Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?
open
Total volume
$2,773
$307 in 24h
Trades
106
Unique wallets
55
Liquidity
$7,592
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-06-01
last 06-11 21:19
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | — | $1.6K | $1.6K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $0 | $91 | $91 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | — | $155 | $155 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 37 | $11 | $84 | $73 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $608 | $608 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $982 | $982 |
| Median | 7 | — | $39 | $39 |
| Below median | 3 | $0 | $15 | $15 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | — | $54 | $54 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $81 | $81 |
| unranked | 37 | $11 | $104 | $94 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xf0a5…92ba | Yes | +1,000 | $10 | $10 | 7 | 06-10 16:13 |
| Gleaming-Orient 0x5eec…f4e2 | No | +930 | $921 | $921 | 1 | 06-10 16:13 |
| Somber-Creativity 0x69ea…15cd | No | +618 | $608 | $608 | 2 | 06-09 06:03 |
| Far-Off-Webinar 0x6bed…b1fe | No | +82 | $81 | $81 | 1 | 06-01 20:35 |
| Advanced-Document 0x9fc0…cb4b | No | +62 | $61 | $61 | 2 | 06-09 06:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | +57 | $1 | $1 | 10 | 06-11 00:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x64c6…1678 | No | +33 | $33 | $33 | 1 | 06-10 23:29 |
| Full-Capability 0x5d14…f8bd | No | +31 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 06-09 06:04 |
| Sugary-Lip 0x0c7b…c8ce | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-02 03:37 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +12 | $11 | $11 | 4 | 06-11 21:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x78c2…22cf | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 06-09 06:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x6ed9…62ba | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-04 02:22 |
| Wilted-Burden-Survivor 0xd8d5…8935 | No | +8 | $7 | $17 | 2 | 06-11 21:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xbf4d…83cd | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-10 03:25 |
| Open-Armchair 0x594d…a217 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 06-08 15:18 |
| Belated-Democracy 0x490c…4e7e | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 4 | 06-06 18:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xac8e…7524 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-05 11:29 |
| Wealthy-Crewman 0x188a…83e8 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-10 05:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x1784…dbe6 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-05 10:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x5449…992b | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-04 04:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x516e…aa61 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-04 05:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xb034…179f | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-09 06:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x44f8…667e | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-04 10:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x7e88…529b | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-08 02:40 |
| Gleeful-Box 0xabfb…12e5 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-04 04:08 |
| Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | +1 | $0 | $32 | 5 | 06-09 06:03 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 21:19:19 | Wilted-Burden-Survivor 0xd8d5…8935 | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x27912a… |
| 06-11 21:19:19 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x27912a… |
| 06-11 00:18:36 | (anonymous) 0x99c5…d2ff | No | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x1b843b… |
| 06-11 00:18:36 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfbd396… |
| 06-11 00:18:36 | (anonymous) 0x99c5…d2ff | No | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xfbd396… |
| 06-11 00:18:36 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1b843b… |
| 06-10 23:29:52 | Diligent-Scenario 0xdf27…e6e4 | No | SELL | 33 | 99¢ | $33 | 0x486514… |
| 06-10 23:29:52 | (anonymous) 0x64c6…1678 | No | BUY | 33 | 99¢ | $33 | 0x486514… |
| 06-10 16:13:01 | Gleaming-Orient 0x5eec…f4e2 | No | BUY | 930 | 99¢ | $921 | 0x1d113b… |
| 06-10 16:13:01 | (anonymous) 0xf0a5…92ba | Yes | BUY | 930 | 1¢ | $9 | 0x1d113b… |
| 06-10 15:20:22 | (anonymous) 0xf0a5…92ba | Yes | BUY | 45 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2b7e43… |
