Weak-Temptation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$33

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

153

lifetime

Volume

$95.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$625

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 07-13 14:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 100% +$33

Politics

18% — —

Other

12% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	23	$5.7K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	06-27 15:27
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$3.4K	1,723	1,723	+0	open	—	03-31 10:29
bitcoin above 60k on july 13 2026	1	$3.2K	3,222	0	+3,222	open	—	07-13 14:15
bitcoin above 58k on june 23 2026	1	$2.9K	2,950	0	+2,950	open	—	06-22 16:00
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	1	$2.8K	2,960	0	+2,960	open	—	06-15 14:45
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	2	$2.7K	2,750	0	+2,750	open	—	06-06 12:38
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 5 9144	1	$2.7K	2,718	0	+2,718	open	—	06-04 18:49
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	4	$2.6K	2,650	0	+2,650	open	—	06-03 04:36
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	1	$2.3K	2,337	0	+2,337	open	—	05-25 01:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?	1	$2.3K	2,327	0	+2,327	open	—	05-22 23:07
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	1	$2.3K	2,309	0	+2,309	open	—	05-21 00:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	3	$2.2K	2,200	0	+2,200	No	+$4	05-04 22:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 2?	1	$2.2K	2,182	0	+2,182	open	—	05-02 00:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	1	$2.2K	2,180	0	+2,180	open	—	05-03 00:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 4?	10	$2.2K	2,185	0	+2,185	open	—	05-04 01:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 1?	1	$2.2K	2,176	0	+2,176	open	—	05-01 14:28
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	1	$2.2K	2,210	0	+2,210	open	—	05-15 20:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?	1	$2.2K	2,200	0	+2,200	open	—	05-14 20:50
will bitcoin reach 78k on april 19	1	$1.9K	1,937	0	+1,937	open	—	04-20 00:17
bitcoin above 72k on april 9	1	$1.9K	1,920	0	+1,920	open	—	04-09 15:57
bitcoin above 80k on april 19	6	$1.8K	1,830	0	+1,830	open	—	04-18 18:13
bitcoin above 64k on april 2	6	$1.8K	1,836	0	+1,836	open	—	04-02 12:54
bitcoin above 72k on april 22	2	$1.8K	1,820	0	+1,820	open	—	04-21 22:14
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$1.7K	1,791	0	+1,791	open	—	03-31 10:29
bitcoin above 72k on april 21	2	$1.7K	1,680	0	+1,680	open	—	04-20 19:23
bitcoin above 68k on march 24	1	$1.6K	1,626	0	+1,626	open	—	03-24 11:14
ethereum above 2300 on march 14	1	$1.6K	1,602	0	+1,602	open	—	03-14 07:51
bitcoin above 64k on march 13	1	$1.6K	1,598	0	+1,598	open	—	03-13 04:15
bitcoin above 66k on march 23	1	$1.6K	1,614	0	+1,614	open	—	03-23 10:47
bitcoin above 64k on march 10	1	$1.6K	1,566	0	+1,566	open	—	03-10 06:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-13 14:15:55	bitcoin above 60k on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	3,222	100¢	$3,209	0x0b2204…
07-12 00:04:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xe20992…
07-12 00:03:38	bitcoin above 60k on july 12 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xdab4c8…
06-29 02:31:46	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1,000	98¢	$985	0xefbd61…
06-28 14:31:37	bitcoin above 58k on june 28 2026	Yes	BUY	734	100¢	$732	0x0e1f81…
06-28 14:31:05	bitcoin above 58k on june 28 2026	Yes	BUY	266	100¢	$266	0x9ce307…
06-28 14:28:34	Will Marco Rubio enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4413ee…
06-28 14:28:28	Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x119398…
06-28 14:28:20	Will Jared Kushner enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xdb1ca8…
06-27 15:27:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1,605	97¢	$1,552	0xb05b70…
06-27 15:26:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x1dea44…
06-27 15:25:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xf4b9e9…
06-27 15:23:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1,100	97¢	$1,064	0x6d56d0…
06-27 15:23:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x77d44e…
06-27 15:22:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x9faead…
06-27 15:21:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xe18622…
06-27 15:21:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x2a566c…
06-27 15:19:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x0a9034…
06-27 15:16:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x7803ce…
06-27 15:14:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x0885c5…
06-27 15:14:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xd51133…
06-27 15:14:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x7449e9…
06-27 15:13:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	78	97¢	$75	0x32c3ad…
06-27 15:12:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$9	0x9eeadb…
06-27 15:10:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	78	97¢	$75	0x143d01…
06-27 15:08:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x7c5f8a…
06-27 15:08:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x26d5c8…
06-27 15:07:40	bitcoin above 56k on june 28 2026	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xbc2bb7…
06-27 15:07:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	59	97¢	$57	0x4d5448…
06-26 04:23:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	2,906	92¢	$2,682	0x1a123a…
06-25 17:52:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	57	92¢	$52	0xa059ac…
06-25 17:51:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x3464a1…
06-25 17:51:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	24	92¢	$23	0x24423a…
06-22 16:00:16	bitcoin above 58k on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	2,950	100¢	$2,944	0x563ad0…
06-15 14:45:00	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	BUY	2,960	93¢	$2,756	0x2e97ce…
