Realized P&L
+$3.43K
Unrealized P&L
-$94
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
10
Trades
648
lifetime
Volume
$136.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$210
Open exposure
$1.55K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-16
last 06-24 15:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
90% 100% +$3,102
Other
10% 50% +$278
Crypto
0% 100% +$46
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -200 $-198 100¢ $-200 $-1 06-14 10:14
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No -200 $-178 99¢ $-198 $-20 06-13 19:07
Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026? Yes -1,153 $-67 10¢ $-110 $-43 06-24 15:08
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? Yes -100 $-99 100¢ $-100 $-1 06-13 19:07
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -100 $-98 100¢ $-100 $-2 06-24 15:03
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? No -100 $-98 100¢ $-100 $-2 06-13 19:08
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? No -100 $-99 100¢ $-100 $-1 06-13 19:07
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes -1,050 $-56 $-66 $-10 06-24 15:08
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30? No -60 $-53 99¢ $-59 $-6 06-15 14:24
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -370 $-48 14¢ $-50 $-2 06-24 15:08
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -1,065 $-43 $-48 $-5 06-24 15:09
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -214 $-47 19¢ $-41 +$6 06-24 15:09
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No -40 $-39 100¢ $-40 $-0 06-14 10:14
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30? No -40 $-37 99¢ $-40 $-3 06-15 14:23
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -50 $-34 72¢ $-36 $-2 06-24 15:03
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -30 $-29 100¢ $-30 $-1 06-14 10:14
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -30 $-27 90¢ $-27 $-0 06-15 14:23
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026? No -20 $-20 100¢ $-20 $-0 06-17 09:50
Will Jared Kushner enter Iran by June 30? No -20 $-20 100¢ $-20 $-0 06-15 14:27
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -20 $-19 100¢ $-20 $-0 06-15 14:22
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30? No -20 $-19 100¢ $-20 $-0 06-16 14:00
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? No -20 $-17 84¢ $-16 +$0 06-15 14:25
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -20 $-15 80¢ $-16 $-2 06-16 13:56
Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026? No -20 $-15 78¢ $-16 $-1 06-16 13:56
Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026? Yes -50 $-20 30¢ $-15 +$5 06-16 13:56
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -130 $-12 11¢ $-14 $-2 06-24 15:04
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -50 $-14 26¢ $-13 +$1 06-16 13:59
Will Zcash reach $800 by December 31, 2026? Yes -50 $-10 26¢ $-13 $-3 06-16 13:56
Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30? No -10 $-10 100¢ $-10 $-0 06-17 11:14
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No -10 $-10 100¢ $-10 $-0 06-16 13:56