Quick-Bloom — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7.70K

Unrealized P&L

+$143

Hit rate

71.3%

Resolved

251

Trades

1,941

lifetime

Volume

$293.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$151

Open exposure

$5.86K

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-19

last 08-22 19:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 82 days

Categories

Politics

85% 68% +$2,379

Other

14% 57% +$3,806

Sports

1% 33% +$1,524

Crypto

0% 0% -$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	No	-3,038	-$2,218	92¢	$-2810	-$591	05-31 17:48
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	+1,823	$401	87¢	$1.6K	+$1,194	06-18 11:36
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	Yes	+7,000	$700	11¢	$735	+$35	08-22 19:29
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	-768	-$231	94¢	$-725	-$494	05-25 21:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	45	$25.4K	30,394	16,597	+13,797	No	-$16,253	05-29 17:02
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	58	$21.8K	17,933	17,933	+0	No	+$3,816	05-25 13:05
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	14	$12.3K	8,607	8,607	+0	Yes	+$1,926	05-30 14:14
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	54	$11.9K	8,637	8,637	+0	No	+$2,110	04-23 11:42
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	31	$11.1K	12,160	3,371	+8,790	No	+$3,118	05-08 04:03
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	11	$10.4K	8,936	4,889	+4,047	No	+$3,427	04-22 17:47
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	12	$9.9K	14,432	0	+14,432	No	+$4,522	06-15 23:48
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	9	$9.5K	7,870	2,550	+5,320	No	+$620	05-07 12:11
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	17	$7.7K	7,796	5,553	+2,243	Yes	+$1,000	03-08 21:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	6	$6.2K	6,886	6,886	+0	No	-$1,069	04-18 21:06
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	26	$6.0K	7,138	3,013	+4,125	No	+$2,987	05-25 23:01
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	4	$5.5K	3,572	3,572	+0	Yes	-$817	02-28 07:05
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	42	$5.4K	12,367	0	+12,367	Yes	-$5,423	06-15 00:05
Iran leadership change by April 30?	6	$4.6K	6,198	6,198	+0	No	-$138	03-31 21:59
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	17	$4.4K	2,601	2,601	+0	No	+$349	03-22 22:52
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 9 2026	10	$4.3K	3,109	1,745	+1,364	Yes	+$404	03-08 21:41
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	42	$4.3K	22,950	2,519	+20,431	No	-$3,477	05-29 15:19
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	35	$4.2K	4,422	1,957	+2,465	No	+$1,058	04-11 15:02
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	92	$4.0K	9,486	9,486	+0	No	-$1,880	05-08 05:00
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	12	$3.8K	3,787	3,787	-0	Yes	+$980	06-07 19:06
will uae strike iran by march 31	27	$3.4K	2,935	2,935	+0	No	+$166	03-20 23:08
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	18	$3.2K	4,384	4,384	+0	Yes	+$39	04-02 06:33
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	6	$2.9K	1,968	1,968	+0	No	+$676	05-25 22:51
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	43	$2.9K	3,421	3,421	+0	No	+$266	04-11 05:20
us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	23	$2.6K	3,431	3,431	+0	No	-$22	03-29 23:43
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	5	$2.6K	2,587	2,587	+0	Yes	+$198	02-27 21:42
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	25	$2.5K	2,554	2,554	+0	Yes	+$434	03-08 21:11
will iran strike oman again in march	8	$2.4K	1,465	1,465	+0	No	+$561	04-05 15:42
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	4	$2.2K	7	3,045	-3,038	open	—	05-31 17:48
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	5	$2.2K	1,170	1,170	+0	No	-$8	02-27 13:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-22 19:29:49	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	Yes	BUY	7,000	10¢	$700	0xa3fb9b…
07-15 20:56:28	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	955	2¢	$19	0x49f09e…
07-15 20:56:23	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x49bdd5…
07-15 20:53:10	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2,608	4¢	$104	0xca0498…
07-14 20:05:41	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	164	18¢	$30	0x418ad4…
07-14 20:05:25	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts	Yes	BUY	357	70¢	$250	0x1a94bb…
07-13 12:24:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	40	40¢	$16	0xf162c8…
07-13 12:22:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0x95ed08…
07-13 12:17:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	625	40¢	$250	0xd1739e…
07-13 12:06:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	74	40¢	$30	0x564f01…
07-13 12:00:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	12	40¢	$5	0x8c1b8b…
07-13 10:58:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	59	40¢	$24	0x08bf00…
07-13 10:58:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	15	40¢	$6	0x9e0dd8…
07-11 22:14:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	834	36¢	$300	0x2c1989…
07-10 01:58:19	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,500	16¢	$400	0xa58229…
07-09 22:52:17	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	Yes	BUY	927	19¢	$172	0x985071…
07-08 01:06:41	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	6,668	2¢	$147	0xa58b0c…
07-07 17:43:47	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x9ef102…
07-07 17:43:46	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xdbd8e2…
07-07 17:43:46	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	38	22¢	$8	0x9bf7a2…
07-07 17:43:44	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	40	22¢	$9	0x6742f9…
07-03 21:36:01	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	6,668	1¢	$53	0x5a3cb6…
06-18 14:15:43	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?	Yes	BUY	1,035	5¢	$50	0x313b3d…
06-18 14:15:35	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	BUY	1,399	6¢	$90	0xa68b49…
06-18 14:15:16	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	656	17¢	$110	0xa88c89…
06-18 14:14:11	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	No	BUY	305	30¢	$91	0x51200b…
06-18 14:13:59	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	SELL	56	72¢	$40	0xc2be73…
06-18 11:36:22	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	264	25¢	$66	0x0a9df0…
06-18 11:35:14	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x11f50b…
06-18 11:32:41	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x803711…