06-06 12:38:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	2,692	98¢	$2,649	0xee077f…
06-06 12:36:51	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	58	98¢	$57	0x177838…
06-06 12:31:04	bitcoin above 64k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xef338a…
06-04 18:49:58	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 5 9144	No	BUY	2,718	98¢	$2,666	0x439e88…
06-03 04:36:26	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	1,977	98¢	$1,944	0x020b9b…
06-03 04:10:53	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0x69bfc1…
06-03 04:01:26	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	607	98¢	$597	0x327728…
06-03 03:50:03	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x173fe1…
05-28 06:25:51	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	450	98¢	$439	0x0448b1…
05-28 06:16:17	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	427	98¢	$416	0x80e4f7…
05-25 01:14:26	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	BUY	2,337	99¢	$2,325	0x31d250…
05-22 23:07:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	2,327	100¢	$2,316	0xca8e46…
05-21 00:50:29	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	Yes	BUY	2,309	100¢	$2,300	0x1a1659…
05-15 20:18:32	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 May 11-17?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x3862e4…
05-15 20:18:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0x78d1ec…
05-15 20:17:45	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	2,210	98¢	$2,161	0x465233…
05-15 12:53:30	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xd99d33…
05-14 20:50:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	2,200	98¢	$2,156	0xb59be5…
05-11 14:41:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	1,500	100¢	$1,492	0xed1b00…
05-09 14:08:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	710	100¢	$707	0x3a23eb…
05-08 00:01:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	410	100¢	$410	0xb4bcd3…
05-08 00:01:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1,111	100¢	$1,109	0x1fb379…
05-07 15:48:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9951db…
05-07 15:16:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x31f538…
05-07 15:09:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	186	99¢	$184	0x01916f…
05-07 15:01:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xc3c279…
05-07 14:57:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3bb513…
05-07 14:57:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x77acb2…
05-07 14:57:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6cd2cf…
05-07 14:57:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	203	99¢	$201	0xe58ac4…
05-06 16:41:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	1,500	99¢	$1,491	0xe8f200…
05-04 22:49:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	993	100¢	$991	0x31efb4…
05-04 22:14:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x93fa2a…
05-04 22:00:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	707	100¢	$706	0x80c12b…
05-04 01:32:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	720	99¢	$714	0xb5b451…
05-04 01:32:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	230	99¢	$228	0x4993cf…
05-04 01:32:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0f0e9e…
05-04 01:32:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	160	99¢	$159	0x694603…
05-04 01:32:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	113	99¢	$112	0xc7d1f9…
05-04 01:32:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	122	99¢	$121	0x41d792…
05-04 01:18:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x052fb5…
05-04 01:11:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x58e61c…
05-04 01:07:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x07496c…
05-04 01:06:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	333	99¢	$330	0xa6ca83…
05-03 00:44:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	2,180	100¢	$2,173	0x2048fb…
05-02 00:08:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	2,182	100¢	$2,180	0x28859b…
05-01 14:28:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	2,176	99¢	$2,165	0x88dae6…
04-24 17:07:46	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	201	97¢	$194	0x76ad63…
04-23 17:43:08	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x8fe952…
04-23 16:41:28	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$141	0x24bdfb…
04-23 16:41:04	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,000	85¢	$850	0x4036d2…
04-23 16:36:34	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	BUY	109	99¢	$107	0xafd6d5…
04-23 16:36:30	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	BUY	516	99¢	$509	0xfa174f…
04-21 22:14:26	bitcoin above 72k on april 22	Yes	BUY	1,800	98¢	$1,764	0x2b1c0e…
04-21 22:13:20	bitcoin above 72k on april 22	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x86723f…
04-20 19:23:12	bitcoin above 72k on april 21	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa4c66c…
04-20 19:22:24	bitcoin above 72k on april 21	Yes	BUY	1,660	99¢	$1,638	0xdae521…
04-20 14:35:42	Will Ethena dip to $0.04 in April?	No	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0x03cac6…
04-20 14:31:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 Week of April 20 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x7a7f25…
04-20 14:31:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 Week of April 20 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xff7012…
04-20 14:31:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 Week of April 20 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe6f636…
04-20 14:31:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 Week of April 20 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x79b60a…
04-20 14:30:44	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x52bbce…
04-20 14:30:32	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xb6c218…
04-20 14:30:22	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x599363…