Colossal-Foal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.0%

Resolved

113

Trades

272

lifetime

Volume

$1.55K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 08-31 03:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Other

92% 55% +$4

Politics

6% 75% -$11

Tech

2% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	06-21 16:31
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?	2	$29	15	15	+0	Yes	+$1	05-08 17:45
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	2	$29	15	15	+0	Yes	+$1	05-20 21:34
Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,800,000 and 2,100,000 voters?	2	$28	14	14	+0	No	+$0	05-31 16:07
Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election by between 10% and 20%?	2	$27	14	14	+0	No	+$1	06-04 01:31
Will "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?	2	$26	13	13	+0	Yes	+$0	05-08 13:47
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?	2	$25	13	13	+0	No	+$1	06-28 08:29
Will "Swapped" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	2	$24	12	12	+0	Yes	+$0	05-12 17:01
Will Zachary Shrewsbury be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	2	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$1	05-13 01:23
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	06-29 02:48
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 61 million views on day 6?	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	06-05 13:02
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-25 12:56
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 4?	5	$15	45	0	+45	No	$0	06-04 08:34
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 9?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-09 13:02
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 26?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-25 14:44
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 13?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-12 22:04
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 11?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-11 08:30
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 9?	5	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-08 16:25
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 7?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-06 14:32
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 37°C on May 1?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-01 00:05
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 2?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-02 03:29
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 30?	5	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-29 20:04
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 57°F or below on May 14?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-14 06:02
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on May 8?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-08 06:55
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on May 9?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-09 10:14
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on May 28?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-28 07:38
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on May 13?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-12 16:41
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on May 9?	2	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	05-08 23:10
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 32°C on May 10?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-09 19:10
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 1?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-30 13:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 03:55:58	Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 300m and 350m by August 31?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2b7265…
08-31 03:26:13	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8b92ef…
06-29 06:30:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xc6e1ba…
06-29 06:29:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 29?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x3e8089…
06-29 02:48:56	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xf8234b…
06-28 19:03:46	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on June 29?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x2fe383…
06-28 13:23:20	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on June 29?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x3ecda9…
06-28 08:29:23	Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xa741d5…
06-28 00:04:23	Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x82db46…
06-27 03:00:22	iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	No	BUY	14	91¢	$13	0x351b01…
06-25 14:44:02	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x407e40…
06-25 14:40:02	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x9bdd4a…
06-25 14:31:55	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 26?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xea67ad…
06-25 12:56:34	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc7cfe6…
06-24 17:04:31	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 25?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x6b56f3…
06-24 17:04:23	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 25?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x50b81f…
06-24 02:56:59	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 24?	No	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xb8ce35…
06-24 02:53:40	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x20e1af…
06-24 02:30:22	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 24?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x619b60…
06-22 22:15:35	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 23?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x8cd850…
06-22 21:33:13	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 23?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x7331aa…
06-21 16:31:34	Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x3f202f…
06-21 15:22:20	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 21?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0xafee92…
06-21 04:32:37	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 21?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x6e1038…
06-21 04:17:29	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on June 21?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2fad24…
06-19 21:48:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x2c8abe…
06-19 21:13:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 20?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xbb8c03…
06-19 07:36:38	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x376a2a…
06-19 06:08:22	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 19?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf47c54…
06-16 23:43:55	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xac9e35…
06-16 23:38:02	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 17?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xbf1b15…
06-15 20:49:03	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd14b2b…
06-15 18:25:25	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x912b27…
06-15 18:25:22	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x863fab…
06-15 12:03:13	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 16?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xdafd9b…
06-14 20:17:15	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x7a1f70…
06-14 20:17:15	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x3aaa18…
06-14 19:17:43	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x061f9f…
06-14 17:54:21	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xbbb9b0…
06-14 12:01:55	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 15?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xfc5078…
06-13 15:43:28	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x2b3b6d…
06-13 15:09:16	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xaf0960…
06-13 12:43:42	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x61c64a…
06-13 12:04:22	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x7b939a…
06-13 12:02:57	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 14?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x393a37…
06-12 14:54:51	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or below on June 13?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xc41b71…
06-12 12:00:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or below on June 13?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x48732a…
06-11 16:55:49	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x53a560…
06-11 14:23:01	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 12?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xe7a7c7…
06-11 04:04:12	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 11?	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x965fe5…
06-11 03:51:13	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x3b9926…
06-09 06:03:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C or higher on June 9?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x3008ce…
06-09 06:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C or higher on June 9?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xdc4e98…
06-08 13:56:09	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xa467d3…
06-08 13:56:09	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x37ad3a…
06-08 08:46:51	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 8?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x565c56…
06-07 14:49:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on June 8?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xff3990…
06-07 14:30:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on June 8?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x735b0a…
06-07 04:59:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 7?	No	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x2015a3…
06-07 04:42:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xca6c68…
06-06 12:49:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C or higher on June 7?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xeda9b7…
06-06 12:39:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C or higher on June 7?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x26ac3e…
06-06 12:37:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C or higher on June 7?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x93099a…
06-06 12:04:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C or higher on June 7?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x76614c…
06-06 12:04:21	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on June 7?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x396219…
06-06 09:17:45	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 59°F or below on June 6?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x469d99…
06-05 13:49:18	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 59°F or below on June 6?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x89b9d8…
06-05 13:02:58	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 61 million views on day 6?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x5ca8ed…
06-05 04:12:37	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 61 million views on day 6?	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xa6b691…
06-04 08:34:28	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 4?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x2a8778…
06-04 01:31:49	Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election by between 10% and 20%?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x36cbae…
06-03 20:52:33	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 4?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x59b73a…
06-03 20:52:33	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 4?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x1ac141…
06-03 20:48:28	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 4?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x3f75d5…
06-03 18:32:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 4?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x4db383…
06-02 16:31:17	Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election by between 10% and 20%?	No	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0x6a9413…
06-02 03:29:25	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x6b1a24…
06-02 02:53:43	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 2?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x293cf3…
06-01 14:33:17	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xc95942…
06-01 14:17:11	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 2?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd15fb4…
06-01 07:55:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x8333e9…
06-01 07:13:26	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 1?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x95f046…
05-31 16:07:13	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,800,000 and 2,100,000 voters?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x6508bb…
05-31 14:44:06	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x0b3438…
05-31 14:43:55	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xf5fed6…
05-31 14:43:41	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xcf2c6c…
05-31 13:35:33	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 1?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x968b0e…
05-31 07:49:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 31?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x50a23c…
05-31 07:17:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd8578b…
05-30 18:03:15	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xfaaf48…
05-30 13:26:37	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on May 31?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x52fa6f…
05-30 06:39:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 30?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x6de8a9…
05-30 06:38:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 30?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x77431d…
05-30 06:37:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6d8fbb…
05-29 20:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xe50ab6…
05-29 20:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x258c6a…
05-29 20:01:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x3e4189…
05-29 20:01:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x248ade…
05-29 16:52:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 30?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x81ff97…
05-29 06:21:50	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C or higher on May 29?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x226fa2…