Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?
open
Total volume
$10,313
$307 in 24h
Trades
251
Unique wallets
126
Liquidity
$7,592
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-06-01
last 06-28 14:03
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 12 | $0 | $4.1K | $4.1K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 13 | $3 | $91 | $88 |
| 🐟 Fish | 32 | $6 | $2.2K | $2.2K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 69 | $11 | $706 | $695 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $608 | $608 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $1 | $3.5K | $3.5K |
| Median | 20 | $3 | $1.1K | $1.1K |
| Below median | 11 | $2 | $14 | $12 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $1 | $14 | $13 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $2 | $42 | $40 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $0 | $93 | $93 |
| unranked | 76 | $11 | $1.7K | $1.7K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gleaming-Orient 0x5eec…f4e2 | No | +3,500 | $3,486 | $3,486 | 5 | 06-28 14:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xf0a5…92ba | Yes | +1,000 | $10 | $10 | 7 | 06-10 16:13 |
| Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | +920 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-28 12:00 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +780 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-23 17:59 |
| Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | +625 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-28 14:03 |
| Somber-Creativity 0x69ea…15cd | No | +618 | $608 | $608 | 2 | 06-09 06:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x18db…21bf | Yes | +293 | $0 | $0 | 19 | 06-28 07:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x4d74…5cd2 | No | +219 | $218 | $218 | 1 | 06-26 06:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x24ed…5957 | No | +200 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 06-26 02:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xf18d…6103 | No | +175 | $175 | $175 | 1 | 06-26 02:46 |
| Respectful-Trolley 0x8b14…c848 | No | +170 | $170 | $170 | 1 | 06-26 02:34 |
| Tangible-Discount 0xf1ef…31d7 | No | +147 | $147 | $147 | 1 | 06-26 02:34 |
| Infatuated-Bricklaying 0x7432…bbe2 | No | +146 | $146 | $146 | 1 | 06-25 12:24 |
| Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | +130 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-27 01:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x6efe…59bf | No | +130 | $130 | $130 | 1 | 06-27 01:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xcb4d…f605 | No | +120 | $120 | $120 | 1 | 06-26 02:45 |
| Hot-Plenty 0x5db6…4391 | No | +118 | $118 | $118 | 1 | 06-26 02:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x07d4…504d | No | +118 | $118 | $118 | 2 | 06-26 02:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xb80f…56c2 | No | +110 | $110 | $110 | 1 | 06-26 02:45 |
| Feline-Contention 0x603e…8a30 | No | +110 | $110 | $110 | 1 | 06-26 06:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x21eb…2793 | No | +108 | $107 | $107 | 1 | 06-26 02:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x48fc…30ee | No | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-26 02:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xb1f3…c402 | No | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-26 02:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x1683…3689 | No | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-26 02:34 |
| Blank-Cold 0x80ba…a67e | No | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-25 13:41 |
| Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-26 02:34 |
| Advanced-Document 0x9fc0…cb4b | No | +62 | $61 | $61 | 2 | 06-09 06:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x2a77…e04e | No | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-25 14:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x64c6…1678 | No | +33 | $33 | $33 | 1 | 06-10 23:29 |
| Full-Capability 0x5d14…f8bd | No | +31 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 06-09 06:04 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-28 14:03 |
| Crowded-Teenager 0xd299…8d12 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-25 12:56 |
| Handy-Derivation 0x346f…8fcb | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-25 12:56 |
| Realistic-Dollop 0xd158…73c2 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-25 12:56 |
| Joint-Silica 0xa885…0c42 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-25 12:56 |
| Unacceptable-Designation 0x698d…6aac | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-25 12:56 |
| Worrisome-Teaching 0x22df…be63 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-25 12:56 |
| Unique-Submarine 0x267c…b35e | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-25 12:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x9895…3870 | Yes | +15 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-28 07:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | +14 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-28 14:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x716d…70a8 | Yes | +14 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-28 14:03 |
| Intelligent-Fedelini 0xea8e…3de0 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-28 07:51 |
| Stormy-Trolley 0x7ba5…4252 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-28 07:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xdd57…694d | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-28 07:51 |
| Peaceful-Noun 0xd281…d750 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-28 07:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a84…c2b7 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-28 07:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x374b…2a3f | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-28 07:51 |
| Educated-Jockey 0xce5b…047a | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-28 07:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x1846…a932 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-28 07:51 |
