Accurate-Spirit 0x62cf46…4b5826 Create alert
whale 4W streak
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Realized P&L (7d)
+$718
Unrealized P&L
+$31.9K
Hit rate
85.6%
Resolved (7d)
5
Trades (7d)
15
11,217 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$2.01K
$3.60M lifetime
Avg / trade
$321
Open exposure
$364.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-10 13:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 154 days
Categories
Politics
59% 78% +$129,031
Other
34% 71% +$142,817
Crypto
5% 83% +$2,201
Sports
2% 40% -$18,261
Tech
1% 0% -$1,650
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$2,667
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 219 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +43,202 $28,803 95¢ $41.1K +$12,347 10-29 08:21
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -41,556 -$29,845 94¢ $-38897 -$9,052 09-25 15:48
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No +31,155 $24,673 88¢ $27.3K +$2,588 10-19 11:09
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +28,375 $25,885 92¢ $26.0K +$78 09-20 05:48
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +26,200 $23,001 98¢ $25.8K +$2,806 07-03 04:56
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? No +26,000 $24,012 97¢ $25.2K +$1,143 10-31 12:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +26,000 $19,860 92¢ $23.8K +$3,930 09-28 17:16
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? No +19,646 $15,374 96¢ $18.8K +$3,388 09-22 05:56
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +20,000 $18,580 88¢ $17.7K -$880 11-02 03:04
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +18,000 $16,570 97¢ $17.5K +$926 09-16 12:54
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +17,552 $14,524 98¢ $17.2K +$2,695 11-01 00:10
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +19,263 $11,143 86¢ $16.5K +$5,327 11-10 09:12
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +19,336 $7,296 72¢ $14.0K +$6,722 10-27 19:09
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +10,722 $9,346 99¢ $10.6K +$1,241 06-27 07:09
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +13,889 $6,819 68¢ $9.5K +$2,695 10-26 22:16
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +19,870 $8,598 23¢ $4.6K -$4,028 11-10 14:47
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +4,253 $3,935 96¢ $4.1K +$167 10-19 22:18
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +5,062 $2,986 76¢ $3.8K +$836 10-31 17:07
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? No +6,797 $3,367 53¢ $3.6K +$236 10-28 02:14
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +2,960 $2,355 85¢ $2.5K +$162 10-31 22:56
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +2,420 $2,077 92¢ $2.2K +$149 11-02 23:01
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +9,368 $3,715 24¢ $2.2K -$1,514 11-10 14:47
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +2,264 $1,152 78¢ $1.8K +$625 10-29 15:26
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027? No +2,000 $1,580 88¢ $1.7K +$170 11-03 21:22
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028? No +2,000 $1,440 80¢ $1.6K +$170 10-29 17:44
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +2,831 $2,341 53¢ $1.5K -$838 09-17 10:58
France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026? No +1,500 $1,438 98¢ $1.5K +$32 10-19 15:01
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +3,000 $1,583 47¢ $1.4K -$173 10-26 15:55
Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by November 30, 2026? No +1,425 $1,252 97¢ $1.4K +$136 10-31 14:07
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? No +3,469 $1,274 32¢ $1.1K -$146 10-27 11:48