Flashy-Foodstuffs — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.21K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.5%

Resolved

253

Trades

1,492

lifetime

Volume

$113.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$76

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 09-24 02:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 73 days

Categories

Politics

71% 33% +$3,269

Other

27% 23% -$2,302

Crypto

2% 55% +$7

Sports

0% 100% +$239

Tech

0% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 99 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	67	$26.4K	37,533	26,284	+11,249	Yes	-$4,712	04-16 13:13
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	54	$12.2K	52,668	50,796	+1,873	No	+$4,875	04-15 21:35
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	23	$7.9K	9,181	9,181	+0	Yes	+$27	04-16 15:41
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	3	$4.6K	4,358	4,358	+0	Yes	+$128	04-13 23:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	18	$4.1K	18,693	18,126	+567	No	-$470	04-12 23:44
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	44	$3.5K	54,968	54,968	+0	No	+$384	06-19 03:55
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	10	$3.2K	3,867	3,867	+0	Yes	+$500	09-15 22:08
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	30	$3.0K	19,064	19,064	+0	No	+$491	05-23 13:37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	21	$1.7K	4,120	4,120	+0	Yes	+$943	05-09 09:08
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?	34	$1.6K	15,782	5,171	+10,611	No	-$911	09-15 09:06
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?	29	$1.5K	15,782	4,742	+11,040	No	-$819	09-15 09:07
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	5	$1.3K	1,608	1,608	+0	No	+$102	04-29 19:51
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	6	$1.3K	1,140	1,140	+0	No	+$88	04-25 13:56
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	7	$1.3K	4,290	4,290	+0	No	-$38	05-23 13:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	10	$1.1K	12,743	12,743	+0	No	-$286	06-01 13:27
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	28	$1.1K	44,974	0	+44,974	No	-$1,089	05-31 04:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	18	$1.1K	12,546	12,046	+500	No	-$77	05-22 23:36
uel cel4 scf 2026 04 16 btts	2	$1.1K	945	922	+24	Yes	+$776	04-16 18:35
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?	9	$1.0K	1,111	1,111	+0	No	+$1,001	05-19 13:53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$1.0K	913	913	+0	Yes	+$796	05-09 09:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	5	$1.0K	2,070	2,012	+58	No	-$54	04-12 23:52
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 5?	13	$786	1,530	171	+1,359	Yes	-$614	09-10 20:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	14	$785	16,323	16,323	+0	No	-$91	05-10 18:17
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	2	$772	16,000	16,000	+0	No	-$407	05-30 11:51
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 20?	13	$741	1,810	1,810	+0	Down	+$13	05-20 14:12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	6	$734	754	754	+0	No	-$21	09-14 13:15
1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Schalke 04: Both Teams to Score	9	$720	620	600	+20	Yes	+$440	09-11 20:25
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	3	$717	3,260	3,260	+0	open	—	09-22 14:28
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-09-12?	7	$712	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$192	09-12 19:35
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?	82	$669	2,879	100	+2,779	No	-$617	09-15 06:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-24 02:51:49	Will Baidu be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	0¢	$0	0x69a655…
09-24 02:48:14	Will Baidu be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x8084c0…
09-23 02:27:16	Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?	Yes	SELL	75	0¢	$0	0x59a0a2…
09-23 02:27:16	Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?	Yes	SELL	34	0¢	$0	0x422a11…
09-23 02:27:16	Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x2bcda1…
09-23 02:05:17	Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xfbbcc5…
09-23 02:05:17	Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x44c368…
09-23 02:05:17	Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x340b5e…
09-23 02:05:16	Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xe842a8…
09-23 02:05:16	Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x4d1658…
09-23 02:05:16	Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x44eb05…
09-22 19:51:19	Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x6ffb1c…
09-22 16:45:16	Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?	Yes	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0x7ba184…
09-22 15:51:40	Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0xc17e85…
09-22 15:03:12	Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?	Yes	SELL	62	0¢	$0	0x0a1657…
09-22 15:03:00	Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?	Yes	SELL	58	0¢	$0	0xecae1f…
09-22 14:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	59	31¢	$18	0xf06bb5…
09-22 14:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	14	58¢	$8	0x6b22ae…
09-22 14:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	36	32¢	$12	0xcce91b…
09-22 14:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0xdd0d28…
09-22 14:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	21	49¢	$10	0x877279…
09-22 14:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	21	39¢	$8	0x78f879…
09-22 14:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	17	51¢	$9	0x5ce0b3…
09-22 14:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0x1c6ac4…
09-22 14:50:36	Will Tencent be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	130	0¢	$0	0x3407ea…
09-22 14:50:30	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	121	1¢	$1	0x001054…
09-22 14:50:12	Will DeepSeek be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	121	1¢	$1	0xa1cb8b…
09-22 14:50:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	11¢	$3	0x21f838…
09-22 14:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1,168	10¢	$119	0xf95f02…
09-22 14:46:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	531	25¢	$134	0x29708b…
09-22 14:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	531	22¢	$114	0x2ca185…
09-22 14:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	129	24¢	$31	0x55c086…
