Quick-Bloom — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.12K

Unrealized P&L

+$1.07K

Hit rate

70.7%

Resolved

Trades

1,802

lifetime

Volume

$276.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$154

Open exposure

$1.58K

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-19

last 07-14 20:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

86% 33% $-1,276

Other

13% 100% +$152

Sports

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 92 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No		+2,000	$500	78¢	$1.6K	+$1,070	06-18 11:36
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	No		+7	$4	84¢	$6	+$2	05-31 17:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	45	$25.4K	30,394	16,597	+13,797	open	—	05-29 17:02
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	57	$21.8K	17,928	17,933	-5	open	—	05-25 13:05
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	54	$11.9K	8,637	8,637	+0	open	—	04-23 11:42
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	31	$11.1K	12,160	3,371	+8,790	open	—	05-08 04:03
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	13	$11.0K	6,858	8,607	-1,749	open	—	05-30 14:14
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	11	$10.4K	8,936	4,889	+4,047	open	—	04-22 17:47
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	9	$9.5K	7,870	2,550	+5,320	No	+$620	05-07 12:11
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	10	$8.8K	12,812	0	+12,812	open	—	06-15 23:48
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	17	$7.7K	7,796	5,553	+2,243	open	—	03-08 21:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	6	$6.2K	6,886	6,886	+0	open	—	04-18 21:06
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	26	$6.0K	7,138	3,013	+4,125	open	—	05-25 23:01
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	4	$5.5K	3,572	3,572	+0	open	—	02-28 07:05
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	39	$5.0K	10,152	0	+10,152	open	—	06-15 00:05
Iran leadership change by April 30?	6	$4.6K	6,198	6,198	+0	open	—	03-31 21:59
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	17	$4.4K	2,601	2,601	+0	open	—	03-22 22:52
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 9 2026	10	$4.3K	3,109	1,745	+1,364	open	—	03-08 21:41
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	41	$4.3K	22,858	2,519	+20,339	open	—	05-29 15:19
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	35	$4.2K	4,422	1,957	+2,465	open	—	04-11 15:02
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	92	$4.0K	9,486	9,486	+0	No	$-1,880	05-08 05:00
will uae strike iran by march 31	27	$3.4K	2,935	2,935	+0	open	—	03-20 23:08
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	18	$3.2K	4,384	4,384	+0	open	—	04-02 06:33
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	43	$2.9K	3,421	3,421	+0	open	—	04-11 05:20
us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	23	$2.6K	3,431	3,431	+0	open	—	03-29 23:43
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	5	$2.6K	2,587	2,587	+0	open	—	02-27 21:42
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	25	$2.5K	2,554	2,554	+0	open	—	03-08 21:11
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	5	$2.4K	968	1,968	-1,000	open	—	05-25 22:51
will iran strike oman again in march	8	$2.4K	1,465	1,465	+0	open	—	04-05 15:42
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	5	$2.2K	1,170	1,170	+0	open	—	02-27 13:43
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	11	$2.2K	2,203	2,203	+0	open	—	05-23 10:53
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	13	$2.0K	2,070	2,070	+0	open	—	03-31 19:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 20:05:25	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts	Yes	BUY	357	70¢	$250	0x1a94bb…
07-13 12:24:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	40	40¢	$16	0xf162c8…
07-13 12:22:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0x95ed08…
07-13 12:17:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	625	40¢	$250	0xd1739e…
07-13 12:06:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	74	40¢	$30	0x564f01…
07-13 12:00:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	12	40¢	$5	0x8c1b8b…
07-13 10:58:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	59	40¢	$24	0x08bf00…
07-13 10:58:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	15	40¢	$6	0x9e0dd8…
07-11 22:14:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	834	36¢	$300	0x2c1989…
07-09 22:52:17	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	Yes	BUY	927	19¢	$172	0x985071…
06-18 11:36:22	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	264	25¢	$66	0x0a9df0…
06-18 11:35:14	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x11f50b…
06-18 11:32:41	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x803711…
06-18 11:07:56	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	410	25¢	$102	0x19893b…
06-18 10:41:52	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0x006a69…
06-18 10:41:50	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	540	25¢	$135	0x067e40…
06-18 10:19:50	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	720	25¢	$180	0x610aa2…
06-18 09:43:26	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xb4f5db…
06-15 23:48:31	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2,517	62¢	$1,570	0xe48b76…
06-15 09:49:34	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	198	58¢	$115	0x085b2d…
06-15 06:56:30	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	802	58¢	$465	0x8ce1b9…
06-15 05:34:19	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x2b732a…
06-15 05:32:04	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	17	70¢	$12	0x3a7482…
06-15 02:11:36	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	16	70¢	$11	0xaaebb1…
06-15 02:11:21	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2,511	70¢	$1,757	0x8ba69d…
06-15 01:01:30	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	750	96¢	$720	0x7814ad…
06-15 00:45:33	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	No	BUY	682	14¢	$95	0x9f587f…
06-15 00:41:52	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0xfa17b6…
06-15 00:38:34	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	49	96¢	$47	0x972978…
