Yellow-Footstep — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.14K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.5%

Resolved

229

Trades

1,846

lifetime

Volume

$199.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$108

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 11-06 13:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 107 days

Categories

Other

53% 69% +$892

Politics

44% 74% +$183

Crypto

3% 100% +$61

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	67	$22.1K	13,455	11,470	+1,985	Yes	+$191	10-28 16:50
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	13	$13.5K	7,065	7,065	+0	No	+$31	11-04 01:51
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	17	$3.9K	2,215	1,692	+523	No	+$11	02-25 03:26
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	27	$3.8K	1,986	1,986	+0	No	+$6	04-30 19:27
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 90 114	34	$3.6K	2,189	2,189	+0	Yes	+$70	03-09 16:23
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	19	$3.5K	1,747	1,747	+0	Yes	+$1	04-27 15:37
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	5	$3.4K	2,466	1,371	+1,095	No	+$153	09-16 14:40
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	27	$3.3K	2,348	2,348	+0	No	+$29	06-01 12:23
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	13	$2.7K	1,380	1,380	+0	No	+$6	05-31 04:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	12	$2.6K	1,319	1,319	+0	No	+$3	05-09 02:40
elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 0 39	33	$2.5K	1,364	1,362	+1	No	-$1	04-20 07:02
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	19	$2.5K	1,438	1,112	+326	No	+$8	06-01 05:16
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	11	$2.5K	1,331	1,331	+0	No	+$11	10-26 17:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	14	$2.4K	1,470	1,470	+0	No	+$17	05-29 16:37
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	15	$2.4K	1,226	1,226	+0	No	+$4	04-22 09:59
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	12	$2.4K	1,206	1,206	+0	No	+$3	04-22 00:19
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	17	$2.4K	1,389	1,100	+289	No	-$12	05-30 03:46
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	15	$2.1K	1,159	1,084	+75	No	+$18	06-08 01:23
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	27	$2.1K	1,122	1,122	+0	No	+$6	05-14 10:57
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 220 239	9	$2.1K	1,106	1,106	+0	Yes	+$11	04-21 15:27
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	12	$2.0K	1,203	901	+302	No	+$16	06-10 03:11
elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 90 114	44	$2.0K	1,148	1,348	-200	No	-$3	02-25 15:53
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	10	$2.0K	1,005	1,005	+0	No	+$4	04-26 01:41
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 300 319	24	$1.9K	1,388	1,388	+0	Yes	-$74	02-27 16:34
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 340 359	34	$1.8K	1,410	1,410	+0	No	+$181	02-24 16:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	13	$1.7K	978	978	+0	No	+$11	05-27 04:01
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	4	$1.6K	830	830	+0	No	+$6	02-27 04:33
elon musk of tweets february 28 march 2 40 64	33	$1.6K	1,028	1,028	+0	Yes	+$6	03-02 16:37
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	8	$1.6K	883	883	+0	Yes	+$29	06-01 12:04
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	20	$1.6K	959	1,109	-150	No	-$58	05-31 17:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 13:30:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	330	21¢	$69	0x3c6551…
11-06 12:36:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	330	29¢	$96	0x2c7d1c…
11-04 01:51:40	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	792	99¢	$786	0xb0c337…
11-04 01:51:31	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xf6d9fb…
11-04 01:51:31	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	200	99¢	$199	0x8b680c…
11-04 01:51:25	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	961	99¢	$954	0x1f8204…
11-04 01:29:09	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	1,983	98¢	$1,943	0xff8b9c…
11-03 18:24:19	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	2,040	95¢	$1,938	0x1a310a…
11-02 18:12:12	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	2,040	95¢	$1,938	0x28b16f…
11-02 13:22:09	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	2,042	95¢	$1,940	0xe6e93e…
11-01 19:20:40	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	1,048	95¢	$995	0x1c260b…
10-30 16:15:34	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	995	94¢	$935	0x46c2c7…
10-30 15:13:18	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	500	94¢	$470	0x8d8861…
10-30 02:37:43	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	500	93¢	$465	0x34a0d7…
10-29 15:04:20	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	1,000	94¢	$940	0xe17430…
10-28 16:50:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	485	95¢	$462	0x61da05…
10-28 13:28:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,500	95¢	$1,424	0x7b375a…
10-28 06:18:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,500	95¢	$1,430	0x7f1a63…
10-27 10:07:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,274	92¢	$1,174	0x5882a3…
10-27 10:07:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	226	92¢	$209	0x27ef69…
10-27 06:49:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	555	94¢	$520	0x0bda1c…
10-27 06:49:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0x83ff2e…
10-27 06:46:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	64	94¢	$60	0x49f40e…
10-27 06:45:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x44b795…
10-27 06:45:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	107	94¢	$100	0x6d0703…
10-27 06:44:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	200	94¢	$187	0xe0668b…
10-27 06:39:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	107	94¢	$100	0x02bb21…
10-27 06:39:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	214	94¢	$200	0xb70f2e…
