Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on May 8?
open
Total volume
$94
$1,155 in 24h
Trades
44
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$2,260
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-07 14:34
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $5 | $7 | $1 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 17 | $7 | $68 | $62 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | — | $23 | $23 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $30 | $30 |
| Median | 6 | — | $13 | $13 |
| Below median | 4 | $6 | $7 | $0 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $4 | $2 | +$2 |
| unranked | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x28f8…b5f7 | Yes | +48 | $3 | $5 | 4 | 05-06 13:32 |
| Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | +32 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-07 09:20 |
| Chief-Flute 0x9a2f…a13c | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 3 | 05-06 15:27 |
| Distant-Cook 0x0440…2dae | Yes | +19 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 14:01 |
| Complex-Codon 0x1342…c430 | Yes | +16 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 09:51 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | +10 | $5 | $5 | 16 | 05-07 14:34 |
| Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-07 09:20 |
| Insubstantial-Mantel-Waste 0xb633…51d4 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 22:26 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-07 07:58 |
| Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 05-06 04:54 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-06 04:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x46f7…5b54 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-07 03:28 |
| Accurate-Date 0xa9c1…be67 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-06 13:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 15:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xd060…b566 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 15:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x66c6…ffa9 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 03:28 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-07 14:34:32 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x4c4cda… |
| 05-07 14:34:20 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x6bf3b8… |
| 05-07 14:01:15 | Distant-Cook 0x0440…2dae | Yes | BUY | 19 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x7c0879… |
| 05-07 09:51:16 | Complex-Codon 0x1342…c430 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x5e1529… |
| 05-07 09:20:56 | Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x14e494… |
| 05-07 09:20:54 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 32 | 96¢ | $30 | 0x4fb919… |
| 05-07 07:58:43 | Musty-Subsection 0x7f51…28e0 | Yes | SELL | 79 | 4¢ | $3 | 0x0ad2a3… |
| 05-07 07:58:25 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 7 | 95¢ | $7 | 0x136cd4… |
| 05-07 03:43:46 | Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $4 | 0x5e012e… |
| 05-07 03:28:33 | (anonymous) 0x66c6…ffa9 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x233ec0… |
| 05-07 03:28:26 | (anonymous) 0x46f7…5b54 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xdc0284… |
| 05-06 22:26:58 | Insubstantial-Mantel-Waste 0xb633…51d4 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x28fa9d… |
| 05-06 15:27:24 | (anonymous) 0xd060…b566 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xcbd4d1… |
| 05-06 15:27:22 | (anonymous) 0x46f7…5b54 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xea9b30… |
| 05-06 15:27:22 | Chief-Flute 0x9a2f…a13c | No | BUY | 4 | 94¢ | $4 | 0xbf683f… |
| 05-06 15:27:22 | (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x9f6e15… |
| 05-06 13:32:34 | Chief-Flute 0x9a2f…a13c | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x54754a… |
| 05-06 13:32:34 | Chief-Flute 0x9a2f…a13c | No | BUY | 11 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x12c501… |
| 05-06 13:32:32 | (anonymous) 0x28f8…b5f7 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xf82e87… |
| 05-06 13:32:32 | Accurate-Date 0xa9c1…be67 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xebfa5e… |
| 05-06 13:32:30 | (anonymous) 0x28f8…b5f7 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xaad5cc… |
| 05-06 13:32:30 | (anonymous) 0x28f8…b5f7 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x65377a… |
| 05-06 13:32:30 | (anonymous) 0x28f8…b5f7 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xe9f895… |
| 05-06 13:32:30 | Tame-Scalp 0x3164…3c65 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xdce3fe… |
| 05-06 04:55:10 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 39¢ | $0 | 0x42abc3… |
| 05-06 04:55:02 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 39¢ | $0 | 0x127731… |
| 05-06 04:54:54 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 39¢ | $0 | 0x5f7793… |
| 05-06 04:54:46 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 39¢ | $0 | 0x3aba8a… |
| 05-06 04:54:38 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 39¢ | $0 | 0x673669… |
| 05-06 04:54:32 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 38¢ | $0 | 0x928b82… |
| 05-06 04:54:22 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 38¢ | $0 | 0x65a288… |
| 05-06 04:54:22 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 1 | 77¢ | $1 | 0xc08a20… |
| 05-06 04:54:14 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 38¢ | $0 | 0x697633… |
| 05-06 04:54:14 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | BUY | 1 | 77¢ | $1 | 0x3ab1ed… |
| 05-06 04:54:08 | Attentive-Context 0x2698…2941 | No | SELL | 3 | 62¢ | $2 | 0xa60fed… |
| 05-06 04:54:08 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 38¢ | $0 | 0xebf284… |
| 05-06 04:54:08 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 1 | 76¢ | $1 | 0xcbe1f9… |
| 05-06 04:53:58 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | BUY | 1 | 76¢ | $1 | 0x7c172f… |
| 05-06 04:53:58 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 38¢ | $0 | 0x19c8f1… |
| 05-06 04:49:54 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 23¢ | $0 | 0xeb1fc6… |
| 05-06 04:49:46 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 23¢ | $0 | 0x9ac567… |
| 05-06 04:49:38 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 23¢ | $0 | 0x5a884c… |
| 05-06 04:49:30 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 23¢ | $0 | 0x40f67b… |
| 05-06 04:49:30 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 1 | 78¢ | $1 | 0xd1f12a… |