09-22 14:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	184	23¢	$42	0x5b62e0…
09-22 14:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	184	23¢	$42	0x24afa9…
09-22 14:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	312	16¢	$50	0x8d17b3…
09-22 14:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	184	23¢	$42	0x3a4b07…
09-22 14:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	283	19¢	$54	0xc75126…
09-22 14:31:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	409	15¢	$61	0x8ffcc5…
09-22 14:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	692	17¢	$118	0x8e35b3…
09-22 14:28:45	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Yes	SELL	1,260	10¢	$126	0xc86154…
09-22 14:21:33	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Yes	SELL	2,000	10¢	$200	0xc1bf54…
09-22 13:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	64	26¢	$17	0x28566c…
09-22 12:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	56	33¢	$18	0xd03920…
09-22 12:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	56	22¢	$12	0xa1d8af…
09-22 12:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	35	38¢	$13	0x926b84…
09-22 12:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	35	26¢	$9	0x063866…
09-22 12:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	23	45¢	$10	0x5ccef3…
09-22 12:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	23	21¢	$5	0x8a9258…
09-22 12:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	25	22¢	$5	0x20dedc…
09-22 12:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xb43257…
09-22 12:33:55	Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	280	2¢	$4	0x5b0a75…
09-21 22:15:27	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Yes	BUY	3,260	12¢	$391	0x3211ed…
09-21 15:44:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1,700	1¢	$17	0x6da59a…
09-21 15:43:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 15:40 UTC	Up	SELL	30	63¢	$19	0xd2b003…
09-21 15:40:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0xc2058e…
09-21 15:38:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 15:35 UTC	Down	BUY	279	14¢	$39	0x530f56…
09-21 15:38:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 15:35 UTC	Up	SELL	257	24¢	$62	0x538a44…
09-21 15:37:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	257	15¢	$38	0x041136…
09-21 15:35:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 15:35 UTC	Up	SELL	144	29¢	$42	0x2f7844…
09-21 15:35:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	144	30¢	$43	0x81efb9…
09-21 14:49:32	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on September 21?	Yes	BUY	1,835	3¢	$53	0x4a0a64…
09-21 14:41:53	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on September 21?	Yes	BUY	500	4¢	$20	0x3114e4…
09-21 14:40:36	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on September 21?	Yes	BUY	500	4¢	$20	0x3c3760…
09-21 14:38:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0x063be5…
09-21 14:38:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x68287a…
09-21 14:37:06	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on September 21?	Yes	BUY	507	4¢	$21	0x83903e…
09-21 14:36:50	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on September 21?	Yes	BUY	495	1¢	$5	0xb7b338…
09-21 14:36:20	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on September 21?	Yes	BUY	104	4¢	$4	0x6a6c45…
09-21 14:36:20	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on September 21?	Yes	BUY	500	4¢	$20	0x1b9818…
09-20 00:45:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x8bbde2…
09-19 15:47:59	Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x6bf97d…
09-19 15:42:26	Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?	Yes	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0x8b9d39…
09-19 15:42:26	Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x6b1b41…
09-19 15:42:26	Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x4b7b7a…
09-19 15:40:35	Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xdfd597…
09-19 15:40:35	Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0xd4842a…
09-19 15:40:35	Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?	Yes	BUY	21	7¢	$1	0xabc107…
09-19 15:40:35	Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?	Yes	BUY	0	13¢	$0	0xa3ff47…
09-19 15:40:05	Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?	Yes	BUY	72	12¢	$9	0xa6e7e0…
09-19 15:38:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 15:35 UTC	Down	BUY	500	5¢	$25	0x86d23b…
09-19 13:07:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xea132c…
09-19 13:07:05	Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	391	1¢	$2	0x0bca55…
09-19 13:03:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	35	41¢	$14	0xb26bf3…
09-19 13:01:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 13:00 UTC	Up	SELL	113	14¢	$16	0xc70e7e…
09-19 13:00:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	113	34¢	$38	0xaf53a6…
09-19 12:56:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 12:55 UTC	Down	SELL	127	33¢	$42	0xd3fa9d…
09-19 12:56:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 12:55 UTC	Down	BUY	127	29¢	$37	0x8861ea…
09-19 12:51:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 12:50 UTC	Down	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0x145c9b…
09-19 12:51:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 12:50 UTC	Down	SELL	68	20¢	$14	0x354d05…
09-19 12:51:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 12:50 UTC	Down	BUY	76	17¢	$13	0x58a51e…
09-19 12:49:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	378	11¢	$41	0x299b10…
09-19 12:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	378	3¢	$13	0x68863c…
09-19 12:46:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 12:45 UTC	Down	SELL	48	31¢	$15	0xb925d6…
09-19 12:45:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	48	27¢	$13	0x239ed2…
09-19 12:43:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 12:40 UTC	Down	SELL	30	47¢	$14	0x9a06a5…
09-19 12:41:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 12:40 UTC	Down	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0x87e07f…
09-19 12:38:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	44	27¢	$12	0xb4ffae…
09-19 12:38:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 12:35 UTC	Up	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0x8dee2e…
09-19 12:38:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 12:35 UTC	Up	SELL	29	50¢	$14	0x315584…
09-19 12:37:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	32	37¢	$12	0x7c9674…