Orderly-Leg-Cheer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.9%

Resolved

113

Trades

285

lifetime

Volume

$1.56K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 08-31 02:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Other

96% 57% -$4

Politics

4% 100% +$2

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% in April?	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	05-12 12:30
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	05-12 14:01
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?	2	$30	15	15	+0	Yes	+$0	05-29 16:00
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	05-16 19:31
Will MrBeast's next video get between 61 and 62 million views on day 6?	2	$27	14	14	+0	No	+$1	06-05 13:10
Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	2	$25	13	13	+0	No	+$1	06-02 20:08
Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$25	13	13	+0	No	+$1	05-14 21:20
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	2	$25	13	13	+0	No	+$1	05-22 00:35
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 32m and 35m?	2	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$0	05-10 14:59
Will Jessica Killin be the Democratic nominee for CO-05?	2	$23	12	12	+0	Yes	+$1	07-01 01:49
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	06-29 02:48
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	1	$22	22	0	+22	Yes	+$0	06-21 05:35
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-25 12:56
Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 900,000 and 1,200,000 voters?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-27 15:52
Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?	2	$19	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	06-24 01:45
Will Jocelyn Benson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Democratic primary election?	1	$16	16	0	+16	Yes	+$0	08-01 07:01
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 4?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-04 05:01
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 26?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-26 09:19
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 1?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-31 21:42
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on June 14?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-14 15:22
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 7?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-07 05:28
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 8?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-08 15:47
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on May 29?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-29 07:05
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 11?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-10 16:19
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 28?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-27 20:40
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 7?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-06 20:59
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on May 7?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-06 14:24
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on May 7?	2	$14	28	0	+28	No	+$0	05-07 14:53
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C on May 10?	3	$14	28	0	+28	No	+$0	05-09 16:04
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on May 7?	2	$14	28	0	+28	No	$0	05-07 00:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 02:37:07	Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcbbb03…
08-01 07:01:50	Will Jocelyn Benson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xca7a61…
07-28 05:35:31	will tsla reach 450 in july 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xd176a6…
07-01 01:49:20	Will Jessica Killin be the Democratic nominee for CO-05?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xeb7593…
06-29 02:48:55	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xd48762…
06-29 00:05:35	Will Jessica Killin be the Democratic nominee for CO-05?	Yes	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0xaff7e1…
06-28 09:17:05	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on June 28?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x94c025…
06-28 09:12:59	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on June 28?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x5e32e8…
06-28 09:09:49	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on June 28?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x394ffd…
06-28 04:58:01	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on June 28?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x58d1b6…
06-27 16:56:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x687615…
06-27 16:56:08	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xd89922…
06-27 12:48:44	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 28?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x1b078c…
06-26 09:19:07	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xf53e12…
06-26 09:10:16	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 26?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x5fe3f9…
06-25 16:38:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9fd591…
06-25 16:35:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xe588ec…
06-25 16:28:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x79c6f7…
06-25 12:56:37	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8d74ea…
06-25 12:00:53	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 26?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x316ce8…
06-24 12:50:23	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 43°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x32d817…
06-24 12:15:20	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 43°C on June 25?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xdedff1…
06-24 01:45:20	Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xfa12e2…
06-23 22:46:25	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on June 24?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xf6c825…
06-23 22:45:31	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on June 24?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x38d223…
06-23 20:48:46	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on June 24?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x340eb7…
06-23 04:06:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x76a47c…
06-23 01:28:20	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on June 23?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x103c55…
06-22 00:08:14	Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x478cd0…
06-21 05:35:59	Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xd7aa54…
06-20 13:29:19	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on June 21?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x748ecf…
06-20 12:00:55	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on June 21?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x9e4a0d…
06-19 16:50:41	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xcd82ae…
06-19 12:04:23	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on June 20?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x81f9f3…
06-18 02:02:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x0675cc…
06-18 01:48:46	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 18?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x748429…
06-16 18:07:05	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xaf9d40…
06-16 18:07:05	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x9a79b4…
06-16 14:04:46	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x046288…
06-16 12:07:00	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 17?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x787107…
06-15 10:31:19	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 15?	No	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x8a3190…
06-15 10:25:58	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xcd998e…
06-14 15:22:45	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on June 14?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xe946f7…
06-14 14:18:27	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on June 14?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xb4ef1b…
06-14 09:11:42	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on June 14?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0xd474ed…
06-14 08:44:25	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on June 14?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x3214cc…
06-13 12:24:25	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 13?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x83a5f5…
06-13 07:46:39	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 13?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x251879…
06-12 15:57:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or below on June 13?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x3eec72…
06-12 15:56:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or below on June 13?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xf3b8ee…
06-12 12:00:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or below on June 13?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x9a4751…
06-11 19:38:49	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 36°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x4dd49e…
06-11 16:42:15	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 36°C on June 12?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6a8ba6…
06-10 16:19:25	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xa1cede…
06-10 16:19:24	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xd17b0a…
06-10 16:19:10	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x1f6bba…
06-10 15:13:34	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 11?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xc308d2…
06-09 05:05:09	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xd043e9…
06-09 02:10:21	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on June 9?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc998e2…
06-08 07:29:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x413182…
06-08 07:29:52	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe1f63b…
06-08 07:29:52	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x08e8bb…
06-08 07:12:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 8?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x30f261…
06-07 14:49:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on June 8?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xff3990…
06-07 14:30:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on June 8?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x87c15c…
06-07 05:28:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x034627…
06-06 23:12:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 7?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x26447c…
06-06 18:29:22	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xec37b6…
06-06 17:36:55	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xe619de…
06-06 16:52:06	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xde2ec8…
06-06 12:06:19	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on June 7?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3df2bb…
06-05 18:03:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 6?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1f98d8…
06-05 13:10:25	Will MrBeast's next video get between 61 and 62 million views on day 6?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xb5f5d5…
06-05 04:00:12	Will MrBeast's next video get between 61 and 62 million views on day 6?	No	BUY	14	91¢	$13	0xa2cd71…
06-04 05:01:39	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x47f88b…
06-03 13:39:38	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 4?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x9e9e43…
06-02 20:08:22	Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x83bf05…
06-02 15:31:49	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xb1dfd3…
06-02 14:35:59	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on June 3?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xd99c10…
06-02 08:01:20	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 2?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x569f1c…
06-02 07:55:35	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa26b26…
06-01 17:35:28	Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x563e86…
06-01 08:03:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xe1ec89…
06-01 07:47:14	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 1?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x94ccdb…
05-31 21:42:52	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xe55a4d…
05-31 21:42:52	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xa7c76a…
05-31 21:42:52	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x18685d…
05-31 12:12:20	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 1?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x9c0ac0…
05-31 03:39:28	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xbd7afe…
05-31 03:39:02	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe6b641…
05-31 01:38:08	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on May 31?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x683e2b…
05-30 12:06:00	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on May 31?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xd25d66…
05-30 06:11:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x2fdb06…
05-30 05:15:41	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc339af…
05-29 19:39:47	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on May 30?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x6cf902…
05-29 18:49:02	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on May 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4da724…
05-29 16:00:11	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x95e145…
05-29 07:05:42	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on May 29?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x7d86a0…
05-29 06:26:27	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on May 29?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xa04ba7…
05-28 23:33:34	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0xbe6a70…