Wicked-Rug — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.5%

Resolved

115

Trades

264

lifetime

Volume

$1.60K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 08-31 04:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Other

87% 58% +$3

Politics

10% 86% -$9

Tech

2% 100% +$1

Crypto

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	2	$28	15	15	+0	Yes	+$1	05-08 16:03
Will MrBeast's next video get between 49 and 50 million views on day 4?	2	$26	14	14	+0	Yes	+$1	06-17 09:27
israel closes its airspace by june 12	2	$26	14	14	+0	No	+$1	06-12 12:53
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	2	$26	13	13	+0	Yes	+$0	05-20 01:05
Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 900,000 and 1,200,000 voters?	2	$25	13	13	+0	No	+$0	05-28 00:38
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?	2	$25	13	13	+0	Yes	+$1	06-13 15:51
Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by 10–15%?	2	$25	13	13	+0	No	+$1	07-15 22:15
Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	2	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$0	05-09 09:59
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	06-29 02:48
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	1	$22	22	0	+22	Yes	+$0	06-21 05:35
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% in April?	2	$22	11	11	+0	No	+$0	05-12 12:30
Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the June meeting?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-09 03:52
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-25 12:56
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in April?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-12 12:30
will apple announce a touchscreen macbook during the wwdc 2026 keynote	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-08 23:48
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on May 7?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-07 06:09
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 31?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-31 00:22
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 1?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-30 19:20
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 7?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-07 00:40
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 9?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-09 07:16
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C on May 11?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-11 06:28
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on May 29?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-29 13:38
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 29?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-29 07:26
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 12?	2	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	05-12 09:03
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on May 7?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-06 14:25
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on May 13?	5	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-12 12:27
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on May 7?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-06 23:05
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 4?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-03 23:55
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 36°C on May 7?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-06 20:10
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 8?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-07 12:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 04:02:31	Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 32 and 35 inclusive?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4812d6…
08-31 03:30:36	Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x63ca7b…
07-28 06:08:31	will dogecoin reach 0pt15 in july 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa9907a…
07-15 22:15:16	Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by 10–15%?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x02499a…
06-29 11:24:40	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 29?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x9e91c6…
06-29 11:15:08	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 29?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x675d99…
06-29 09:57:26	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 29?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x8e1728…
06-29 02:48:59	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xf0a3c5…
06-28 14:46:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x7dcb7c…
06-28 12:34:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 29?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x52b942…
06-28 00:51:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x7daa59…
06-28 00:39:44	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 28?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x22aa5f…
06-27 03:00:23	iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	No	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0x97a2f1…
06-25 17:10:13	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xd64193…
06-25 17:07:38	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xa1ca51…
06-25 15:23:20	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on June 26?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x872f5a…
06-25 12:56:28	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xbaf45c…
06-25 00:13:43	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x0dd423…
06-24 23:32:20	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 25?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8655aa…
06-24 05:58:47	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x1d7019…
06-24 05:58:38	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0xe25f4c…
06-24 05:50:31	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 24?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x52500e…
06-23 04:00:47	Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by 10–15%?	No	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0x51f41b…
06-21 17:32:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x6fa0d3…
06-21 16:54:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 22?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x118f86…
06-21 05:35:50	Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xf31bb4…
06-20 09:03:41	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x71b6e2…
06-20 08:12:01	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 20?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xcfd244…
06-19 08:31:26	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xe053aa…
06-19 08:30:02	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 19?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xa415ff…
06-17 09:27:23	Will MrBeast's next video get between 49 and 50 million views on day 4?	Yes	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xc63736…
06-16 23:44:49	Will MrBeast's next video get between 49 and 50 million views on day 4?	Yes	BUY	14	90¢	$13	0xc46e17…
06-15 17:17:21	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xa3c909…
06-15 17:01:43	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x070e33…
06-15 14:26:25	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 16?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xc2971e…
06-14 19:36:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x3bd5da…
06-14 19:08:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 15?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8d150c…
06-13 22:30:42	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xf4400c…
06-13 20:08:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on June 14?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x1f32a5…
06-13 15:51:54	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xe84bc1…
06-12 22:08:43	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0xce0754…
06-12 12:53:21	israel closes its airspace by june 12	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x83c562…
06-12 03:25:54	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x6f33a5…
06-12 03:22:06	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xa9fdd1…
06-12 01:50:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xe192b8…
06-12 01:44:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 12?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x0523f4…
06-11 06:04:09	israel closes its airspace by june 12	No	BUY	14	90¢	$13	0xe7b866…
06-09 06:22:24	Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on June 9?	No	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x05b400…
06-09 06:21:52	Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on June 9?	No	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xe44bff…
06-09 06:00:57	Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x5414ed…
06-09 03:52:55	Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the June meeting?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe108bc…
06-08 23:48:21	will apple announce a touchscreen macbook during the wwdc 2026 keynote	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xfb4306…
06-08 09:12:54	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xfe2e2c…
06-08 09:12:43	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 8?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x49a77d…
06-07 12:52:39	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 8?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xb771f7…
06-07 12:24:57	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 8?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x0ae737…
06-07 03:31:04	will apple announce a touchscreen macbook during the wwdc 2026 keynote	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x4a6aaa…
06-06 12:33:58	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x276413…
06-06 12:29:18	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xd136de…
06-06 12:12:01	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on June 7?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xfcb7f1…
06-05 16:55:06	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x7d7e3a…
06-05 16:54:57	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1ba45f…
06-05 16:54:51	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x5088e4…
06-05 15:21:10	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 6?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x6e48c6…
06-05 01:19:16	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 5?	No	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xc9682c…
06-04 23:45:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xd3b389…
06-03 23:55:39	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x9bb1a1…
06-03 23:23:36	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xf80c1f…
06-03 12:05:18	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 4?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x743736…
06-03 02:35:49	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xeb462b…
06-02 17:28:01	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xdc3559…
06-02 12:08:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 3?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xf53f27…
06-02 07:25:52	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 2?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x7b956b…
06-02 03:37:35	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 2?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x1e1181…
06-01 12:16:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0xda650d…
06-01 12:15:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 2?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x217035…
06-01 02:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x96ba81…
06-01 00:58:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 1?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xa5c96b…
05-31 17:05:37	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xb46557…
05-31 12:21:26	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 1?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa0bef1…
05-31 00:22:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x83aa5c…
05-30 23:15:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 31?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x3bc74f…
05-30 13:50:32	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x0c9a40…
05-30 10:22:32	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on May 30?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xf617c0…
05-30 02:45:11	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on May 30?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x2c7641…
05-30 00:00:20	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on May 30?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xeb2e22…
05-29 22:28:01	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on May 30?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x5da5c7…
05-29 20:01:10	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on May 30?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x6c0c32…
05-29 13:38:37	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x9b9133…
05-29 13:31:40	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xca0573…
05-29 07:26:39	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xe08b7a…
05-29 07:25:04	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x7cfc37…
05-29 06:57:41	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 29?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x49aef8…
05-28 12:45:24	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on May 29?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x1d01a3…
05-28 07:38:53	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xb8a92a…
05-28 05:25:58	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on May 28?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x9879f6…
05-28 03:30:56	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xa726ea…
05-28 00:38:49	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 900,000 and 1,200,000 voters?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xedebfd…
05-27 20:01:58	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on May 27?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x08c28e…
05-27 12:14:28	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on May 28?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x075ce5…