(anonymous) 0xa87fd5…ab864d
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$740
Unrealized P&L
+$139
Hit rate
49.6%
Resolved
2,056
Trades
31,333
lifetime
Volume
$89.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$616
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 10-22 18:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 122 days
Categories
Crypto
62% 42% -$774
Other
22% 43% -$72
Politics
14% 54% +$78
Tech
2% 68% +$35
Pop-Culture
0% 69% +$1
Sports
0% 20% -$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 244 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +87 $63 100¢ $86 +$23 10-21 20:16
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +67 $15 82¢ $55 +$40 10-16 00:17
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +75 $29 56¢ $42 +$13 10-06 00:10
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +36 $15 100¢ $36 +$22 10-18 07:11
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? No +39 $37 93¢ $36 -$1 10-20 11:49
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +26 $24 94¢ $25 +$0 10-17 20:02
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +30 $19 72¢ $21 +$2 09-15 18:43
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +36 $13 58¢ $21 +$8 10-18 13:02
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? No +19 $9 100¢ $19 +$10 10-03 17:52
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +25 $16 70¢ $18 +$2 10-15 10:38
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +21 $14 84¢ $18 +$4 10-17 06:38
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +18 $16 94¢ $17 +$1 10-14 15:20
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +16 $15 98¢ $16 +$1 09-07 23:36
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +24 $18 66¢ $16 -$2 09-02 10:27
Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026? Yes +17 $14 85¢ $15 +$0 10-15 09:16
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +15 $14 96¢ $14 $0 10-17 20:07
israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 415 Yes +40 $26 35¢ $14 -$12 09-23 20:33
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +20 $19 70¢ $14 -$5 10-09 19:47
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +16 $12 85¢ $14 +$2 08-27 08:01
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 No +15 $6 86¢ $13 +$7 09-28 20:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +15 $12 86¢ $13 +$1 09-04 10:06
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +47 $12 28¢ $13 +$1 10-19 14:45
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +13 $11 99¢ $12 +$1 10-06 10:36
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +12 $15 98¢ $12 -$3 10-21 19:03
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +16 $10 70¢ $11 +$1 10-08 18:52
russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by june 30 2027 No +20 $8 48¢ $10 +$1 09-04 20:39
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +11 $10 85¢ $9 $0 10-15 00:31
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +10 -$10 90¢ $9 +$19 09-28 08:24
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? No +12 $8 74¢ $9 +$1 10-20 11:23
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +14 $8 62¢ $9 +$1 10-21 21:32