Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
25
lifetime
Volume
$80
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$25
13 positions
First seen
2026-06-20
last 07-12 16:46
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Tech
69%
Other
28%
Politics
4%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +13 $10 76¢ $10 $-0 06-20 04:11
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $3 87¢ $3 $-0 07-12 13:48
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 06-20 09:39
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 07-05 16:12
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 07-05 16:11
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 07-12 13:46
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 07-11 17:15
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? No +1 $1 93¢ $1 +$0 07-12 13:47
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 $-0 07-12 16:46
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 $-0 07-12 13:46
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 $-0 07-05 16:11
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 $-0 07-12 13:47
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Yes +1 $1 92¢ $1 $-0 07-11 17:17