Evergreen-Grill 0x08cede…d4f301
whale hot 15W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$19.5K
Unrealized P&L
-$37
Hit rate
68.3%
Resolved
3,539
Trades
76,822
lifetime
Volume
$2.01M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$3.95K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 02:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 261 days
Categories
Other
54% 38% +$11,093
Politics
33% 54% +$12,142
Sports
9% 39% -$6,050
Crypto
4% 36% +$1,986
Tech
0% 33% -$44
Pop-Culture
0% 56% +$372
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 514 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat? No -605 -$411 94¢ $-569 -$157 05-08 14:09
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? Yes -499 -$160 74¢ $-371 -$211 05-25 06:52
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +530 $122 58¢ $310 +$189 10-21 01:15
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +300 $293 99¢ $298 +$5 10-29 01:52
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? No +1,185 $153 22¢ $261 +$108 10-28 01:25
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +264 $242 94¢ $248 +$6 10-28 23:17
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +263 $224 88¢ $231 +$7 10-29 02:20
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? No +238 $261 88¢ $209 -$52 10-28 19:48
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -214 -$132 97¢ $-208 -$75 10-28 23:29
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? No +177 $161 99¢ $176 +$15 08-23 19:15
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +300 $57 50¢ $148 +$91 10-28 18:36
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -1,033 -$121 12¢ $-129 -$9 08-08 17:19
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? Yes +300 $150 42¢ $126 -$24 10-28 03:53
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? No -102 -$99 99¢ $-100 -$1 08-28 06:59
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No -95 -$47 87¢ $-82 -$35 10-28 11:11
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? No +99 $83 78¢ $77 -$6 10-29 03:02
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -422 -$86 18¢ $-74 +$12 10-08 20:50
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -464 -$58 15¢ $-69 -$11 10-28 10:39
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes -795 -$140 8¢ $-60 +$80 10-10 17:05
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +98 $41 46¢ $46 +$4 10-28 15:55
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -335 -$41 12¢ $-38 +$2 07-08 14:39
iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by december 31 128 Yes +239 $91 16¢ $38 -$53 10-28 22:52
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes +69 $48 22¢ $15 -$33 10-28 14:11
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? Yes -126 -$26 10¢ $-13 +$14 05-01 09:05
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No -21 -$71 56¢ $-12 +$59 10-27 18:52
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -1,247 -$5 1¢ $-12 -$6 10-18 18:41
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026? Yes +143 $11 8¢ $12 +$0 10-24 14:29
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? Yes -514 -$30 2¢ $-8 +$22 06-29 18:35
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? Yes +79 $10 8¢ $6 -$4 06-03 01:41
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes -298 -$31 1¢ $-4 +$27 10-19 14:40