Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$606

Unrealized P&L

-$31

Hit rate

43.7%

Resolved

Trades

249

lifetime

Volume

$3.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$25

3 positions

First seen

2026-06-28

last 09-23 12:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 36% -$543

Other

11% 24% -$51

Politics

5% 38% -$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027?	Yes	+5,000	$10	0¢	$23	+$13	08-28 04:27
Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	+52	$3	4¢	$2	-$1	08-24 21:46
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	Yes	+11	$43	5¢	$0	-$42	08-24 21:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
XRP Up or Down - September 23, 12AM ET	2	$394	280	280	+0	Up	+$109	09-23 04:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 00:40 UTC	35	$155	3,814	151	+3,663	Up	$0	08-25 00:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 21:45 UTC	5	$129	100	100	+0	Up	+$59	08-24 21:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	2	$125	100	100	+0	Down	+$25	09-03 04:43
XRP Up or Down - September 23, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	17	$121	140	104	+36	Down	-$56	09-23 05:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 22:05 UTC	2	$119	400	400	+0	Up	+$62	08-24 22:08
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	3	$118	1,104	1,094	+11	open	—	08-24 21:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 01:00 UTC	6	$112	310	50	+260	Up	-$37	08-25 01:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	2	$100	10,000	0	+10,000	Down	-$100	09-23 04:29
XRP Up or Down - September 23, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	1	$100	406	0	+406	Down	-$100	09-23 05:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	1	$100	263	0	+263	Down	-$100	09-23 04:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 22:45 UTC	2	$81	71	71	+0	Up	+$61	08-24 22:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 22:15 UTC	15	$75	300	0	+300	Up	-$75	08-24 22:16
XRP Up or Down - September 23, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	1	$70	107	0	+107	Down	-$70	09-23 04:48
XRP Up or Down - September 3, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	4	$67	65	50	+15	Down	+$28	09-03 07:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	2	$67	666	666	+0	No	-$13	08-28 04:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 23:45 UTC	2	$62	83	83	+0	Up	+$52	06-29 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	1	$50	100	0	+100	Up	-$50	09-03 04:48
XRP Up or Down - September 3, 12PM ET	1	$50	138	0	+138	Down	-$50	09-03 16:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	1	$50	98	0	+98	Down	-$50	09-03 04:24
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	3	$46	173	173	+0	No	-$8	09-04 19:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	2	$45	50	50	+0	Up	+$23	09-03 04:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 00:50 UTC	5	$45	100	0	+100	Up	-$45	08-25 00:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	2	$32	100	100	+0	open	—	08-30 09:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	1	$30	150	0	+150	Up	-$30	09-23 12:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 21:00 UTC	3	$30	1,393	0	+1,393	Down	-$30	08-22 21:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 01:05 UTC	3	$30	1,069	0	+1,069	Down	-$30	08-25 01:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 00:00 UTC	4	$27	42	42	+0	Up	+$5	06-30 00:05
bitcoin up or down on june 29 2026	2	$27	18	18	+0	Down	+$7	06-29 15:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 07:50 UTC	2	$26	21	21	+0	Up	+$16	06-30 07:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-23 12:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	150	20¢	$30	0x06b552…
09-23 05:26:02	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	104	31¢	$33	0x88ff1a…
09-23 05:17:58	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	63¢	$1	0x5fb5e3…
09-23 05:17:56	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x9c0328…
09-23 05:17:56	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x9a993a…
09-23 05:17:56	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x64db61…
09-23 05:17:56	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x601bf6…
09-23 05:17:56	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x33bfaf…
09-23 05:17:56	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x2e2678…
09-23 05:17:56	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x284b18…
09-23 05:17:56	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	63¢	$9	0x25f47f…
09-23 05:17:56	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x12eab4…
09-23 05:17:55	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xf33568…
09-23 05:17:55	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x2fd3bb…
09-23 05:17:55	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x100330…
09-23 05:17:41	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	63¢	$6	0xb94081…
09-23 05:17:40	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	63¢	$19	0x652ac5…
09-23 05:17:40	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	63¢	$6	0x4b7df1…
09-23 05:02:35	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	406	25¢	$100	0x8e51ea…
09-23 04:48:40	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	107	66¢	$70	0x3aebb8…
09-23 04:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0x82915f…
09-23 04:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5,149	1¢	$51	0x8df79d…
09-23 04:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4,851	1¢	$49	0x2b2c50…
09-23 04:21:13	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 12AM ET	Up	SELL	280	90¢	$252	0xd88d39…
09-23 03:46:20	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	280	51¢	$143	0x72d738…
09-04 19:18:15	XRP Up or Down - September 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x7e3ea3…
09-04 19:02:34	XRP Up or Down - September 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	45	37¢	$17	0xa83e50…
09-04 19:01:43	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	173	11¢	$19	0xd75c46…
09-04 18:31:24	XRP Up or Down - September 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x08a445…
09-03 16:33:30	XRP Up or Down - September 3, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	138	36¢	$50	0x00c677…
