Weak-Temptation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.85K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

184

lifetime

Volume

$126.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$688

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 09-06 15:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 65 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 100% +$802

Politics

21% 94% +$652

Other

19% 100% +$288

Sports

7% 75% +$103

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	2	$6.4K	3,340	3,140	+200	No	+$54	09-06 15:47
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$6.3K	3,190	3,190	+0	No	+$51	07-12 00:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	23	$5.7K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$132	06-27 15:27
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?	2	$5.4K	2,717	2,717	+0	No	+$14	06-15 14:41
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$3.4K	1,723	1,723	+0	No	+$14	03-31 10:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	13	$3.2K	3,250	0	+3,250	No	+$32	07-23 12:19
bitcoin above 60k on july 13 2026	1	$3.2K	3,222	0	+3,222	Yes	+$13	07-13 14:15
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$3.1K	3,198	0	+3,198	No	+$48	07-12 00:03
bitcoin above 58k on june 23 2026	1	$2.9K	2,950	0	+2,950	Yes	+$6	06-22 16:00
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	1	$2.8K	2,960	0	+2,960	No	+$204	06-15 14:45
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	2	$2.7K	2,750	0	+2,750	No	+$44	06-06 12:38
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 5 9144	1	$2.7K	2,718	0	+2,718	No	+$52	06-04 18:49
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	4	$2.6K	2,650	0	+2,650	No	+$45	06-03 04:36
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$2.6K	2,567	0	+2,567	No	+$5	06-24 19:30
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	8	$2.4K	2,450	0	+2,450	No	+$58	05-28 06:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	1	$2.3K	2,533	0	+2,533	No	+$203	05-26 01:52
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	1	$2.3K	2,337	0	+2,337	No	+$12	05-25 01:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?	1	$2.3K	2,327	0	+2,327	Yes	+$11	05-22 23:07
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	1	$2.3K	2,309	0	+2,309	Yes	+$9	05-21 00:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	3	$2.2K	2,200	0	+2,200	No	+$4	05-04 22:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 2?	1	$2.2K	2,182	0	+2,182	Yes	+$2	05-02 00:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	1	$2.2K	2,180	0	+2,180	No	+$7	05-03 00:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 4?	10	$2.2K	2,185	0	+2,185	No	+$20	05-04 01:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 1?	1	$2.2K	2,176	0	+2,176	No	+$11	05-01 14:28
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	1	$2.2K	2,210	0	+2,210	No	+$49	05-15 20:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?	1	$2.2K	2,200	0	+2,200	Yes	+$44	05-14 20:50
will bitcoin reach 78k on april 19	1	$1.9K	1,937	0	+1,937	No	+$4	04-20 00:17
bitcoin above 72k on april 9	1	$1.9K	1,920	0	+1,920	Yes	+$28	04-09 15:57
bitcoin above 80k on april 19	6	$1.8K	1,830	0	+1,830	No	+$15	04-18 18:13
bitcoin above 64k on april 2	6	$1.8K	1,836	0	+1,836	Yes	+$39	04-02 12:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-06 15:47:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	SELL	3,140	100¢	$3,136	0xacc569…
08-15 13:36:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	3,340	98¢	$3,283	0xa1c807…
07-23 12:19:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	2,268	99¢	$2,245	0x1a79e1…
07-23 12:14:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdc2310…
07-23 12:11:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	630	99¢	$624	0x4e174b…
07-23 12:10:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xc211a8…
07-23 12:10:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x0f578b…
07-23 11:58:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0xc16cc4…
07-23 11:58:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x3d9c35…
07-23 11:58:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x35b826…
07-23 11:51:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x34b119…
07-23 11:51:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x2d4e84…
07-23 11:50:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$19	0xed8e08…
07-23 11:49:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe24baf…
07-23 11:49:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x80e0c2…
07-13 14:15:55	bitcoin above 60k on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	3,222	100¢	$3,209	0x0b2204…
07-12 00:04:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xe20992…
07-12 00:03:38	bitcoin above 60k on july 12 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xdab4c8…
07-12 00:03:23	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	3,198	98¢	$3,150	0x7fd557…
07-12 00:03:01	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	3,190	100¢	$3,187	0xdc5ca3…
07-03 16:21:37	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	3,190	98¢	$3,136	0x76f2e4…
06-29 02:31:46	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1,000	98¢	$985	0xefbd61…
06-28 14:31:37	bitcoin above 58k on june 28 2026	Yes	BUY	734	100¢	$732	0x0e1f81…
06-28 14:31:05	bitcoin above 58k on june 28 2026	Yes	BUY	266	100¢	$266	0x9ce307…
06-28 14:28:34	Will Marco Rubio enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4413ee…
06-28 14:28:28	Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x119398…
06-28 14:28:20	Will Jared Kushner enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xdb1ca8…
06-27 15:27:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1,605	97¢	$1,552	0xb05b70…
06-27 15:26:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x1dea44…
06-27 15:25:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xf4b9e9…
06-27 15:23:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1,100	97¢	$1,064	0x6d56d0…
06-27 15:23:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x77d44e…
