Realistic-Dollop — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.4%

Resolved

111

Trades

255

lifetime

Volume

$1.53K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 08-31 04:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Other

97% 62% +$5

Politics

3% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Democratic Party win 14 upper-level local government races?	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$1	06-04 05:53
will spencer pratt concede by june 10 20260608151037169	2	$28	15	15	+0	No	+$1	06-10 13:22
Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?	2	$28	15	15	+0	Yes	+$1	06-24 01:45
Will White House post 160-179 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	2	$28	14	14	+0	Yes	+$0	05-26 15:58
Will MrBeast's next video get between 61 and 62 million views on day 5?	2	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	05-21 06:49
Will Shannon Bird be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?	2	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$0	07-01 01:34
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	06-29 02:48
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	1	$22	22	0	+22	Yes	+$0	06-21 05:35
Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 900,000 and 1,200,000 voters?	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$0	05-29 17:46
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 5 9144	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$0	06-05 03:15
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-25 12:56
Will annual inflation increase by 3.5% in April?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-12 12:31
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on May 30?	3	$16	32	0	+32	No	+$0	05-29 20:26
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C or higher on May 11?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-11 05:14
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 31°C on May 11?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-10 17:53
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 1?	5	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-30 16:28
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on May 7?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-06 18:08
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 10?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-09 15:59
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on May 13?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-12 23:18
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on June 23?	2	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	06-23 07:14
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 6?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-06 18:13
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 6?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-05 13:27
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on May 8?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-07 18:21
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 14?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-14 00:29
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 100-101°F on June 7?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-07 06:13
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or higher on May 7?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-06 16:18
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 13?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-12 13:34
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on May 9?	5	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-08 18:33
Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 32 and 35 inclusive?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	08-31 04:02
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on June 14?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	06-14 05:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 04:02:37	Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 32 and 35 inclusive?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x92c141…
08-31 03:55:49	Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 300m and 350m by August 31?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x7a5cab…
07-01 01:34:55	Will Shannon Bird be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xe67017…
06-29 02:48:47	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x6f06cb…
06-29 00:04:31	Will Shannon Bird be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?	No	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x80c5ce…
06-28 11:03:44	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 40°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x3d7eba…
06-28 06:48:46	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 40°C on June 28?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xd2a0b3…
06-27 13:59:47	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on June 28?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xecf425…
06-27 13:59:34	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on June 28?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x9086eb…
06-27 12:05:20	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on June 28?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x9485f5…
06-26 12:52:07	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x20f678…
06-26 12:03:49	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 27?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x165fb2…
06-25 12:56:40	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xfd803c…
06-25 10:25:37	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 25?	No	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x488ba7…
06-25 10:13:20	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 25?	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x96e255…
06-24 16:01:29	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xc09507…
06-24 16:00:44	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xc9b385…
06-24 12:10:38	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 25?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xff41d6…
06-24 01:45:20	Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xa09fd3…
06-23 07:14:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on June 23?	No	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x3c4541…
06-23 07:11:02	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x39a5bc…
06-22 00:08:14	Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?	Yes	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0xd482a2…
06-21 06:00:31	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xcf2e96…
06-21 05:35:44	Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x162352…
06-20 12:02:50	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 21?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xbccc9f…
06-19 13:13:47	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x971e35…
06-19 12:51:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 20?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9e299d…
06-18 00:40:32	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x8a9113…
06-18 00:29:53	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 18?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xab2978…
06-16 05:08:58	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xeb346d…
06-16 04:21:54	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 16?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x101f2e…
06-15 05:48:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or below on June 15?	No	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xfe84dc…
06-15 05:11:18	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or below on June 15?	Yes	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xaed991…
06-14 06:04:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xd0c628…
06-14 06:01:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 14?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xc90622…
06-14 05:56:36	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on June 14?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x83a99d…
06-14 05:41:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 14?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x016e7c…
06-13 10:17:45	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 13?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xb8729c…
06-13 09:36:30	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 13?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x38881f…
06-12 12:55:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x2ec965…
06-12 08:34:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 12?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xad895c…
06-11 23:58:22	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xeb7d59…
06-11 12:09:22	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 12?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x9693bb…
06-10 13:22:19	will spencer pratt concede by june 10 20260608151037169	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x14e8cb…
06-10 11:10:10	will spencer pratt concede by june 10 20260608151037169	No	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0xbf6396…
06-08 21:14:25	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C or higher on June 9?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x795222…
06-08 13:09:04	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C or higher on June 9?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x1c95a2…
06-08 00:00:25	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 8?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x13105a…
06-07 20:59:12	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 8?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x2fe653…
06-07 06:13:58	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 100-101°F on June 7?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xb0996f…
06-07 05:38:36	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 100-101°F on June 7?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xbb1c7c…
06-06 12:18:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xd048c9…
06-06 12:18:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 7?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xbbc241…
06-05 13:27:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xf416c2…
06-05 13:27:52	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x4b68dc…
06-05 13:26:57	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x3dbd7a…
06-05 12:10:04	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 6?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x9dc774…
06-05 03:15:49	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 5 9144	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x7afc50…
06-05 00:58:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 5?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x200464…
06-05 00:55:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 5?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xd6ee02…
06-05 00:51:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 5?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xb4e86a…
06-04 22:17:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 5?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xd7b18c…
06-04 05:53:25	Will the Democratic Party win 14 upper-level local government races?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x7343f7…
06-04 01:59:33	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x9086f3…
06-04 01:45:10	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 4?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x4c8dfe…
06-02 20:34:36	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x4fd08c…
06-02 06:44:04	Will the Democratic Party win 14 upper-level local government races?	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x9ddd94…
06-01 19:01:50	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x104e86…
06-01 16:57:31	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 2?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xc7cf2f…
06-01 07:46:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 1?	No	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xdeef05…
06-01 07:46:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 1?	No	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x360e7f…
06-01 07:40:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x12bd27…
05-31 17:25:34	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 81°F or below on June 1?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x454ed2…
05-31 12:19:26	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 81°F or below on June 1?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x040fbc…
05-31 00:21:49	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x8020e7…
05-31 00:21:49	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x0e1d3e…
05-31 00:21:42	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x343aa1…
05-31 00:10:00	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 31?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x5341ae…
05-30 11:31:12	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xdb38a5…
05-30 11:19:20	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on May 30?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xfef100…
05-29 23:08:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x2e79dc…
05-29 21:53:11	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 30?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x0aa9eb…
05-29 20:26:44	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x4ac94f…
05-29 20:24:35	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xce456d…
05-29 17:46:40	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 900,000 and 1,200,000 voters?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xa99354…
05-29 07:55:54	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on May 29?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x989c4b…
05-29 07:25:39	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on May 30?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x145995…
05-28 20:59:39	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x24b802…
05-28 19:53:07	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 29?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x25d6b1…
05-28 12:11:56	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on May 29?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x831533…
05-27 22:49:08	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x4d802f…
05-27 22:29:00	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 79°F or below on May 28?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xd89519…
05-27 22:25:04	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 79°F or below on May 28?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xc87abf…
05-27 22:25:00	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 79°F or below on May 28?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x1f5bcc…
05-27 22:24:55	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 79°F or below on May 28?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xf5f78c…
05-27 22:24:55	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 79°F or below on May 28?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xcefa34…
05-27 19:43:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 28?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x94ace7…
05-27 12:11:31	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 79°F or below on May 28?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x039015…
05-27 08:31:29	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xfc8f02…
05-27 00:28:50	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on May 27?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4ec856…