10-27 06:38:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	392	94¢	$367	0x9e3d60…
10-27 06:32:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	27	94¢	$25	0x3c204c…
10-26 17:15:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	231	92¢	$213	0x05bb94…
10-26 16:36:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	231	92¢	$213	0x3048bd…
10-26 15:38:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	231	92¢	$213	0x4bbf26…
10-26 14:40:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,500	94¢	$1,410	0x7ef6fd…
10-26 00:35:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	315	94¢	$296	0x5fef54…
10-26 00:34:56	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1,100	94¢	$1,034	0x83d568…
10-24 10:40:14	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	478	93¢	$444	0xaa7823…
10-24 10:30:47	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	124	93¢	$115	0x93b479…
10-24 10:28:47	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0xa8ddbb…
10-24 10:20:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0xa0c5bf…
10-24 10:09:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	133	93¢	$124	0x98fba0…
10-24 08:16:05	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	296	93¢	$276	0x905de1…
10-24 08:01:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	29	93¢	$27	0x32c80e…
10-24 07:52:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x5d7f8c…
10-23 20:29:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x9d2541…
10-23 20:23:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x157656…
10-23 20:16:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	91¢	$13	0xd679db…
10-23 20:06:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	99	91¢	$90	0xf12c7f…
10-23 13:56:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,500	91¢	$1,365	0x736cda…
10-23 13:48:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,500	91¢	$1,365	0xef809f…
10-23 12:45:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	970	93¢	$902	0xac0283…
10-23 12:26:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	280	91¢	$255	0xe418bb…
10-23 12:23:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	240	91¢	$218	0xac4a79…
10-23 12:23:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	43	91¢	$39	0xcd66d5…
10-23 12:13:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	968	93¢	$900	0x07abb5…
10-20 14:35:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,000	87¢	$870	0xea8bf2…
10-19 16:53:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	262	85¢	$222	0x3cefff…
10-19 16:53:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0x189186…
10-19 16:50:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0xe1ae2f…
10-19 16:44:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x8c156b…
10-19 16:29:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x372508…
10-19 16:22:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x9a8399…
10-19 16:17:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0xb58759…
10-19 16:17:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x397bcf…
10-19 16:16:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xa2a7dd…
10-19 16:16:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3	85¢	$2	0x123d1b…
10-19 16:15:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x0cb71c…
10-19 16:12:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	340	85¢	$289	0x66ba68…
10-19 13:02:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	87¢	$870	0x92fd76…
10-15 16:15:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	417	72¢	$301	0xa415e0…
10-15 16:09:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0x0ca3bf…
10-15 15:57:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x0df7ef…
10-15 15:49:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0x5dd20f…
10-15 15:35:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0x3cd630…
10-15 15:26:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0x9f1083…
10-15 15:18:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0xc30990…
10-15 15:11:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xef05b2…
10-15 15:06:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	30	73¢	$22	0x5838d2…
10-15 15:05:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	13	73¢	$9	0xd5f6d1…
10-15 15:00:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0xab7365…
10-15 14:49:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	11	73¢	$8	0x4473ef…
10-15 14:42:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0x244b27…
10-15 12:48:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	72¢	$360	0x0cd786…
10-12 15:11:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,419	82¢	$1,163	0xaee771…
10-12 13:15:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	634	83¢	$527	0x68b067…
10-12 13:14:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	210	83¢	$174	0xf8b847…
10-11 03:41:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	767	84¢	$644	0x662a92…
10-09 21:57:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	767	83¢	$637	0x119dcd…
10-08 00:47:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	753	84¢	$633	0x481189…
10-05 12:45:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	753	83¢	$625	0x391221…
10-02 12:30:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	395	84¢	$332	0x740cad…
10-02 11:09:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	395	75¢	$296	0x011e86…
09-16 14:40:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,095	89¢	$975	0x663d8d…
09-16 14:18:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1,094	89¢	$974	0x2ed9bc…
09-16 09:39:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,094	87¢	$952	0x4bb90a…
09-15 16:55:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	277	88¢	$244	0x5b5279…
09-14 17:15:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	277	84¢	$233	0x692c3e…
07-24 23:42:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	311	74¢	$230	0x061fe9…
07-24 10:22:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	311	75¢	$233	0x237702…
07-23 13:38:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	312	74¢	$232	0x1abf96…