Accurate-Spirit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.46K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.6%

Resolved

Trades

7,154

lifetime

Volume

$2.28M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$318

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-11 11:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

57% 100% +$2,384

Other

34% 50% $-5,842

Crypto

6% — —

Sports

3% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 258 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	12	$131.4K	132,332	0	+132,332	open	—	06-03 22:26
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	131	$74.3K	81,000	1,970	+79,031	open	—	05-30 03:01
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	119	$71.8K	76,853	21,204	+55,649	open	—	04-22 17:18
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 400m by january 31	305	$67.8K	93,482	7,218	+86,264	open	—	01-21 11:21
will denis lazavik win the 20252026 speed chess championship	46	$62.0K	64,157	0	+64,157	open	—	02-07 17:48
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	101	$53.5K	42,580	30,000	+12,580	open	—	08-09 00:55
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	104	$47.4K	46,943	16,385	+30,558	open	—	08-10 14:02
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	74	$47.0K	34,534	34,534	+0	open	—	04-22 11:54
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	34	$45.5K	49,000	2,000	+47,000	open	—	05-31 21:47
will alireza firouzja win the 20252026 speed chess championship	167	$43.9K	52,689	0	+52,689	open	—	02-08 21:55
Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?	5	$39.1K	19,823	19,823	+0	open	—	04-28 15:24
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	83	$37.2K	23,978	24,739	-761	open	—	03-23 11:14
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	213	$36.4K	51,684	7,000	+44,685	open	—	06-19 21:06
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	56	$34.9K	30,982	18,146	+12,836	open	—	03-09 04:37
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	81	$30.2K	26,433	19,589	+6,843	open	—	05-29 06:30
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	61	$30.2K	34,000	9,000	+25,000	open	—	02-23 15:29
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	11	$28.9K	30,000	10,248	+19,752	open	—	06-15 07:20
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	77	$27.9K	41,536	0	+41,536	open	—	08-04 18:42
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	19	$27.1K	14,000	13,856	+144	open	—	05-24 13:10
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	8	$27.0K	12,776	15,776	-3,000	open	—	04-22 10:39
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	7	$26.5K	21,773	6,000	+15,773	open	—	03-31 08:24
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	26	$25.8K	15,557	15,557	+0	open	—	04-29 05:24
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	71	$25.4K	25,903	5,997	+19,907	open	—	05-30 09:30
will magnus carlsen win the 20252026 speed chess championship	443	$24.5K	33,816	0	+33,816	open	—	02-08 22:02
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	57	$24.4K	25,203	0	+25,203	open	—	06-14 20:50
will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	127	$24.4K	31,957	0	+31,957	open	—	02-28 08:24
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	12	$23.0K	26,200	0	+26,200	open	—	07-03 04:56
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	8	$22.5K	11,551	11,551	+0	open	—	03-12 07:29
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	79	$20.9K	22,149	22,149	+0	open	—	07-07 21:18
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	108	$20.6K	15,000	9,645	+5,355	open	—	06-28 06:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 11:58:03	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	45	88¢	$40	0x332387…
08-11 11:39:15	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	No	BUY	1,281	76¢	$974	0x28e626…
08-10 17:36:33	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xdc04a8…
08-10 17:29:55	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	89	88¢	$79	0x0e897a…
08-10 17:06:00	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x031030…
08-10 16:23:04	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	No	BUY	16	76¢	$12	0x3116f1…
08-10 16:18:00	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	No	BUY	42	76¢	$32	0x8631bc…
08-10 15:54:27	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x6fa852…
08-10 14:39:51	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0xca90aa…
08-10 14:02:37	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	31	92¢	$29	0x52ed18…
08-10 11:57:27	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	No	BUY	817	74¢	$605	0x0d6c90…
08-10 11:40:07	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	8,158	76¢	$6,200	0xed09c4…
08-10 10:59:01	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	87	92¢	$80	0xd8ffa6…
08-10 10:48:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0xe353f5…
08-10 10:17:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	500	92¢	$460	0x8c77d9…
08-10 10:04:19	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x2217a5…
08-10 10:00:55	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	367	92¢	$338	0xebc582…
08-10 00:05:57	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0x1fb813…
08-09 21:51:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	2,319	95¢	$2,203	0x04bf94…
08-09 21:42:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	915	90¢	$824	0x4d0c78…
08-09 21:41:46	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	585	90¢	$526	0xc4697a…
08-09 21:31:13	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	3,722	91¢	$3,387	0x66a1b3…
08-09 21:17:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	SELL	462	94¢	$434	0xe8ac8d…
08-09 21:17:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	SELL	240	89¢	$214	0xdce774…
08-09 21:16:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xaa9b7c…
08-09 21:16:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	SELL	2,397	94¢	$2,254	0x371a01…
08-09 21:16:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	SELL	624	97¢	$605	0xd65835…
08-09 21:15:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	SELL	2,200	98¢	$2,165	0x875dd1…
