Jovial-Inconvenience — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.8%

Resolved

111

Trades

272

lifetime

Volume

$1.53K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 08-31 03:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Other

95% 59% +$5

Politics

3% 100% +$2

Crypto

1% 100% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	06-21 16:31
Will White House post 160-179 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	2	$28	14	14	+0	Yes	+$0	05-26 15:58
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% in April?	2	$26	13	13	+0	No	+$0	05-12 12:30
Will "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?	2	$24	12	12	+0	Yes	+$0	05-08 13:47
Will the Democratic Party win 14 upper-level local government races?	2	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$1	06-04 05:53
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	06-29 02:48
Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by 10–15%?	2	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$1	07-10 19:42
Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be at least 450k?	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	06-19 23:09
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-25 12:56
Will White House post 160-179 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-22 13:44
Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,500,000 and 1,800,000 voters?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$1	05-28 00:38
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	2	$19	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	06-02 14:07
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on May 30?	2	$17	34	0	+34	No	+$0	05-29 10:45
will dogecoin reach 0pt15 in july 2026	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	07-28 06:08
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on May 10?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-10 00:36
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on May 11?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-11 06:06
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 10?	2	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	05-09 12:36
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C or higher on May 17?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-16 21:43
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 1?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-01 02:01
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on May 15?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-14 17:00
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on May 10?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-10 07:07
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on May 12?	5	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-12 12:53
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on May 11?	2	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	05-11 03:44
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on May 9?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-09 10:56
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on May 8?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-07 23:32
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 36°C on May 7?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-06 20:46
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 11?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-11 05:01
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on May 9?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-09 03:30
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 11?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-11 07:59
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 5?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-05 08:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 03:30:33	Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xae86f2…
08-31 02:39:15	Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x9a6073…
07-28 06:08:36	will dogecoin reach 0pt15 in july 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x12eab2…
07-10 19:42:31	Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by 10–15%?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xd166fe…
06-29 02:48:56	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xa84e93…
06-29 01:24:08	Meta "Mango" model released by June 30?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xd78440…
06-28 08:46:49	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 28?	No	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x12c965…
06-28 08:44:41	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xfce823…
06-27 16:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xd8bc13…
06-27 16:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x749584…
06-27 16:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x074117…
06-27 14:37:34	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 28?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x434985…
06-26 16:00:52	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x1d077f…
06-26 15:14:10	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x401819…
06-26 14:17:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on June 27?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xfd0971…
06-25 12:56:38	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7f6f86…
06-25 12:50:05	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x2b1633…
06-25 12:18:11	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 26?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xdfec24…
06-24 19:49:50	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C or below on June 25?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x4e2035…
06-24 19:30:34	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C or below on June 25?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x142275…
06-24 19:28:25	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C or below on June 25?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x38f6aa…
06-24 17:16:43	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C or below on June 25?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe14cb8…
06-24 09:46:02	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on June 24?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x69ba23…
06-24 05:17:44	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on June 24?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x56a960…
06-23 04:00:47	Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by 10–15%?	No	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0x19aea9…
06-22 09:02:05	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x7a792b…
06-21 22:23:43	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 22?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x903a9a…
06-21 16:31:34	Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x0c980e…
06-20 12:22:34	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x5c11fb…
06-20 12:22:32	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x2c13b2…
06-20 12:01:50	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 21?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xf28791…
06-19 23:09:32	Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be at least 450k?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x218d7a…
06-19 16:41:26	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x4b52bc…
06-19 12:04:23	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on June 20?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x510c27…
06-18 03:17:46	Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be at least 450k?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x8dc645…
06-16 06:03:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 16?	No	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x5dc87a…
06-16 05:36:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x4b334c…
06-15 04:09:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x81449a…
06-15 03:59:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 15?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xe2052d…
06-14 04:37:15	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C or below on June 14?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xbdc72a…
06-14 04:36:00	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C or below on June 14?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xb19cfc…
06-14 04:31:57	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C or below on June 14?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x2f7e0e…
06-14 04:30:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C or below on June 14?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x501b1c…
06-13 11:24:00	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 13?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xa8de32…
06-13 11:23:46	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 13?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xb72980…
06-13 11:19:13	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 13?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb1d869…
06-13 02:05:48	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xbafe5d…
06-12 12:07:37	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 13?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x8cc4e7…
06-11 21:36:10	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x85e8ac…
06-11 19:11:10	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 12?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x0669b0…
06-11 06:50:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x094100…
06-11 06:48:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 11?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8cc03e…
06-09 11:40:52	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 9?	No	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x581bb3…
06-09 06:54:48	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x799ccb…
06-08 07:28:48	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 8?	No	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x190a4c…
06-08 07:28:06	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x2f93d8…
06-07 17:18:40	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x3d5262…
06-07 13:45:13	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C on June 8?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x5d72fb…
06-07 05:28:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x034627…
06-06 23:12:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 7?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xb514bb…
06-06 07:08:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 6?	No	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xbbc219…
06-06 07:06:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xa07021…
06-05 08:35:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xbe63d5…
06-05 08:35:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x71279b…
06-05 08:31:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 5?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x8a718b…
06-04 14:29:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x35acf2…
06-04 14:03:01	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 5?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8f9616…
06-04 05:53:24	Will the Democratic Party win 14 upper-level local government races?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x26f1f5…
06-03 13:50:30	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xd0567d…
06-03 13:50:02	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x3bd73d…
06-03 12:04:41	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on June 4?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x6c4c3f…
06-02 15:31:49	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xb1dfd3…
06-02 14:35:59	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on June 3?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x8c7661…
06-02 14:07:30	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x1875db…
06-02 07:08:45	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on June 2?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x315bfb…
06-02 06:44:04	Will the Democratic Party win 14 upper-level local government races?	No	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x8a5edf…
06-01 14:18:48	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on June 2?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x736f26…
06-01 02:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x96ba81…
06-01 00:58:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 1?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x691435…
05-31 17:32:58	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xfba7fa…
05-31 12:07:47	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on June 1?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x218c7a…
05-31 01:08:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x85f1ee…
05-31 01:03:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 31?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x129b66…
05-30 11:08:09	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x919c49…
05-30 08:47:38	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 30?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x91e477…
05-30 00:55:38	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x010c93…
05-29 10:45:20	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0x1c28bf…
05-29 07:30:09	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on May 30?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x5b0a7e…
05-28 19:31:41	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xd7f770…
05-28 19:31:41	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd763dc…
05-28 19:31:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x2e9519…
05-28 18:55:29	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on May 29?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x50332a…
05-28 13:58:27	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x4eb91b…
05-28 12:11:27	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 29?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x67f48a…
05-28 04:13:17	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x2c099b…
05-28 03:45:17	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 28?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x29420c…
05-28 00:38:35	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,500,000 and 1,800,000 voters?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x609fa3…
05-27 12:56:17	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x4c979e…
05-27 12:12:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 28?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xbcf9f3…
05-27 02:48:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xf7dafa…