Realized P&L
-$9
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
62.2%
Resolved
36
Trades
66
lifetime
Volume
$135
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$38
15 positions
First seen
2026-06-20
last 09-06 15:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Tech
46% 75% +$0
Politics
34% 100% +$1
Other
20% 73% -$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +13 $10 94¢ $12 +$2 06-20 04:11
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +8 $8 99¢ $8 +$0 09-06 15:51
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +30 $7 15¢ $5 -$2 06-22 13:47
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 06-20 09:39
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 07-12 13:46
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 07-05 16:11
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1 $1 87¢ $1 +$0 07-05 16:10
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 07-05 16:11
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 09-06 15:49
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 07-12 13:47
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 07-11 17:15
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 07-12 13:47
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 07-12 13:46
Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? Yes +1 $1 67¢ $1 $0 09-06 15:48
Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? No +1 $1 67¢ $1 $0 09-06 15:48