Realized P&L
-$487
Unrealized P&L
-$888
Hit rate
67.1%
Resolved
349
Trades
2,619
lifetime
Volume
$269.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$103
Open exposure
$10.4K
13 positions
First seen
2026-02-20
last 10-26 17:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 111 days
Categories
Politics
66% 37% -$951
Other
23% 44% -$4,951
Crypto
7% 60% +$7,963
Sports
3% 47% -$557
Tech
1% 21% -$1,992
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 225 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +6,300 $4,316 74¢ $4.6K +$314 10-25 00:07
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -1,850 -$1,202 86¢ $-1581 -$379 05-01 22:31
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -1,665 -$1,039 86¢ $-1428 -$388 05-01 20:46
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +2,000 $1,260 66¢ $1.3K +$70 10-08 17:57
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -1,000 -$800 94¢ $-935 -$135 05-02 03:29
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +450 $328 70¢ $317 -$11 10-26 08:07
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,000 $210 16¢ $155 -$55 07-03 21:55
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 Yes +300 $126 8¢ $25 -$100 08-10 21:34
will saudi arabia recognize israel by december 31 Yes +413 $45 4¢ $19 -$27 08-12 04:35
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +472 $36 4¢ $18 -$18 05-22 07:01
nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026 Yes +300 $126 2¢ $6 -$120 08-20 22:01
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? No +200 $46 2¢ $4 -$42 10-08 13:11
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 Yes +0 -$3 12¢ $0 +$3 08-09 11:16