| 06-10 15:20:22 | (anonymous) 0x1897…16f3 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2b7e43… |
| 06-10 05:04:19 | Wealthy-Crewman 0x188a…83e8 | No | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xc19daa… |
| 06-10 05:04:19 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc19daa… |
| 06-10 03:25:15 | (anonymous) 0xbf4d…83cd | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x8ed385… |
| 06-10 03:25:15 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8ed385… |
| 06-09 22:16:18 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x5a7ada… |
| 06-09 22:16:18 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x5a7ada… |
| 06-09 22:15:01 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf6c775… |
| 06-09 22:15:01 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xf6c775… |
| 06-09 06:10:40 | (anonymous) 0xf0a5…92ba | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x532300… |
| 06-09 06:10:40 | (anonymous) 0xb034…179f | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x532300… |
| 06-09 06:04:46 | (anonymous) 0xf0a5…92ba | Yes | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf10a39… |
| 06-09 06:04:46 | Full-Capability 0x5d14…f8bd | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xf10a39… |
| 06-09 06:04:37 | (anonymous) 0xf0a5…92ba | Yes | BUY | 12 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfde2b7… |
| 06-09 06:04:37 | Advanced-Document 0x9fc0…cb4b | No | BUY | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0xfde2b7… |
| 06-09 06:03:55 | (anonymous) 0xf0a5…92ba | Yes | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2d8ade… |
| 06-09 06:03:55 | (anonymous) 0x78c2…22cf | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x2d8ade… |
| 06-09 06:03:54 | (anonymous) 0xf0a5…92ba | Yes | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5893c4… |
| 06-09 06:03:54 | (anonymous) 0x99c5…d2ff | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x5893c4… |
| 06-09 06:03:52 | Somber-Creativity 0x69ea…15cd | No | BUY | 125 | 99¢ | $123 | 0xb1852f… |
| 06-09 06:03:52 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb1852f… |
| 06-09 06:03:52 | (anonymous) 0xf1d8…0e46 | No | SELL | 46 | 99¢ | $46 | 0xb1852f… |
| 06-09 06:03:52 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | SELL | 16 | 99¢ | $16 | 0xb1852f… |
| 06-09 06:03:52 | Scaly-Testament 0x08e0…aebe | No | SELL | 12 | 99¢ | $11 | 0xb1852f… |
| 06-08 15:18:48 | Open-Armchair 0x594d…a217 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xbf931b… |
| 06-08 15:18:48 | (anonymous) 0xf360…73d5 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xbf931b… |
| 06-08 05:10:49 | Lumbering-Eleventh 0xe42a…09c2 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x69aadf… |
| 06-08 05:10:49 | Open-Armchair 0x594d…a217 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x69aadf… |
| 06-08 02:40:37 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc33072… |
| 06-08 02:40:37 | (anonymous) 0x7e88…529b | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xc33072… |
| 06-07 11:39:46 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0xc2c00d… |
| 06-07 11:39:46 | (anonymous) 0x5eb3…b7b5 | No | SELL | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0xc2c00d… |
| 06-07 10:59:01 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x84d1c9… |
| 06-07 10:59:01 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x84d1c9… |
| 06-07 10:59:01 | (anonymous) 0xa31e…f72b | No | SELL | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x84d1c9… |
| 06-07 09:50:06 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x06257e… |
| 06-07 09:50:06 | (anonymous) 0xa816…c93d | No | SELL | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x06257e… |
| 06-07 04:24:00 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | BUY | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x46017a… |
| 06-07 04:24:00 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x46017a… |
| 06-07 04:24:00 | (anonymous) 0xe672…9459 | No | SELL | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0x46017a… |
| 06-07 01:49:45 | (anonymous) 0x470a…314a | No | SELL | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x3d529e… |
| 06-07 01:49:45 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x3d529e… |
| 06-06 18:17:13 | Belated-Democracy 0x490c…4e7e | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x4b4834… |
| 06-06 18:17:13 | Pertinent-Carnival 0x0320…d00f | No | SELL | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x4b4834… |
| 06-06 10:47:07 | (anonymous) 0x559e…b381 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xae2c2b… |
| 06-06 10:47:07 | Belated-Democracy 0x490c…4e7e | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xae2c2b… |
