Rich-Carotene 0xeb75fc…8027a3
new
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Realized P&L (90d)
—
Unrealized P&L
+$251
Hit rate
—
Resolved (90d)
0
Trades (90d)
19
19 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$4.24K
$4.24K lifetime
Avg / trade
$223
Open exposure
$4.49K
18 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-11 18:30
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
79% — —
Other
21% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? No +1,000 $875 98¢ $976 +$101 05-09 17:54
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? Yes +1,015 $780 74¢ $746 $-34 05-11 15:38
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026? No +500 $430 96¢ $480 +$50 05-09 20:49
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? No +500 $441 88¢ $437 $-4 05-11 14:55
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31? No +500 $345 86¢ $428 +$82 05-09 15:30
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31? No +500 $348 84¢ $417 +$70 05-09 15:31
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31? No +300 $258 90¢ $268 +$10 05-09 17:19
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? Yes +1,013 $202 18¢ $187 $-15 05-10 08:08
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? No +100 $98 98¢ $98 +$0 05-09 16:55
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? No +100 $91 94¢ $94 +$2 05-09 15:11
Iran closes its airspace by May 15? No +100 $90 90¢ $90 +$0 05-09 10:34
Will Putin visit China by May 31? Yes +100 $72 78¢ $78 +$6 05-10 08:42
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? No +100 $69 62¢ $62 $-8 05-11 14:48
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30? No +50 $45 82¢ $41 $-4 05-09 16:58
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +500 $50 8¢ $40 $-10 05-09 14:18
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? No +30 $27 94¢ $28 +$1 05-09 14:13
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes +100 $11 11¢ $11 $-0 05-07 08:57
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping? Yes +10 $7 67¢ $7 $-0 05-11 18:30