06-18 11:07:56	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	410	25¢	$102	0x19893b…
06-18 10:41:52	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0x006a69…
06-18 10:41:50	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	540	25¢	$135	0x067e40…
06-18 10:19:50	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	720	25¢	$180	0x610aa2…
06-18 09:43:26	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xb4f5db…
06-15 23:48:31	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2,517	62¢	$1,570	0xe48b76…
06-15 09:49:34	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	198	58¢	$115	0x085b2d…
06-15 06:56:30	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	802	58¢	$465	0x8ce1b9…
06-15 05:35:43	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	87	70¢	$61	0x5c7dd8…
06-15 05:34:19	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x2b732a…
06-15 05:32:04	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	17	70¢	$12	0x3a7482…
06-15 04:59:57	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1,533	70¢	$1,073	0x310d52…
06-15 02:11:36	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	16	70¢	$11	0xaaebb1…
06-15 02:11:21	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2,511	70¢	$1,757	0x8ba69d…
06-15 01:34:42	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	299	96¢	$287	0xafbca0…
06-15 01:01:30	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	750	96¢	$720	0x7814ad…
06-15 00:45:33	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	No	BUY	682	14¢	$95	0x9f587f…
06-15 00:45:06	US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?	No	BUY	18	14¢	$3	0x206b8c…
06-15 00:41:52	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0xfa17b6…
06-15 00:38:34	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	49	96¢	$47	0x972978…
06-15 00:05:33	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	530	19¢	$101	0x00c071…
06-14 23:47:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	301	17¢	$51	0xd1887a…
06-14 23:46:07	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	No	BUY	748	19¢	$142	0xa68bb5…
06-14 23:45:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	301	17¢	$50	0x333ec6…
06-14 23:45:28	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x7c70ea…
06-14 23:45:15	US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?	No	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x809932…
06-14 23:45:09	US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?	No	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0xc112e0…
06-14 23:45:07	US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?	No	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x1320a3…
06-14 23:45:06	US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?	No	BUY	200	19¢	$38	0xd2b306…
06-14 23:44:22	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	No	BUY	43	19¢	$8	0xda74ea…
06-14 23:44:13	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	800	20¢	$160	0xb07b3c…
06-14 23:43:10	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	16	70¢	$11	0x284b62…
06-14 23:34:13	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5,785	70¢	$4,049	0x668df2…
06-14 23:33:52	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	15	70¢	$10	0x4dfcd0…
06-14 23:33:27	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1,795	70¢	$1,256	0x4ac910…
06-14 23:32:24	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0x94c503…
06-14 23:30:18	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	500	27¢	$135	0x9b283d…
06-14 23:29:27	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	316	27¢	$85	0x37131e…
06-14 21:45:19	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	1,400	18¢	$252	0x7e979f…
06-14 21:39:00	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	No	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xd877bb…
06-14 21:37:27	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	1,486	23¢	$337	0x35767a…
06-13 15:45:22	US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?	No	BUY	560	28¢	$157	0x4e686d…
06-13 15:34:03	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	No	BUY	1,440	28¢	$403	0xb935cc…
06-13 14:56:04	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	No	BUY	1,000	29¢	$290	0x362d3f…
06-13 14:26:55	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x581d60…
06-13 14:22:45	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	No	BUY	165	33¢	$54	0x64976e…
06-13 14:20:54	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x9c5e5d…
06-13 08:05:25	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	No	BUY	399	42¢	$168	0x37f7bc…
06-13 07:45:07	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	No	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x458b3e…
06-13 07:38:48	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	No	BUY	18	42¢	$8	0x8cc545…
06-13 07:38:22	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x9e98f6…
06-13 07:38:22	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	No	BUY	27	42¢	$11	0x63f4ba…
06-13 07:38:22	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x45df3c…
06-13 07:38:21	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	No	BUY	539	42¢	$226	0x441edd…
06-12 16:27:55	Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	No	SELL	107	96¢	$103	0x7b34f2…
06-12 11:14:34	Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	No	SELL	60	96¢	$57	0xe1de1b…
06-12 11:12:00	Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x72d047…
06-12 10:13:24	Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	No	SELL	22	96¢	$21	0x857269…
06-12 09:38:33	Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	No	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0xdca6c0…
06-12 09:35:39	Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1739be…
06-12 08:19:01	Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x192f07…
06-12 07:11:10	Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb4db7a…
06-12 03:15:39	Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1864e9…
06-12 02:41:33	Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xdd192c…
06-12 01:22:34	Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa7389b…
06-12 00:02:13	Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x870e7a…
06-11 22:43:22	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,247	9¢	$200	0x41c8b7…
06-11 22:39:31	Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0xe23956…
06-11 22:38:01	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,702	17¢	$289	0xebbded…
06-11 22:37:42	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3,200	16¢	$515	0x374d0b…