Accurate-Spirit 0x62cf46…4b5826
whale hot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$240.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$14.1K
Hit rate
85.0%
Resolved
342
Trades
10,876
lifetime
Volume
$3.44M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$317
Open exposure
$315.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 11:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 146 days
Categories
Politics
59% 79% +$122,355
Other
34% 72% +$137,294
Crypto
5% 83% +$2,201
Sports
2% 40% -$18,261
Tech
0% 0% -$64
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$2,667
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 219 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -41,556 -$29,845 86¢ $-35531 -$5,686 09-25 15:48
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No +31,155 $24,673 86¢ $26.9K +$2,276 10-19 11:09
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +26,200 $23,001 98¢ $25.7K +$2,688 07-03 04:56
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +28,375 $25,885 83¢ $23.6K -$2,334 09-20 05:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +26,000 $19,860 88¢ $23.0K +$3,150 09-28 17:16
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +23,000 $21,400 90¢ $20.8K -$585 10-21 00:41
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +19,578 $17,599 94¢ $18.5K +$874 10-23 09:49
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? No +19,646 $15,374 93¢ $18.3K +$2,897 09-22 05:56
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +18,000 $16,570 94¢ $16.8K +$260 09-16 12:54
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +20,000 $13,480 78¢ $15.6K +$2,120 10-24 11:28
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +10,722 $9,346 97¢ $10.4K +$1,091 06-27 07:09
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +9,613 $6,833 86¢ $8.3K +$1,434 10-27 08:18
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? Yes +7,649 $7,217 100¢ $7.6K +$431 10-23 15:16
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +12,621 $7,552 56¢ $7.1K -$421 10-27 07:53
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? Yes +7,112 $6,474 99¢ $7.0K +$568 10-27 07:59
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +18,503 $7,021 34¢ $6.3K -$730 10-27 09:06
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +13,889 $6,819 40¢ $5.6K -$1,194 10-26 22:16
israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 Yes +5,663 $2,405 94¢ $5.4K +$2,947 10-26 07:34
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +4,253 $3,935 94¢ $4.0K +$84 10-19 22:18
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +4,535 $3,734 88¢ $4.0K +$275 10-23 05:48
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? Yes +3,749 $3,280 100¢ $3.7K +$469 10-23 19:36
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +5,464 $3,606 68¢ $3.7K +$137 10-27 13:16
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454 592 696 No +3,000 $962 96¢ $2.9K +$1,918 10-14 14:53
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +3,000 $2,548 94¢ $2.8K +$257 10-26 07:27
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +2,859 $2,281 80¢ $2.3K +$21 10-26 14:21
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +2,831 $2,341 77¢ $2.2K -$174 09-17 10:58
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? No +3,797 $2,017 48¢ $1.8K -$194 10-26 21:41
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +2,599 -$292 68¢ $1.8K +$2,065 10-24 07:36
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +4,242 $2,192 42¢ $1.8K -$432 10-21 19:45
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +4,008 $1,755 42¢ $1.7K -$72 10-23 11:18