Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30?
open
Total volume
$2,996
Trades
55
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$14,882
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-31
last 06-14 03:14
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-0.4¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $1.0K
vs crowd: 0% YES on $1.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $4 | $1.0K | $1.0K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $1 | $396 | $395 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 8 | $1 | $59 | $58 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | — | $1.0K | $1.0K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| Median | 3 | — | $409 | $409 |
| Below median | 2 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $1 | $3 | $1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $0 | $8 | $8 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| unranked | 4 | $1 | $46 | $46 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | +1,039 | $1,035 | $1,035 | 1 | 06-11 16:40 |
| Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | +500 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-03 20:53 |
| Outgoing-Bite 0x2ec0…976b | No | +400 | $396 | $396 | 2 | 06-04 05:05 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +103 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-11 16:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x229c…b966 | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-31 19:40 |
| Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | +63 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-01 21:47 |
| Squiggly-Princess 0x2e73…c4c2 | Yes | +60 | $0 | $0 | 11 | 06-12 05:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xf47e…4179 | No | +47 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 06-11 04:34 |
| Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | +45 | $0 | $1 | 15 | 06-14 03:14 |
| Devoted-Database-Fix 0x4b6b…e6b1 | Yes | +44 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-14 03:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x991d…0044 | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-14 03:14 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-11 21:17 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-14 03:14:10 | (anonymous) 0x991d…0044 | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x5fd2cb… |
| 06-14 03:14:10 | Devoted-Database-Fix 0x4b6b…e6b1 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5fd2cb… |
| 06-14 03:14:10 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 29 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5fd2cb… |
| 06-12 17:41:30 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4820fc… |
| 06-12 17:41:30 | Good-Natured-Time 0xe328…9f4a | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x4820fc… |
| 06-12 05:52:22 | Squiggly-Princess 0x2e73…c4c2 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x12c63d… |
| 06-12 05:52:22 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x12c63d… |
| 06-12 02:59:18 | Squiggly-Princess 0x2e73…c4c2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf3e556… |
| 06-12 02:59:18 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf3e556… |
| 06-12 02:55:46 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbd7b45… |
| 06-12 02:55:46 | Squiggly-Princess 0x2e73…c4c2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbd7b45… |
| 06-12 02:38:48 | Squiggly-Princess 0x2e73…c4c2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbd08b6… |
| 06-12 02:38:48 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbd08b6… |
| 06-12 02:35:30 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2aff18… |
| 06-12 02:35:30 | Squiggly-Princess 0x2e73…c4c2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2aff18… |
| 06-12 02:14:10 | Squiggly-Princess 0x2e73…c4c2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9d9963… |
| 06-12 02:14:10 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9d9963… |
| 06-12 01:32:33 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd8649d… |
| 06-12 01:32:33 | Squiggly-Princess 0x2e73…c4c2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd8649d… |
| 06-12 01:12:34 | Squiggly-Princess 0x2e73…c4c2 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3b391a… |
| 06-12 01:12:34 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3b391a… |
| 06-11 21:50:51 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb0914b… |
| 06-11 21:50:51 | Squiggly-Princess 0x2e73…c4c2 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb0914b… |
| 06-11 21:30:16 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x12afee… |
| 06-11 21:30:16 | Squiggly-Princess 0x2e73…c4c2 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x12afee… |
| 06-11 21:17:27 | Squiggly-Princess 0x2e73…c4c2 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7e3339… |
| 06-11 21:17:27 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x7e3339… |
| 06-11 16:40:34 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0d3b66… |
| 06-11 16:40:34 | Idolized-Crest 0x2d61…1fa7 | No | SELL | 706 | 100¢ | $703 | 0x0d3b66… |
| 06-11 16:40:34 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0d3b66… |
| 06-11 16:40:34 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 28 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0d3b66… |
| 06-11 16:40:34 | Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | BUY | 1,039 | 100¢ | $1,035 | 0x0d3b66… |
| 06-11 04:34:55 | Shallow-Astrology 0x45cc…6400 | No | SELL | 47 | 99¢ | $46 | 0xdd5228… |
| 06-11 04:34:55 | (anonymous) 0xf47e…4179 | No | BUY | 47 | 99¢ | $46 | 0xdd5228… |
| 06-09 14:40:42 | Plush-Coverall 0x9fd2…d24e | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xc4e9ff… |
| 06-09 14:40:42 | Tough-Mask 0xad52…11ac | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc4e9ff… |
| 06-08 09:40:12 | Tough-Mask 0xad52…11ac | Yes | SELL | 11 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x04b541… |
| 06-08 09:40:12 | (anonymous) 0xc742…7317 | No | SELL | 11 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x04b541… |
| 06-08 06:00:04 | Tough-Mask 0xad52…11ac | Yes | SELL | 11 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa1800d… |
| 06-08 06:00:04 | Surprised-Clasp 0x763b…865e | No | SELL | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0xa1800d… |
| 06-04 05:05:37 | Experienced-Carpeting 0xbdcb…e811 | No | SELL | 600 | 99¢ | $594 | 0x1527f1… |
| 06-04 05:05:37 | Tough-Mask 0xad52…11ac | Yes | SELL | 310 | 1¢ | $3 | 0x1527f1… |
| 06-04 05:05:37 | Outgoing-Bite 0x2ec0…976b | No | BUY | 192 | 99¢ | $191 | 0x1527f1… |
| 06-04 05:05:37 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 97 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x1527f1… |
| 06-04 03:16:45 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc9bac3… |
| 06-04 03:16:45 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xc9bac3… |
| 06-04 03:13:22 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8437dc… |
| 06-04 03:13:22 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x8437dc… |
| 06-03 20:53:30 | Tough-Mask 0xad52…11ac | Yes | SELL | 500 | 1¢ | $4 | 0x87f810… |
| 06-03 20:53:30 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 1¢ | $4 | 0x87f810… |
| 06-01 21:47:38 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 63 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x48554d… |
| 06-01 21:47:38 | Stormy-Deduce 0x4a04…889f | Yes | SELL | 63 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x48554d… |
| 05-31 19:40:26 | (anonymous) 0x39ee…c018 | No | SELL | 108 | 99¢ | $106 | 0x49d4f7… |
| 05-31 19:40:26 | Outgoing-Bite 0x2ec0…976b | No | BUY | 208 | 99¢ | $205 | 0x49d4f7… |
| 05-31 19:40:26 | (anonymous) 0x229c…b966 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x49d4f7… |