Jittery-Reinscription — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$49.7K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.1%

Resolved

218

Trades

3,816

lifetime

Volume

$209.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$55

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-03

last 09-30 15:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Other

79% 51% +$54,046

Sports

13% 43% -$518

Tech

4% 22% -$1,067

Politics

2% 78% -$679

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$509

Crypto

1% 0% -$2,638

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	152	$37.5K	90,384	110	+90,275	Yes	+$52,815	09-10 15:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	167	$23.9K	41,812	0	+41,812	No	+$12,734	07-12 08:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	184	$20.6K	52,658	0	+52,658	No	-$87	06-28 21:09
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	106	$14.9K	22,888	0	+22,888	Yes	-$9,473	07-24 15:33
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	205	$14.1K	28,593	0	+28,593	No	+$2,545	07-24 15:30
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	212	$12.2K	26,727	0	+26,727	No	+$2,494	07-24 15:34
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	200	$9.1K	22,037	0	+22,037	No	-$447	07-24 15:31
will olivia dean have a 1 hit in the us in june	66	$7.5K	8,337	0	+8,337	No	+$872	06-29 17:36
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	83	$5.4K	7,644	0	+7,644	Yes	-$3,792	06-21 17:25
f1 british grand prix driver podium hamilton 2026 07 05	10	$4.7K	4,970	0	+4,970	Yes	+$302	07-05 17:43
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	35	$3.3K	5,317	0	+5,317	No	+$2,023	06-25 17:58
will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	68	$3.0K	3,542	0	+3,542	No	+$509	06-29 18:15
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	6	$2.7K	6,252	0	+6,252	Yes	-$2,730	09-30 12:30
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	39	$2.1K	3,250	0	+3,250	Yes	+$517	06-26 13:12
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	71	$2.0K	8,384	0	+8,384	No	-$936	06-29 12:46
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	3	$1.8K	4,168	0	+4,168	No	-$1,751	09-30 12:30
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?	67	$1.7K	3,169	0	+3,169	No	-$928	06-27 14:47
Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?	16	$1.5K	2,975	0	+2,975	Yes	-$269	06-16 20:13
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	35	$1.5K	4,878	0	+4,878	Yes	-$887	07-09 17:02
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	21	$1.4K	4,488	0	+4,488	No	-$243	06-18 18:19
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?	15	$1.4K	3,805	0	+3,805	No	+$98	07-17 08:04
Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	63	$1.4K	2,363	0	+2,363	No	+$1,007	07-17 19:23
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	26	$1.3K	2,600	600	+2,000	No	-$156	06-27 16:49
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?	24	$1.2K	1,567	0	+1,567	No	-$108	06-27 17:53
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?	21	$1.2K	3,254	0	+3,254	No	+$83	07-24 15:31
will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	53	$1.1K	15,214	0	+15,214	No	-$1,129	06-23 11:58
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	78	$1.0K	165,658	0	+165,658	No	-$1,032	09-10 17:48
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?	38	$1000	1,764	0	+1,764	No	-$25	07-03 20:02
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?	45	$958	2,021	0	+2,021	No	+$778	06-14 12:35
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	28	$899	4,217	0	+4,217	No	-$45	06-26 19:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-30 15:19:17	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6,252	1¢	$38	0xd3e6dd…
09-30 12:30:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0xe0b853…
09-30 12:30:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,054	40¢	$822	0x8a8e3c…
09-30 12:30:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	736	41¢	$302	0x1c66aa…
09-30 12:30:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	86	41¢	$35	0x757eb3…
09-30 12:30:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	11	41¢	$5	0x619730…
09-30 12:30:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,194	41¢	$490	0xdc9c2e…
09-30 12:30:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	56	41¢	$23	0x35e612…
09-17 10:05:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4,168	1¢	$33	0x93e067…
09-17 09:59:15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4,168	1¢	$33	0x18f629…
09-17 08:14:43	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,084	44¢	$917	0x04881b…
09-17 01:15:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4,168	45¢	$1,876	0x85bd31…
09-10 17:48:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7,524	1¢	$68	0xf17d22…
09-10 15:03:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	386	62¢	$239	0x0dd965…
09-10 14:57:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	53	62¢	$33	0xd335b4…
09-10 14:55:04	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	25	62¢	$16	0x8bf220…
09-10 14:54:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xbf3c10…
09-10 14:53:40	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	25	62¢	$16	0xbc5f32…
09-10 14:53:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xe6445b…
09-10 14:50:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	9	62¢	$6	0x67c2bf…
09-10 14:49:40	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0x97e075…
09-10 14:47:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x13e216…
09-10 14:47:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	62¢	$1	0x12256f…
09-10 14:47:28	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	14	62¢	$9	0xbb7f49…
09-10 14:47:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	290	62¢	$180	0xe4dfbb…
09-10 14:47:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x7a9f98…
09-10 14:47:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	62¢	$0	0x690f40…
09-10 14:47:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x4f22b6…
