Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
63.6%
Resolved
11
Trades
70
lifetime
Volume
$499
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$56
7 positions
First seen
2026-05-09
last 06-28 03:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
77% 50% +$1
Politics
11% 100% +$0
Sports
9%
Tech
4%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +11 $10 99¢ $11 +$1 06-20 13:24
Kash Patel out by June 30? No +11 $10 99¢ $11 +$1 06-02 19:46
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 06-30 22:18
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes -64 $-8 12¢ $-7 +$0 06-08 23:57
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $8 $6 $-2 06-08 18:11
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30? No -6 $-1 99¢ $-6 $-4 06-18 10:04
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? No +5 $5 92¢ $5 $-0 06-25 18:50