Evergreen-Grill 0x08cede…d4f301
whale hot 15W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$19.3K
Unrealized P&L
-$38
Hit rate
68.3%
Resolved
3,550
Trades
77,182
lifetime
Volume
$2.02M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$4.28K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 11:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 263 days
Categories
Other
54% 37% +$10,894
Politics
33% 54% +$12,142
Sports
9% 39% -$6,050
Crypto
4% 36% +$1,986
Tech
0% 33% -$44
Pop-Culture
0% 56% +$372
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 514 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat? No -605 -$411 94¢ $-566 -$154 05-08 14:09
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? Yes -499 -$160 78¢ $-386 -$226 05-25 06:52
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +530 $122 68¢ $361 +$239 10-21 01:15
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +300 $293 99¢ $298 +$6 10-30 00:28
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? No +1,185 $153 23¢ $272 +$120 10-28 01:25
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? No +327 $260 77¢ $250 -$9 10-29 15:14
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? No +256 $249 97¢ $249 +$0 10-30 12:29
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? No +280 $296 89¢ $249 -$47 10-30 08:18
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +255 $233 94¢ $241 +$8 10-29 06:04
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No -218 -$156 88¢ $-191 -$36 10-29 16:09
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? No +177 $161 100¢ $176 +$15 08-23 19:15
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -1,033 -$121 13¢ $-134 -$14 08-08 17:19
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +299 $123 44¢ $133 +$10 10-30 11:57
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? Yes +300 $150 36¢ $110 -$40 10-28 03:53
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? No -102 -$99 99¢ $-100 -$1 08-28 06:59
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +95 $76 88¢ $84 +$8 10-30 08:18
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -464 -$58 16¢ $-75 -$17 10-28 10:39
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +174 -$19 42¢ $74 +$92 10-30 11:59
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -422 -$86 16¢ $-70 +$17 10-08 20:50
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes -795 -$140 8¢ $-60 +$80 10-10 17:05
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +105 $122 40¢ $43 -$79 10-30 12:30
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -335 -$41 11¢ $-35 +$6 07-08 14:39
iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by december 31 128 Yes +239 $91 14¢ $32 -$59 10-28 22:52
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +34 $0 84¢ $28 +$29 10-29 15:24
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No -21 -$71 58¢ $-12 +$59 10-27 18:52
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? Yes -126 -$26 9¢ $-11 +$15 05-01 09:05
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -1,247 -$5 1¢ $-11 -$5 10-18 18:41
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? Yes -514 -$30 2¢ $-8 +$21 06-29 18:35
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -8 $68 97¢ $-8 -$76 10-30 08:42
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? Yes +299 $6 3¢ $8 +$2 10-30 12:52