Playful-Chafe — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.0%

Resolved

112

Trades

258

lifetime

Volume

$1.58K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 08-31 04:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Other

94% 56% +$8

Politics

5% 100% +$3

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Crypto

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$1	06-01 06:13
Will MrBeast's next video get between 49 and 50 million views on day 4?	2	$28	15	15	+0	Yes	+$1	06-17 09:27
Will "Michael" be the highest grossing movie of this weekend?	2	$28	14	14	+0	No	+$0	05-12 00:30
Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.5%?	2	$27	14	14	+0	No	+$0	05-08 12:30
Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?	2	$27	14	14	+0	Yes	+$1	06-24 04:53
Will Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$26	14	14	+0	Yes	+$1	05-12 21:15
iran successfully targets shipping on june 28 20260625225210239	2	$25	13	13	+0	No	+$1	06-29 00:01
Will Thomas Massie win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 6% or more?	2	$25	13	13	+0	No	+$1	05-19 23:17
Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	2	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$0	05-09 10:18
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	06-29 02:49
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	1	$22	22	0	+22	Yes	+$0	06-21 05:35
Will Jessica Killin be the Democratic nominee for CO-05?	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	07-01 01:49
Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	05-27 05:14
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-25 12:56
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% in April?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-12 12:30
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on June 23?	2	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	06-23 07:14
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 9?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-08 22:13
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 94°F or higher on June 15?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-14 13:35
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on May 31?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-31 16:54
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 84°F or higher on May 11?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-11 12:41
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 12?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-12 00:07
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on May 1?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-30 19:30
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on May 12?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-11 14:21
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 27°C or below on May 9?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-08 16:09
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on May 9?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-09 09:56
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 7?	6	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-06 22:48
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on June 6?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-06 01:59
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 30?	2	$14	28	0	+28	No	+$0	05-30 07:12
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 16?	2	$14	28	0	+28	No	+$0	05-16 05:51
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on May 13?	2	$14	28	0	+28	No	+$0	05-13 03:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 04:16:04	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x12f613…
08-31 03:45:49	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $75 in August?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4a7d00…
07-28 06:08:36	will dogecoin reach 0pt15 in july 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xac971d…
07-04 10:31:05	will corey sawyer jrpt be eliminated from love island usa this week 20260626220759020	Yes	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0x3eca46…
07-01 01:49:22	Will Jessica Killin be the Democratic nominee for CO-05?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xefcf9b…
06-29 02:49:01	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x909394…
06-29 00:05:35	Will Jessica Killin be the Democratic nominee for CO-05?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xa750e7…
06-29 00:01:53	iran successfully targets shipping on june 28 20260625225210239	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x30c278…
06-28 08:54:26	iran successfully targets shipping on june 28 20260625225210239	No	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0xc2b0cd…
06-27 17:38:07	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x8cb9bd…
06-27 16:41:25	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xf8cead…
06-27 16:41:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x6a8214…
06-27 15:50:47	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xbec849…
06-27 15:08:56	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 28?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x260235…
06-26 22:03:38	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x2587a7…
06-26 21:23:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 27?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xdd8089…
06-25 13:11:43	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x79eef3…
06-25 13:11:38	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xb6d65c…
06-25 12:56:29	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x145a5b…
06-25 12:18:11	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 26?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x15957c…
06-24 16:02:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x5002c8…
06-24 16:01:29	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xc09507…
06-24 12:10:38	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 25?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xea041b…
06-24 04:53:58	Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x9ee8a9…
06-23 07:14:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on June 23?	No	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x3c4541…
06-23 07:11:02	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x8dd9b9…
06-22 03:28:05	Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?	Yes	BUY	14	90¢	$13	0x36ca99…
06-22 02:59:32	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xcf2d30…
06-21 05:35:59	Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x038dbd…
06-20 12:22:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xe98d26…
06-20 12:22:34	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x5c11fb…
06-20 12:01:50	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 21?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x4597b1…
06-19 14:40:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xea47c1…
06-19 10:49:53	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 19?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x2ad415…
06-17 09:27:23	Will MrBeast's next video get between 49 and 50 million views on day 4?	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x9b0bce…
06-16 23:44:52	Will MrBeast's next video get between 49 and 50 million views on day 4?	Yes	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0x1bde60…
06-15 16:25:13	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xb783e4…
06-15 16:24:28	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xc242f5…
06-15 16:11:46	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 16?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x9c42da…
06-14 13:35:13	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 94°F or higher on June 15?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xb1f9d6…
06-14 12:02:01	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 94°F or higher on June 15?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x4f8324…
06-13 22:22:43	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x7c66b2…
06-13 22:22:43	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x2b5f8a…
06-13 13:38:28	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 14?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x907d24…
06-13 02:05:25	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x6ed3ed…
06-13 02:04:46	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x00cd59…
06-12 20:08:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x4859ae…
06-12 14:24:49	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 13?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x8c95fc…
06-12 00:07:39	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 12?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xc6b2ac…
06-11 14:27:18	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 12?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x7f436a…
06-10 23:29:04	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xa15b39…
06-10 18:13:31	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 11?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x979f39…
06-08 22:13:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 9?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x701cff…
06-08 20:33:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 9?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x981ec1…
06-08 07:08:12	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x670008…
06-08 01:38:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xe89d5a…
06-08 01:38:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x3a0b52…
06-08 01:17:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 8?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xa39242…
06-07 12:05:09	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 8?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xd6f378…
06-06 20:22:54	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x8f7611…
06-06 19:16:48	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 7?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x9bf254…
06-06 01:59:28	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xd0b6f2…
06-06 01:53:36	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on June 6?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x574db4…
06-05 07:57:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 5?	No	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x4d8a1a…
06-05 07:56:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xd3f5e4…
06-04 22:49:19	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x751326…
06-04 12:02:58	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 5?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x3708e3…
06-03 15:59:55	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x5aa356…
06-03 14:34:03	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x524ba2…
06-03 12:05:43	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 4?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x76830c…
06-02 23:39:04	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xdedc95…
06-02 23:39:04	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xdbab24…
06-02 23:33:23	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x2cc0f1…
06-02 12:14:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 3?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x0c800a…
06-02 05:13:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xc4bba6…
06-02 04:45:31	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on June 2?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x336180…
06-01 12:16:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0xda650d…
06-01 12:15:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 2?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x7f20e8…
06-01 06:13:52	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x63cde9…
06-01 00:29:19	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 1?	No	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x933b33…
05-31 23:06:40	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x09fbf3…
05-31 16:54:19	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x48769e…
05-31 08:41:42	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on May 31?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x3c4c1a…
05-30 19:03:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x1b942e…
05-30 18:32:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 31?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xda64f4…
05-30 07:12:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xaaac7f…
05-30 07:08:35	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 30?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xdbff87…
05-29 07:54:30	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xf7d2e2…
05-29 04:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xd6db9d…
05-29 01:29:25	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x8b0d11…
05-28 20:26:00	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 29?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x4d3fbe…
05-28 16:22:41	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on May 29?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x23a73c…
05-28 15:13:49	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on May 29?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xebf666…
05-28 14:55:30	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on May 29?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x196b4e…
05-28 13:01:28	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x8f759a…
05-28 12:50:14	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xe44bf5…
05-28 12:07:23	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on May 29?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xd67f30…
05-28 10:46:01	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x788844…
05-27 16:49:06	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on May 28?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x2e2181…
05-27 12:42:45	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x7d07af…