06-27 15:22:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x9faead…
06-27 15:21:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xe18622…
06-27 15:21:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x2a566c…
06-27 15:19:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x0a9034…
06-27 15:16:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x7803ce…
06-27 15:14:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x0885c5…
06-27 15:14:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xd51133…
06-27 15:14:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x7449e9…
06-27 15:13:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	78	97¢	$75	0x32c3ad…
06-27 15:12:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$9	0x9eeadb…
06-27 15:10:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	78	97¢	$75	0x143d01…
06-27 15:08:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x7c5f8a…
06-27 15:08:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x26d5c8…
06-27 15:07:40	bitcoin above 56k on june 28 2026	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xbc2bb7…
06-27 15:07:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	59	97¢	$57	0x4d5448…
06-26 04:23:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	2,906	92¢	$2,682	0x1a123a…
06-25 17:52:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	57	92¢	$52	0xa059ac…
06-25 17:51:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x3464a1…
06-25 17:51:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	24	92¢	$23	0x24423a…
06-24 19:30:26	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	2,567	100¢	$2,562	0xb24170…
06-22 16:00:16	bitcoin above 58k on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	2,950	100¢	$2,944	0x563ad0…
06-15 14:45:00	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	BUY	2,960	93¢	$2,756	0x2e97ce…
06-15 14:41:48	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?	No	SELL	2,717	100¢	$2,714	0xc28d5c…
06-13 02:32:43	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?	No	BUY	2,717	99¢	$2,700	0x378323…
06-06 12:38:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	2,692	98¢	$2,649	0xee077f…
06-06 12:36:51	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	58	98¢	$57	0x177838…
06-06 12:31:27	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xf2d69d…
06-06 12:31:21	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x8124e8…
06-06 12:31:04	bitcoin above 64k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xef338a…
06-04 18:49:58	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 5 9144	No	BUY	2,718	98¢	$2,666	0x439e88…
06-03 04:36:26	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	1,977	98¢	$1,944	0x020b9b…
06-03 04:10:53	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0x69bfc1…
06-03 04:01:26	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	607	98¢	$597	0x327728…
06-03 03:50:03	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x173fe1…
05-28 06:25:51	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	450	98¢	$439	0x0448b1…
05-28 06:16:17	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	427	98¢	$416	0x80e4f7…
05-28 06:04:49	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	84	98¢	$82	0xf335a3…
05-28 06:04:25	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	230	98¢	$224	0x7874c0…
05-28 06:04:12	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	62	98¢	$61	0x85d59d…
05-28 06:03:57	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	62	98¢	$61	0x99f8d9…
05-28 06:03:55	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	135	98¢	$131	0xef683a…
05-28 06:03:53	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	98¢	$977	0x4848d9…
05-26 01:52:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	2,533	92¢	$2,330	0x633a82…
05-25 01:14:26	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	BUY	2,337	99¢	$2,325	0x31d250…
05-22 23:07:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	2,327	100¢	$2,316	0xca8e46…
05-21 00:50:29	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	Yes	BUY	2,309	100¢	$2,300	0x1a1659…
05-15 20:18:32	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 May 11-17?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x3862e4…
05-15 20:18:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0x78d1ec…
05-15 20:17:45	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	2,210	98¢	$2,161	0x465233…
05-15 12:53:30	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xd99d33…
05-14 20:50:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	2,200	98¢	$2,156	0xb59be5…
05-11 14:41:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	1,500	100¢	$1,492	0xed1b00…
05-09 14:08:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	710	100¢	$707	0x3a23eb…
05-08 00:01:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	410	100¢	$410	0xb4bcd3…
05-08 00:01:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1,111	100¢	$1,109	0x1fb379…
05-07 15:48:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9951db…
05-07 15:16:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x31f538…
05-07 15:09:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	186	99¢	$184	0x01916f…
05-07 15:01:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xc3c279…
05-07 14:57:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3bb513…
05-07 14:57:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x77acb2…
05-07 14:57:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6cd2cf…
05-07 14:57:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	203	99¢	$201	0xe58ac4…
05-07 14:56:00	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 8?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf93350…
05-06 16:41:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	1,500	99¢	$1,491	0xe8f200…
05-04 22:49:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	993	100¢	$991	0x31efb4…
05-04 22:14:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x93fa2a…
05-04 22:00:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	707	100¢	$706	0x80c12b…