| 06-06 03:29:10 | Belated-Democracy 0x490c…4e7e | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x474c0d… |
| 06-06 03:29:10 | (anonymous) 0x3355…21e5 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x474c0d… |
| 06-05 11:29:54 | (anonymous) 0xac8e…7524 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x2c4498… |
| 06-05 11:29:54 | (anonymous) 0xf1d8…0e46 | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x2c4498… |
| 06-05 10:33:46 | (anonymous) 0xf1d8…0e46 | No | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x3c1cbe… |
| 06-05 10:33:46 | (anonymous) 0x1784…dbe6 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x3c1cbe… |
| 06-05 10:23:09 | Diligent-Scenario 0xdf27…e6e4 | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x351f18… |
| 06-05 10:23:09 | (anonymous) 0x4808…1285 | No | SELL | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x351f18… |
| 06-05 09:01:12 | Diligent-Scenario 0xdf27…e6e4 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x049820… |
| 06-05 09:01:12 | (anonymous) 0x719c…4945 | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x049820… |
| 06-04 20:14:03 | (anonymous) 0xaff0…6223 | No | SELL | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xee4f68… |
| 06-04 20:14:03 | Belated-Democracy 0x490c…4e7e | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xee4f68… |
| 06-04 11:05:00 | Wilted-Burden-Survivor 0xd8d5…8935 | No | BUY | 13 | 98¢ | $12 | 0xb4e258… |
| 06-04 11:05:00 | Salty-Hacienda 0x9f73…cd04 | No | SELL | 13 | 98¢ | $12 | 0xb4e258… |
| 06-04 10:11:51 | (anonymous) 0x44f8…667e | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x71b6de… |
| 06-04 10:11:51 | (anonymous) 0xf1d8…0e46 | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x71b6de… |
| 06-04 05:01:39 | (anonymous) 0xf1d8…0e46 | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x22f489… |
| 06-04 05:01:39 | (anonymous) 0x516e…aa61 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x22f489… |
| 06-04 04:08:40 | (anonymous) 0xb034…179f | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x6ddf70… |
| 06-04 04:08:40 | Gleeful-Box 0xabfb…12e5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6ddf70… |
| 06-04 04:05:19 | Salty-Hacienda 0x9f73…cd04 | No | BUY | 13 | 99¢ | $12 | 0x56c175… |
| 06-04 04:05:19 | (anonymous) 0x834b…1f64 | No | SELL | 13 | 99¢ | $12 | 0x56c175… |
| 06-04 04:04:57 | (anonymous) 0x1ab0…6a26 | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xa5a2b7… |
| 06-04 04:04:57 | (anonymous) 0x834b…1f64 | No | SELL | 39 | 99¢ | $39 | 0xa5a2b7… |
| 06-04 04:04:57 | Advanced-Document 0x9fc0…cb4b | No | BUY | 49 | 99¢ | $49 | 0xa5a2b7… |
| 06-04 04:04:52 | Full-Capability 0x5d14…f8bd | No | BUY | 25 | 99¢ | $24 | 0x13ce69… |
| 06-04 04:04:52 | (anonymous) 0x1ab0…6a26 | No | SELL | 25 | 99¢ | $24 | 0x13ce69… |
| 06-04 04:04:40 | (anonymous) 0x5449…992b | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x217744… |
| 06-04 04:04:40 | (anonymous) 0x1ab0…6a26 | No | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x217744… |
| 06-04 04:04:37 | (anonymous) 0x1ab0…6a26 | No | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xf286b5… |
| 06-04 04:04:37 | (anonymous) 0x78c2…22cf | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xf286b5… |
| 06-04 04:04:36 | (anonymous) 0x77f5…84bc | No | SELL | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x57483e… |
| 06-04 04:04:36 | (anonymous) 0x7efd…585d | No | SELL | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x57483e… |
| 06-04 04:04:36 | (anonymous) 0x99c5…d2ff | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x083b7f… |
| 06-04 04:04:36 | (anonymous) 0xf49c…c583 | No | SELL | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x57483e… |
| 06-04 04:04:36 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | SELL | 343 | 98¢ | $337 | 0x57483e… |
| 06-04 04:04:36 | Somber-Creativity 0x69ea…15cd | No | BUY | 493 | 98¢ | $485 | 0x57483e… |
| 06-04 04:04:36 | (anonymous) 0x1ab0…6a26 | No | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x083b7f… |
| 06-04 03:47:24 | Diligent-Scenario 0xdf27…e6e4 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x9215e0… |
| 06-04 03:47:24 | (anonymous) 0x33b8…ba6b | No | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x9215e0… |
| 06-04 02:22:55 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | SELL | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x5c546b… |
| 06-04 02:22:55 | (anonymous) 0x6ed9…62ba | No | BUY | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x5c546b… |
| 06-02 03:37:02 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | SELL | 12 | 98¢ | $12 | 0xfe0014… |