| Lucky-Pear 0x843c…4863 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-28 07:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xf450…9e45 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-28 07:51 |
| Adored-Dentist 0x9a2f…1f59 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-28 07:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x1c16…45e9 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-28 07:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xa652…6f8f | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-28 07:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xa1aa…f2b6 | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-28 07:51 |
| Memorable-Pool 0xa69f…f921 | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-28 07:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xd2b8…7223 | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-28 07:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x395c…ee8d | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-28 07:51 |
| Excitable-Saviour 0x241f…ef50 | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-28 07:51 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 14:03:56 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7094b3… |
| 06-28 14:03:56 | (anonymous) 0x716d…70a8 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7094b3… |
| 06-28 14:03:56 | Far-Off-Webinar 0x6bed…b1fe | No | SELL | 27 | 100¢ | $27 | 0x7094b3… |
| 06-28 14:03:56 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 625 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x7094b3… |
| 06-28 14:03:56 | Gleaming-Orient 0x5eec…f4e2 | No | BUY | 700 | 100¢ | $699 | 0x7094b3… |
| 06-28 14:03:56 | (anonymous) 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7094b3… |
| 06-28 12:00:50 | Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | BUY | 800 | 0¢ | $2 | 0xe0d234… |
| 06-28 12:00:50 | Gleaming-Orient 0x5eec…f4e2 | No | BUY | 800 | 100¢ | $798 | 0xe0d234… |
| 06-28 09:39:50 | Far-Off-Webinar 0x6bed…b1fe | No | SELL | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0xfbd0ed… |
| 06-28 09:39:50 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfbd0ed… |
| 06-28 09:37:55 | Far-Off-Webinar 0x6bed…b1fe | No | SELL | 67 | 100¢ | $67 | 0xea4e05… |
| 06-28 09:37:55 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | SELL | 67 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xea4e05… |
| 06-28 09:30:14 | Far-Off-Webinar 0x6bed…b1fe | No | SELL | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0xf6def7… |
| 06-28 09:30:14 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf6def7… |
| 06-28 09:25:46 | Far-Off-Webinar 0x6bed…b1fe | No | SELL | 200 | 100¢ | $200 | 0xf0acdc… |
| 06-28 09:25:46 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf0acdc… |
| 06-28 09:20:52 | Far-Off-Webinar 0x6bed…b1fe | No | SELL | 295 | 100¢ | $295 | 0x7e067d… |
| 06-28 09:20:52 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | SELL | 295 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7e067d… |
| 06-28 09:13:40 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | SELL | 600 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xfdd3b8… |
| 06-28 09:13:40 | Far-Off-Webinar 0x6bed…b1fe | No | SELL | 600 | 100¢ | $599 | 0xfdd3b8… |
| 06-28 07:51:44 | (anonymous) 0x5a84…c2b7 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcd7de5… |
| 06-28 07:51:44 | Adored-Dentist 0x9a2f…1f59 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcd7de5… |
| 06-28 07:51:44 | (anonymous) 0x395c…ee8d | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcd7de5… |
| 06-28 07:51:44 | (anonymous) 0xa1aa…f2b6 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcd7de5… |
| 06-28 07:51:44 | Educated-Jockey 0xce5b…047a | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcd7de5… |
| 06-28 07:51:44 | (anonymous) 0xf450…9e45 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcd7de5… |
| 06-28 07:51:44 | Stormy-Trolley 0x7ba5…4252 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcd7de5… |
| 06-28 07:51:44 | Memorable-Pool 0xa69f…f921 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcd7de5… |
| 06-28 07:51:44 | (anonymous) 0x1c16…45e9 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcd7de5… |
| 06-28 07:51:44 | (anonymous) 0x374b…2a3f | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcd7de5… |
| 06-28 07:51:44 | (anonymous) 0x18db…21bf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcd7de5… |
| 06-28 07:51:44 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | SELL | 437 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcd7de5… |
| 06-28 07:51:44 | (anonymous) 0x9895…3870 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcd7de5… |
| 06-28 07:51:44 | Excitable-Saviour 0x241f…ef50 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcd7de5… |
| 06-28 07:51:44 | (anonymous) 0x1846…a932 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcd7de5… |
| 06-28 07:51:44 | (anonymous) 0xa652…6f8f | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcd7de5… |
| 06-28 07:51:44 | Peaceful-Noun 0xd281…d750 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcd7de5… |
| 06-28 07:51:44 | Intelligent-Fedelini 0xea8e…3de0 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcd7de5… |
| 06-28 07:51:44 | (anonymous) 0xd2b8…7223 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcd7de5… |
| 06-28 07:51:44 | Lucky-Pear 0x843c…4863 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcd7de5… |
| 06-28 07:51:44 | (anonymous) 0xdd57…694d | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcd7de5… |
| 06-27 01:30:52 | Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | BUY | 130 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf14e16… |
| 06-27 01:30:52 | (anonymous) 0x6efe…59bf | No | BUY | 130 | 100¢ | $130 | 0xf14e16… |
| 06-26 18:01:13 | Yellow-Cost 0x5014…343f | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x188af1… |
