Spicy-Perception — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$78

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.2%

Resolved

Trades

181

lifetime

Volume

$16.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$92

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 06-12 19:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

68% — —

Crypto

31% 75% +$78

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$2.0K	1,164	1,164	+0	open	—	04-24 21:33
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	2	$2.0K	1,104	1,104	+0	open	—	04-25 20:34
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	5	$1.5K	1,858	1,858	+0	open	—	04-22 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	1	$983	995	0	+995	open	—	04-26 21:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$540	691	100	+591	open	—	05-24 03:25
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	2	$481	282	282	+0	open	—	05-16 06:46
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	2	$471	274	274	+0	open	—	05-23 20:03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$436	236	236	+0	open	—	05-16 06:47
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	3	$431	260	260	+0	open	—	04-14 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	5	$411	405	375	+31	open	—	04-25 21:09
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	2	$410	235	235	+0	open	—	04-14 21:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$397	274	274	+0	open	—	05-22 16:25
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?	2	$353	210	210	+0	open	—	04-15 15:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	3	$308	254	254	+0	Up	+$58	05-06 21:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	3	$307	464	218	+246	open	—	04-25 21:13
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	3	$304	360	145	+216	open	—	04-19 22:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$296	226	226	+0	open	—	06-12 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	4	$269	262	120	+142	open	—	04-24 22:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	2	$243	161	157	+4	open	—	04-25 21:04
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	2	$232	232	232	+0	open	—	04-15 05:36
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	4	$226	6,977	0	+6,977	open	—	04-22 13:38
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	1	$212	474	0	+474	open	—	04-15 15:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	9	$204	226	185	+41	open	—	05-24 06:29
btc updown 5m 1775903400	1	$184	218	0	+218	open	—	04-11 10:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	4	$175	792	0	+792	open	—	05-28 21:37
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$171	286	286	+0	open	—	05-11 15:28
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	2	$158	314	0	+314	open	—	04-12 20:43
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	2	$153	187	187	+0	open	—	05-11 15:28
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$150	119	119	+0	open	—	04-15 20:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	6	$143	222	109	+113	open	—	05-24 06:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 19:52:21	btc updown 5m 1781293800	Up	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x8bcaf1…
06-12 19:52:10	btc updown 5m 1781293800	Up	SELL	53	41¢	$22	0xf332b7…
06-12 19:48:28	btc updown 5m 1781293500	Up	SELL	85	28¢	$24	0x4ea2b5…
06-12 19:47:15	btc updown 5m 1781293500	Down	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0xec5fd2…
06-12 19:47:13	btc updown 5m 1781293500	Down	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x077c58…
06-12 19:46:07	btc updown 5m 1781293500	Up	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x0d4427…
06-12 19:45:46	btc updown 5m 1781293500	Up	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0xa17829…
06-12 18:59:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	226	53¢	$120	0x462fad…
06-07 16:45:52	btc updown 5m 1780850700	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x1a4967…
06-07 16:45:48	btc updown 5m 1780850700	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x6c1ef3…
06-07 16:45:27	btc updown 5m 1780850700	Down	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0xc86df6…
06-03 19:45:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	226	78¢	$176	0x94a9da…
05-28 21:37:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	653	15¢	$100	0x566cd1…
05-28 21:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x524d5d…
05-28 21:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x1ffd49…
05-28 21:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0xd5bb0d…
05-28 21:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	49	10¢	$5	0x0d1adc…
05-28 21:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x0ba753…
05-24 07:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	154	13¢	$20	0xddfb0c…
05-24 07:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	95	10¢	$10	0xb44414…
05-24 07:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	158	19¢	$30	0x470935…
05-24 07:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	64	97¢	$62	0xb29c89…
05-24 07:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	64	36¢	$23	0xbebb85…
05-24 06:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	182	22¢	$40	0x03fe8e…
05-24 06:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	139	18¢	$25	0x4ddc4e…
05-24 06:49:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	116	4¢	$5	0x1287de…
05-24 06:48:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	184	3¢	$5	0x84a2b5…
05-24 06:44:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	611	2¢	$10	0x640fe8…
05-24 06:39:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xd9fa18…