09-03 07:04:15	XRP Up or Down - September 3, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	41¢	$0	0xf0b4d5…
09-03 07:04:13	XRP Up or Down - September 3, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	41¢	$6	0xba63b6…
09-03 05:23:15	XRP Up or Down - September 3, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	50	80¢	$40	0xb6154e…
09-03 05:03:40	XRP Up or Down - September 3, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0xd44f54…
09-03 04:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x716e85…
09-03 04:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x18e641…
09-03 04:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	100	75¢	$75	0x63043b…
09-03 04:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xde997b…
09-03 04:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x593442…
09-03 04:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	50	68¢	$34	0xdccb10…
09-03 04:21:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x5968ec…
09-03 03:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0xc7e367…
09-03 03:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	48¢	$8	0x2d8357…
09-03 03:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x63f18a…
08-30 09:49:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	15¢	$15	0x826006…
08-29 23:25:24	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?	Yes	SELL	881	0¢	$4	0xa50fe6…
08-28 04:34:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 04:35 UTC	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x7419ab…
08-28 04:27:33	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x20873a…
08-28 04:26:58	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?	Yes	BUY	881	1¢	$10	0xa29021…
08-28 04:25:25	NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	232	2¢	$5	0x124120…
08-28 04:24:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	SELL	666	4¢	$27	0x600bfd…
08-25 08:40:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 08:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x5582f6…
08-25 08:40:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 08:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x79710a…
08-25 01:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xaa5c11…
08-25 01:10:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 01:10 UTC	Up	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xa781c0…
08-25 01:08:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x494de9…
08-25 01:06:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x509750…
08-25 01:05:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x12ed35…
08-25 01:02:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	260	19¢	$50	0x40aa37…
08-25 01:01:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 01:00 UTC	Up	SELL	6	75¢	$5	0x529748…
08-25 01:01:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 01:00 UTC	Up	SELL	44	75¢	$33	0x5e1563…
08-25 00:59:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x392e3a…
08-25 00:59:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	25	49¢	$12	0x339bba…
08-25 00:59:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	17	49¢	$8	0x31885c…
08-25 00:50:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 00:50 UTC	Down	BUY	83	45¢	$37	0xe83a98…
08-25 00:50:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 00:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0x64cbf4…
08-25 00:50:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 00:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0x52af08…
08-25 00:50:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 00:50 UTC	Down	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x1b1c53…
08-25 00:50:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 00:50 UTC	Down	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x061f1f…
08-25 00:43:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xd452d7…
08-25 00:43:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0xcd0067…
08-25 00:43:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xc7ef72…
08-25 00:43:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb67557…
08-25 00:43:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xaabd91…
08-25 00:43:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa458a7…
08-25 00:43:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	85	1¢	$1	0x8d5b99…
08-25 00:43:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x84b9ef…
08-25 00:43:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x731ed1…
08-25 00:43:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4fa33c…
08-25 00:43:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x48cf4c…
08-25 00:43:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x3b0060…
08-25 00:43:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	177	1¢	$2	0x36397b…
08-25 00:43:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3153b1…
08-25 00:43:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	161	1¢	$2	0x0155a3…
08-25 00:43:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe7a0ff…
08-25 00:43:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xe77638…
08-25 00:43:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2,126	1¢	$21	0xdf3687…
08-25 00:43:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0xd5ddf1…
08-25 00:43:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xc22439…
08-25 00:43:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	51	1¢	$1	0x899da5…
08-25 00:43:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	162	1¢	$2	0x5aa0a3…
08-25 00:43:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x4d476a…
08-25 00:43:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x42b06d…
08-25 00:43:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x3ebe96…
08-25 00:43:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x3ae573…
08-25 00:43:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x2f07c5…
08-25 00:43:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	392	1¢	$4	0x0b8f39…
08-25 00:42:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 00:40 UTC	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x6eb8ee…
08-25 00:42:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 00:40 UTC	Up	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0xbe02ed…
08-25 00:42:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 00:40 UTC	Up	SELL	34	51¢	$17	0x6d9760…