Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$188
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
1,202
lifetime
Volume
$71.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$60
Open exposure
$43.1K
15 positions
First seen
2026-06-03
last 06-29 18:15
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
82%
Tech
6%
Pop-Culture
4%
Crypto
4%
Sports
3%
Politics
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 175 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +33,474 $19,715 62¢ $20.9K +$1,206 06-25 11:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +18,501 $15,419 100¢ $18.4K +$2,989 06-25 15:02
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No +1,196 $1,091 100¢ $1.2K +$102 06-15 19:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +3,136 $1,717 38¢ $1.2K $-541 06-25 15:35
Will Marco Rubio enter Iran by June 30? No +408 $399 100¢ $406 +$7 06-25 11:16
Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30? No +350 $338 100¢ $350 +$12 06-11 19:35
Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30? No +229 $224 100¢ $228 +$4 06-24 17:39
Kash Patel out by June 30? No +186 $167 99¢ $184 +$16 06-09 18:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +30,314 $3,368 $152 $-3,217 06-28 21:09
Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30? No +25 $25 100¢ $25 +$0 06-25 10:24
Kash Patel out by June 30? Yes +1,205 $61 $15 $-46 06-28 12:30
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? Yes +3,291 $348 $8 $-340 06-18 18:19
Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 +$0 06-15 20:40
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? Yes +856 $8 $1 $-7 06-26 20:59
Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +1 $0 90¢ $1 +$1 06-29 14:46