05-24 06:38:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x6c8a17…
05-24 06:38:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x813bdd…
05-24 06:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x78b792…
05-24 06:36:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	109	49¢	$53	0xc618b6…
05-24 06:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0x4170a5…
05-24 06:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x8ff8ab…
05-24 06:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	27	95¢	$26	0x16d4d0…
05-24 06:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0xf5fb1f…
05-24 06:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	38	95¢	$36	0x9ae82e…
05-24 06:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x7cfa9b…
05-24 06:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	67	17¢	$11	0x430f3d…
05-24 06:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0xa2c0f6…
05-24 06:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0x7c01c0…
05-24 06:26:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	44	55¢	$24	0xf53ced…
05-24 06:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xa07ff9…
05-24 06:24:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	28	98¢	$28	0xf02136…
05-24 06:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x336997…
05-24 03:25:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	100	70¢	$70	0x018e45…
05-23 20:18:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	691	68¢	$470	0xb4b4a0…
05-23 20:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	42	75¢	$31	0x54cb65…
05-23 20:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x35c040…
05-23 20:03:00	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	274	99¢	$271	0x61eb26…
05-22 16:25:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	274	72¢	$197	0x6356b8…
05-16 06:47:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	236	100¢	$236	0x25870b…
05-16 06:46:47	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	282	100¢	$281	0xd2e230…
05-11 15:28:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	357	12¢	$43	0x8e0567…
05-11 15:28:19	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	187	28¢	$53	0x691d79…
05-11 15:28:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	286	25¢	$71	0x5c4e5e…
05-08 22:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	41	49¢	$20	0xf93380…
05-08 22:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x93a1b2…
05-08 22:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xeaed32…
05-08 22:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x6fc7f8…
05-08 22:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xf37194…
05-08 22:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x99d442…
05-06 21:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x1e577d…
05-06 21:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x2b5648…
05-06 21:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x6689e1…
05-06 21:52:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	41	46¢	$19	0xf3d165…
05-06 21:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x2d3d51…
05-06 21:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x0a9d74…
05-06 21:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	53	86¢	$46	0xa731b9…
05-06 21:46:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x2efe54…
05-06 21:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x469000…
05-06 21:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x6a9623…
05-06 21:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x66422f…
05-06 21:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	33	69¢	$23	0x1a35ec…
05-06 21:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x7174e3…
05-06 21:39:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	236	85¢	$200	0x37d3d6…
05-06 21:39:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	274	73¢	$200	0xd8be9f…
05-06 21:35:39	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	282	71¢	$200	0xe2d032…
05-06 21:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x18b425…
05-06 21:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	254	72¢	$183	0x97368a…
05-06 21:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x0912d8…
05-06 21:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xfdcf9b…
05-06 21:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	112	22¢	$25	0x2480f4…
05-06 21:02:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x3e3f86…
05-06 21:02:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	69	49¢	$34	0x17b6b3…
05-06 21:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0xf31a3f…
05-06 21:00:52	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	274	73¢	$200	0x82e7a4…
05-02 20:58:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0xebfe29…
04-29 22:30:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	357	28¢	$100	0x4925cb…
04-29 22:29:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	187	54¢	$100	0xc429bc…
04-29 22:28:46	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	345	29¢	$100	0xe44bdc…
04-26 21:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	995	99¢	$983	0x30976a…
04-26 21:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x4d0cf3…
04-26 21:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	46	43¢	$20	0x22ff3b…
04-26 21:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0xbcf9d6…
04-26 18:13:28	Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?	Yes	BUY	198	25¢	$50	0xd599db…
04-25 21:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	218	49¢	$107	0x5c580c…
04-25 21:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0xea38ad…
04-25 21:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	237	42¢	$100	0x2bcebc…