(anonymous) 0xa87fd5…ab864d
bot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$698
Unrealized P&L
+$98
Hit rate
49.9%
Resolved
2,084
Trades
31,333
lifetime
Volume
$89.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$503
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 10-22 18:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 122 days
Categories
Crypto
62% 42% -$774
Other
22% 44% -$29
Politics
14% 54% +$78
Tech
2% 68% +$35
Pop-Culture
0% 67% -$1
Sports
0% 20% -$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 244 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +67 $15 82¢ $55 +$40 10-16 00:17
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +75 $29 60¢ $45 +$16 10-06 00:10
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? No +39 $37 97¢ $37 +$1 10-20 11:49
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +26 $24 94¢ $25 +$1 10-17 20:02
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +36 $13 64¢ $23 +$10 10-18 13:02
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +30 $19 72¢ $21 +$2 09-15 18:43
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +25 $16 72¢ $18 +$2 10-15 10:38
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +21 $14 84¢ $18 +$4 10-17 06:38
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +18 $16 94¢ $17 +$1 10-14 15:20
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +24 $18 70¢ $17 -$1 09-02 10:27
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +16 $15 98¢ $16 +$1 09-07 23:36
Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026? Yes +17 $14 88¢ $15 +$1 10-15 09:16
israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 415 Yes +40 $26 36¢ $15 -$12 09-23 20:33
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +15 $14 96¢ $14 $0 10-17 20:07
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +16 $12 85¢ $14 +$2 08-27 08:01
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +20 $19 69¢ $14 -$5 10-09 19:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +15 $12 86¢ $13 +$2 09-04 10:06
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No +15 $6 86¢ $13 +$7 09-28 20:09
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +47 $12 28¢ $13 +$1 10-19 14:45
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +12 $15 99¢ $12 -$3 10-21 19:03
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +16 $10 72¢ $11 +$1 10-08 18:52
russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by june 30 2027 No +20 $8 46¢ $9 +$1 09-04 20:39
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +11 $10 86¢ $9 $0 10-15 00:31
us x iran ceasefire continues through november 30 20260918 No +14 $8 66¢ $9 +$2 10-21 21:32
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +10 -$10 90¢ $9 +$19 09-28 08:24
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? No +12 $8 74¢ $9 +$1 10-20 11:23
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? No +10 $7 88¢ $9 +$1 08-24 00:50
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +11 $6 70¢ $8 +$2 10-15 02:19
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +9 $6 92¢ $8 +$2 10-02 21:42
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? Yes +8 $7 86¢ $7 +$0 09-24 22:18