6,050
Crypto
4% 36% +$1,986
Tech
0% 33% -$44
Pop-Culture
0% 56% +$372
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 514 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat? No -605 -$411 94¢ $-569 -$157 05-08 14:09
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? Yes -499 -$160 74¢ $-371 -$211 05-25 06:52
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +530 $122 58¢ $310 +$189 10-21 01:15
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? No +1,185 $153 23¢ $272 +$120 10-28 01:25
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +264 $242 94¢ $250 +$8 10-28 23:17
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +268 $228 88¢ $236 +$8 10-28 17:36
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? No +238 $261 88¢ $210 -$51 10-28 19:48
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -214 -$132 97¢ $-207 -$75 10-28 23:29
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? No +177 $161 99¢ $176 +$15 08-23 19:15
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +300 $57 50¢ $148 +$91 10-28 18:36
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -1,033 -$121 13¢ $-134 -$14 08-08 17:19
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? Yes +300 $150 41¢ $123 -$27 10-28 03:53
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +112 $107 99¢ $111 +$3 10-28 23:26
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? No -102 -$99 99¢ $-100 -$1 08-28 06:59
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No -95 -$47 87¢ $-82 -$35 10-28 11:11
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -422 -$86 18¢ $-74 +$12 10-08 20:50
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -464 -$58 15¢ $-69 -$11 10-28 10:39
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes -795 -$140 8¢ $-60 +$80 10-10 17:05
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +98 $41 52¢ $51 +$9 10-28 15:55
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -335 -$41 12¢ $-38 +$2 07-08 14:39
iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by december 31 128 Yes +239 $91 16¢ $38 -$53 10-28 22:52
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes +69 $48 22¢ $15 -$33 10-28 14:11
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? Yes -126 -$26 10¢ $-13 +$14 05-01 09:05
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No -21 -$71 57¢ $-12 +$59 10-27 18:52
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -1,247 -$5 1¢ $-12 -$6 10-18 18:41
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026? Yes +143 $11 8¢ $12 +$0 10-24 14:29
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +25 -$82 43¢ $11 +$92 10-18 16:54
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? Yes -514 -$30 2¢ $-8 +$22 06-29 18:35
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? Yes +79 $10 8¢ $6 -$4 06-03 01:41
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -298 -$15 2¢ $-6 +$9 10-02 13:33