| 06-26 18:01:13 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x188af1… |
| 06-26 14:47:26 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf792f9… |
| 06-26 14:47:26 | (anonymous) 0x8422…69f7 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xf792f9… |
| 06-26 06:52:31 | Feline-Contention 0x603e…8a30 | No | BUY | 110 | 100¢ | $110 | 0x0552d1… |
| 06-26 06:52:31 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | BUY | 110 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0552d1… |
| 06-26 06:00:50 | (anonymous) 0x4d74…5cd2 | No | BUY | 219 | 100¢ | $218 | 0xc331f8… |
| 06-26 06:00:50 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | BUY | 219 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc331f8… |
| 06-26 02:46:08 | (anonymous) 0xf18d…6103 | No | BUY | 175 | 100¢ | $175 | 0x03e936… |
| 06-26 02:46:08 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | BUY | 175 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x03e936… |
| 06-26 02:45:55 | (anonymous) 0xb80f…56c2 | No | BUY | 110 | 100¢ | $110 | 0x4fe8d0… |
| 06-26 02:45:55 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | BUY | 110 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4fe8d0… |
| 06-26 02:45:46 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x687f78… |
| 06-26 02:45:46 | (anonymous) 0x48fc…30ee | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x687f78… |
| 06-26 02:45:35 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbea8e2… |
| 06-26 02:45:35 | (anonymous) 0x24ed…5957 | No | BUY | 200 | 100¢ | $200 | 0xbea8e2… |
| 06-26 02:45:34 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | BUY | 108 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x66ae27… |
| 06-26 02:45:34 | (anonymous) 0x21eb…2793 | No | BUY | 108 | 100¢ | $107 | 0x66ae27… |
| 06-26 02:45:13 | (anonymous) 0xcb4d…f605 | No | BUY | 120 | 100¢ | $120 | 0x746f1b… |
| 06-26 02:45:13 | Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | BUY | 120 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x746f1b… |
| 06-26 02:34:59 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x25491a… |
| 06-26 02:34:59 | (anonymous) 0x07d4…504d | No | BUY | 19 | 100¢ | $19 | 0x25491a… |
| 06-26 02:34:56 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3dd6e0… |
| 06-26 02:34:56 | (anonymous) 0xb1f3…c402 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x3dd6e0… |
| 06-26 02:34:47 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x820a80… |
| 06-26 02:34:47 | (anonymous) 0x1683…3689 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x820a80… |
| 06-26 02:34:43 | Tangible-Discount 0xf1ef…31d7 | No | BUY | 147 | 100¢ | $147 | 0xd0002f… |
| 06-26 02:34:43 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | BUY | 147 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd0002f… |
| 06-26 02:34:40 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | BUY | 118 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcbddaa… |
| 06-26 02:34:40 | Hot-Plenty 0x5db6…4391 | No | BUY | 118 | 100¢ | $118 | 0xcbddaa… |
| 06-26 02:34:22 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | BUY | 170 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x67b7db… |
| 06-26 02:34:22 | Respectful-Trolley 0x8b14…c848 | No | BUY | 170 | 100¢ | $170 | 0x67b7db… |
| 06-26 02:34:11 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 99 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb905b3… |
| 06-26 02:34:11 | (anonymous) 0x07d4…504d | No | BUY | 99 | 100¢ | $99 | 0xb905b3… |
| 06-25 14:54:47 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7aa522… |
| 06-25 14:54:47 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7aa522… |
| 06-25 14:08:23 | Far-Off-Webinar 0x6bed…b1fe | No | SELL | 709 | 100¢ | $707 | 0xc64d3a… |
| 06-25 14:08:23 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | SELL | 586 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xc64d3a… |
| 06-25 14:08:23 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc64d3a… |
| 06-25 14:08:23 | (anonymous) 0x2a77…e04e | No | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0xc64d3a… |
| 06-25 13:45:52 | Jolly-Chaplain 0x0873…09e8 | Yes | SELL | 586 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x79edf0… |
| 06-25 13:45:52 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | BUY | 586 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x79edf0… |
| 06-25 13:41:29 | Jolly-Chaplain 0x0873…09e8 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x612833… |
| 06-25 13:41:29 | Blank-Cold 0x80ba…a67e | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x612833… |
| 06-25 12:56:47 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x700f50… |
| 06-25 12:56:47 | Overdue-Bull 0x1a06…d520 | No | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x700f50… |
| 06-25 12:56:40 | Handy-Derivation 0x346f…8fcb | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xe40e34… |
| 06-25 12:56:40 | Jolly-Chaplain 0x0873…09e8 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfd803c… |
| 06-25 12:56:40 | Jolly-Chaplain 0x0873…09e8 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe40e34… |
| 06-25 12:56:40 | Realistic-Dollop 0xd158…73c2 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xfd803c… |
| 06-25 12:56:38 | Jovial-Inconvenience 0xc31d…a945 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x7f6f86… |
| 06-25 12:56:38 | Amusing-Security 0x6710…3e0c | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xa746cb… |
| 06-25 12:56:38 | Jolly-Chaplain 0x0873…09e8 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7f6f86… |
| 06-25 12:56:38 | Jolly-Chaplain 0x0873…09e8 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa746cb… |
| 06-25 12:56:37 | Jolly-Chaplain 0x0873…09e8 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8d74ea… |
| 06-25 12:56:37 | Orderly-Leg-Cheer 0x2740…c72e | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x8d74ea… |
| 06-25 12:56:34 | Jolly-Chaplain 0x0873…09e8 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc7cfe6… |