06-15 00:05:33	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	530	19¢	$101	0x00c071…
06-14 23:47:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	301	17¢	$51	0xd1887a…
06-14 23:46:07	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	No	BUY	748	19¢	$142	0xa68bb5…
06-14 23:45:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	301	17¢	$50	0x333ec6…
06-14 23:45:28	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x7c70ea…
06-14 23:44:22	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	No	BUY	43	19¢	$8	0xda74ea…
06-14 23:44:13	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	800	20¢	$160	0xb07b3c…
06-14 23:43:10	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	16	70¢	$11	0x284b62…
06-14 23:34:13	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5,785	70¢	$4,049	0x668df2…
06-14 23:33:52	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	15	70¢	$10	0x4dfcd0…
06-14 23:33:27	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1,795	70¢	$1,256	0x4ac910…
06-14 23:32:24	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0x94c503…
06-14 21:39:00	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	No	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xd877bb…
06-14 21:37:27	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	1,486	23¢	$337	0x35767a…
06-13 15:34:03	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	No	BUY	1,440	28¢	$403	0xb935cc…
06-13 14:56:04	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	No	BUY	1,000	29¢	$290	0x362d3f…
06-13 14:22:45	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	No	BUY	165	33¢	$54	0x64976e…
06-13 08:05:25	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	No	BUY	399	42¢	$168	0x37f7bc…
06-13 07:45:07	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	No	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x458b3e…
06-13 07:38:48	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	No	BUY	18	42¢	$8	0x8cc545…
06-13 07:38:22	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x9e98f6…
06-13 07:38:22	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	No	BUY	27	42¢	$11	0x63f4ba…
06-13 07:38:22	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x45df3c…
06-13 07:38:21	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	No	BUY	539	42¢	$226	0x441edd…
06-12 16:27:55	Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	No	SELL	107	96¢	$103	0x7b34f2…
06-12 11:14:34	Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	No	SELL	60	96¢	$57	0xe1de1b…
06-12 11:12:00	Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x72d047…
06-12 10:13:24	Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	No	SELL	22	96¢	$21	0x857269…
06-12 09:38:33	Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	No	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0xdca6c0…
06-12 09:35:39	Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1739be…
06-12 08:19:01	Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x192f07…
06-12 07:11:10	Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb4db7a…
06-12 03:15:39	Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1864e9…
06-12 02:41:33	Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xdd192c…
06-12 01:22:34	Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa7389b…
06-12 00:02:13	Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x870e7a…
06-11 22:26:15	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0xa9f3dd…
06-11 20:07:27	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	1,400	55¢	$770	0x0c606d…
06-11 19:43:13	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	828	56¢	$463	0x58fa80…
06-11 19:43:12	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xde1e9c…
06-11 19:43:01	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x9173db…
06-11 19:42:57	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xdf7f98…
06-11 19:42:57	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	56	56¢	$31	0x6cfa53…
06-11 19:42:57	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x462003…
06-11 19:42:54	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	464	56¢	$260	0xe506db…
06-11 19:42:54	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	15	56¢	$9	0xc9f9c9…
06-11 19:42:54	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0xbff519…
06-11 19:42:54	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	16	56¢	$9	0xbb3b56…
06-11 19:42:54	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x9313f4…
06-11 19:42:54	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x81d461…
06-11 19:42:54	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	68	56¢	$38	0x73b47d…
06-11 19:42:54	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x5e359c…
06-11 19:42:54	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x29115e…
06-11 19:42:54	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	113	56¢	$64	0x16fbe7…
06-11 19:42:52	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0xf6a00f…
06-11 19:42:52	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xb5bf54…
06-11 19:42:52	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	23	56¢	$13	0x7daad6…
06-11 19:42:52	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	57	56¢	$32	0x752ab8…
06-11 19:42:52	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x7465a1…
06-11 19:42:52	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	23	56¢	$13	0x615880…
06-11 19:42:52	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x355e92…
06-11 19:42:52	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	22	56¢	$12	0x1886ad…
06-11 19:42:52	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	26	56¢	$15	0x0dcfb3…
06-11 19:42:51	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	0	56¢	$0	0xb5e536…
06-11 19:42:51	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x067eb2…
06-11 19:42:51	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x01b376…
06-11 19:42:48	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	247	57¢	$141	0xfe4b18…
06-11 19:42:48	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x752499…
06-11 19:42:36	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	23	57¢	$13	0x4cb469…
06-11 19:42:30	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	83	57¢	$47	0xb9263e…
06-11 19:39:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	30	36¢	$11	0xf51605…