08-09 17:49:01	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0x370abf…
08-09 17:09:00	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	7,248	70¢	$5,074	0xc4f396…
08-09 09:09:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0xed6601…
08-09 05:40:49	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	612	87¢	$532	0x26f6d4…
08-09 05:12:28	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	231	87¢	$201	0x08aacd…
08-09 04:00:31	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	98	87¢	$85	0x4c76fd…
08-09 03:50:36	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0x6b7231…
08-09 00:55:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	945	90¢	$851	0xde43b5…
08-09 00:40:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xd745de…
08-09 00:38:46	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xebd5cb…
08-09 00:36:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x7980a1…
08-09 00:35:07	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xe46180…
08-09 00:34:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xf55948…
08-09 00:31:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x00f454…
08-09 00:31:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xcc97a4…
08-09 00:27:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xb3ac38…
08-09 00:26:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xdd48c7…
08-09 00:24:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x0c765a…
08-08 21:26:22	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0x844891…
08-08 20:41:28	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x4fda9b…
08-08 19:42:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	38	87¢	$33	0xe8e4d4…
08-08 19:39:04	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	1,830	89¢	$1,629	0x967f24…
08-08 18:52:37	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	1,002	87¢	$872	0x9a0374…
08-08 18:33:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	170	89¢	$151	0x193b3e…
08-08 18:26:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0xff083a…
08-08 18:25:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	900	39¢	$351	0xd91806…
08-08 16:53:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x2f9853…
08-08 13:10:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	29	64¢	$19	0xa246d9…
08-08 13:00:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x0c4904…
08-08 12:46:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x165ae1…
08-08 12:13:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	2,000	73¢	$1,460	0xbc54fa…
08-08 11:32:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	64¢	$14	0x4e05bf…
08-08 11:05:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	64¢	$13	0x94f46d…
08-08 10:49:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	BUY	624	65¢	$406	0xfe0c26…
08-08 10:49:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	2,860	62¢	$1,773	0x1af4b8…
08-08 10:42:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	200	45¢	$90	0xf8a79a…
08-08 10:41:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	1,891	48¢	$908	0x7dc465…
08-08 10:38:33	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x15ede8…
08-08 07:39:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	1,000	80¢	$800	0x0fbfea…
08-08 07:22:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x61507d…
08-08 07:17:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x6c3d07…
08-08 07:10:07	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x2c53f5…
08-08 07:06:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x43b1cf…
08-08 07:06:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0xaf9ab8…
08-08 07:03:40	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	SELL	4,177	99¢	$4,131	0xd5786d…
08-08 06:52:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x08fd2d…
08-08 06:51:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	779	41¢	$319	0x401436…
08-08 06:42:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x0a6a96…
08-08 06:42:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x47d33e…
08-08 06:33:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	SELL	159	99¢	$157	0x871c2d…
08-08 06:29:31	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x0bf428…
08-07 21:49:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	38	25¢	$9	0x04f25d…
08-07 21:45:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	210	39¢	$82	0x390323…
08-07 19:31:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 8 2026	No	BUY	2,932	83¢	$2,434	0x3f15c2…
08-07 19:17:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	423	40¢	$169	0xd6825e…
08-07 19:16:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	3,105	21¢	$652	0x6de42d…
08-07 19:16:09	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x700ec4…
08-07 18:12:19	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	1,326	89¢	$1,181	0x6bc452…
08-07 16:33:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	8,713	88¢	$7,667	0x4dba75…
08-07 16:25:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	576	90¢	$519	0xc3c28f…
08-07 16:15:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	2,565	28¢	$718	0x3becaa…
08-07 16:03:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	509	90¢	$458	0x41db6e…
08-07 16:02:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	1,479	90¢	$1,331	0xacc5f9…
08-07 15:57:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xdda1e7…
08-07 14:49:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x6d3480…
08-07 14:47:07	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	1,293	88¢	$1,138	0xa79fca…
08-07 14:25:22	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x50775e…
08-07 13:55:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	BUY	500	29¢	$145	0x2371d2…
08-07 13:32:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	645	90¢	$580	0x43bb20…
08-07 13:30:21	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	No	BUY	34	41¢	$14	0x847632…
08-07 13:26:07	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	No	BUY	47	41¢	$19	0x3efedb…
08-07 13:22:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	120	89¢	$107	0xce2915…