09-10 14:45:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xaea6d5…
09-10 14:45:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	254	62¢	$157	0x23c76c…
09-10 14:43:10	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	62¢	$1	0x442a98…
09-10 14:42:40	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	55	62¢	$34	0x2b3841…
09-10 14:42:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	240	62¢	$149	0x0116bc…
09-10 14:36:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x9c5896…
09-10 14:36:54	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	485	62¢	$301	0x3303f6…
09-10 14:36:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0x75a04a…
09-10 14:36:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	9	62¢	$6	0xc91d12…
09-10 14:36:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0x7cc5d4…
09-10 14:36:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0xf4d90c…
09-10 14:36:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0x47cb72…
09-10 14:36:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x2183ff…
09-10 14:34:52	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	105	62¢	$65	0xeb0244…
09-10 14:34:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	60	62¢	$37	0x392fa1…
09-10 14:33:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0xba3b9d…
09-10 14:33:00	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	56	62¢	$35	0x816081…
09-10 14:32:28	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	418	62¢	$259	0xc8cdb3…
09-10 14:19:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	628	1¢	$6	0xea8bd1…
09-10 14:14:46	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	96	1¢	$1	0x523810…
09-10 14:10:54	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xf013dd…
09-10 14:10:42	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x28dc00…
09-10 13:48:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	11,827	1¢	$106	0xc0e08a…
09-10 13:47:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xd9accd…
09-10 13:15:36	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xd55b60…
09-10 13:14:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,720	1¢	$15	0x872985…
09-10 13:05:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0ff83a…
09-10 13:04:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	752	1¢	$7	0x55e97a…
09-10 13:03:46	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x232c44…
09-10 10:50:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,882	52¢	$979	0x701c9b…
09-09 18:46:42	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	64	1¢	$0	0x9c3448…
09-09 18:21:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,110	1¢	$8	0x6af3dd…
09-09 18:01:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	290	1¢	$2	0x3c30aa…
09-09 17:27:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,300	1¢	$16	0xcff98d…
09-09 17:25:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,916	1¢	$20	0x838afe…
09-09 17:03:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,882	54¢	$1,016	0x5904f7…
09-09 16:37:40	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7,524	1¢	$68	0x8b00c6…
09-09 15:59:42	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,944	1¢	$17	0xe6e4d6…
09-09 14:39:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,881	52¢	$978	0xfa5370…
09-09 14:34:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7,524	1¢	$60	0xaf09aa…
09-09 14:16:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,297	53¢	$1,217	0x410dd2…
09-09 13:57:51	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x5cfb70…
09-09 13:53:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	589	53¢	$312	0xe4f0c9…
09-09 13:47:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	618	53¢	$328	0xdc9364…
09-09 13:44:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x02dcb1…
09-09 13:32:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	53¢	$1	0x836bff…
09-09 13:32:10	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	250	53¢	$132	0x77bf78…
09-08 08:24:46	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,944	1¢	$12	0xd3ca6f…
09-08 02:56:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	972	51¢	$496	0x5b2a97…
09-04 18:55:42	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	972	1¢	$8	0x63d8d7…
09-04 12:30:28	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0xa35a3a…
09-04 12:30:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xb3c601…
09-04 12:30:15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x2dcd7b…
09-04 12:30:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0xe2f8ff…
09-04 12:30:12	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	75	0¢	$0	0xff0f0f…
09-04 12:30:12	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0xb0fe79…
09-04 12:30:12	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	131	0¢	$1	0x5b8848…
09-04 12:30:10	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xf7df2a…
09-04 12:30:10	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xe8757e…
09-04 12:30:10	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	550	0¢	$3	0xd0cc0f…
09-04 12:30:10	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	45	0¢	$0	0xc2fb05…
09-04 12:30:10	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	433	0¢	$2	0x9fb37c…
09-04 12:30:10	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x72c581…
09-04 12:30:10	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	550	0¢	$3	0x560d77…
09-04 12:30:10	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	81	0¢	$0	0x55d424…
09-04 12:30:10	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x462e12…
09-04 12:30:10	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x45970b…
09-04 12:30:10	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x1c084d…
09-04 12:30:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	128	0¢	$1	0xfc1107…
09-04 12:30:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	79	0¢	$0	0xb4ce51…
09-04 12:30:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	96	0¢	$0	0xaa08d4…
09-04 12:30:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	128	0¢	$1	0x7e4db4…