Inconsequential-Stable — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9.38K

Unrealized P&L

+$47

Hit rate

60.3%

Resolved

544

Trades

17,226

lifetime

Volume

$110.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$67

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-04 19:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 124 days

Categories

Politics

61% 42% +$8,465

Other

36% 35% +$626

Sports

3% 45% +$291

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-04).

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	+100	$22	56¢	$56	+$34	05-06 16:40
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	-249	-$16	3¢	$-7	+$9	06-04 19:50
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026?	Yes	-120	-$6	3¢	$-4	+$2	05-15 09:49
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	-204	-$2	0¢	$-0	+$2	05-18 09:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	118	$3.3K	11,670	11,478	+192	No	+$773	05-25 22:55
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	200	$3.2K	30,118	30,948	-831	No	+$173	05-16 07:11
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	79	$3.1K	5,239	5,051	+187	No	+$455	05-24 18:24
will praggnanandhaa r win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	373	$2.8K	18,856	14,042	+4,815	No	-$120	04-08 17:04
will javokhir sindarov win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	122	$2.6K	4,557	4,660	-104	Yes	+$318	04-12 00:25
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	153	$2.5K	22,701	19,954	+2,747	Yes	+$49	05-25 23:43
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	105	$2.2K	16,498	11,580	+4,918	No	+$61	05-23 01:18
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	88	$2.0K	2,968	3,066	-98	Yes	+$200	03-27 18:18
will fabiano caruana win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	164	$2.0K	15,104	4,363	+10,741	No	-$349	04-11 14:05
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	124	$1.9K	4,537	5,023	-486	No	+$525	03-17 10:10
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	159	$1.6K	6,434	5,345	+1,089	Yes	+$2,397	02-28 10:08
Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?	46	$1.5K	1,043	1,188	-145	Yes	+$64	05-07 09:57
will alireza firouzja win the 20252026 speed chess championship	127	$1.5K	9,103	5,188	+3,914	No	-$92	02-08 22:01
will anish giri win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	333	$1.4K	21,527	14,608	+6,919	No	+$127	04-14 15:03
will hikaru nakamura win the 20252026 speed chess championship	133	$1.2K	5,881	2,983	+2,898	No	-$248	02-07 22:51
will trump visit china by march 31	41	$1.2K	2,995	2,882	+114	No	+$964	02-20 23:24
will trump say china during the state of the union address	84	$1.2K	3,328	3,167	+162	No	+$1,133	02-25 04:17
will wei yi win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	242	$1.1K	24,995	13,803	+11,193	No	-$172	04-11 12:50
Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?	22	$1.1K	1,012	1,012	+0	No	+$449	06-04 19:49
will partido popular pp win the 2026 aragon regional election 724	9	$1.1K	560	620	-60	Yes	+$30	01-28 18:30
will crude oil cl settle at 90 in march	45	$1.1K	1,318	1,193	+125	Yes	+$372	03-27 19:45
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	103	$978	20,823	17,128	+3,695	No	-$23	05-07 22:29
iran strike on israel by january 31	121	$957	13,969	11,481	+2,487	No	-$238	02-02 01:44
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	21	$943	1,910	1,905	+5	No	+$52	05-26 01:31
will hikaru nakamura win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	113	$932	13,312	14,648	-1,336	No	-$83	04-10 14:51
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	52	$897	986	780	+206	No	+$124	05-13 06:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	38	$832	10,583	6,483	+4,100	No	-$164	05-26 06:53
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	40	$780	822	822	+0	No	+$445	05-16 09:10
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	50	$778	2,930	1,949	+981	No	+$22	04-17 15:48
will trump and machado not shake hands	55	$754	1,207	943	+264	Yes	+$465	01-17 01:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 19:50:49	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	249	7¢	$16	0x01d3db…
06-04 19:49:46	Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?	No	SELL	672	100¢	$671	0xc98270…
05-26 06:53:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	SELL	900	3¢	$27	0xaa5526…
05-26 04:11:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	SELL	61	3¢	$2	0xe2970b…
05-26 04:02:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	SELL	470	3¢	$16	0x975352…
05-26 02:13:53	Will Wesley So win Norway Chess 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x9176ba…
05-26 02:13:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	SELL	122	3¢	$4	0xafad44…
05-26 02:12:38	Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?	No	BUY	132	43¢	$57	0xd14565…
05-26 01:31:46	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x72fb80…
05-26 01:22:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	SELL	470	3¢	$16	0xb6ec44…
05-25 23:43:16	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	400	5¢	$18	0x21d573…
05-25 23:21:54	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xc42a71…
05-25 23:21:19	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8903a0…
05-25 23:20:07	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	300	2¢	$7	0x0a6029…
05-25 23:19:46	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x0fb785…
05-25 23:19:41	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	300	2¢	$7	0xfcabca…
05-25 23:07:05	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	350	7¢	$24	0xe2165b…
05-25 23:06:37	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	800	4¢	$28	0x7b5868…
05-25 22:58:44	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	274	1¢	$4	0x7208fd…
05-25 22:58:13	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x765d3a…
05-25 22:57:20	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	311	1¢	$4	0xbe1c08…
05-25 22:55:54	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	SELL	474	59¢	$280	0x793bb8…
05-25 22:55:51	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	SELL	1	59¢	$1	0x8448b6…
05-25 22:55:51	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x6841de…
05-25 22:55:14	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	No	SELL	107	24¢	$26	0xbe12cf…
05-25 22:55:12	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	No	SELL	63	24¢	$15	0xfcc1e9…
05-25 22:54:57	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	SELL	500	16¢	$80	0x802511…
05-25 22:54:08	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	453	2¢	$9	0xc5b1ad…
05-25 22:52:54	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	37	2¢	$1	0x16da92…
05-25 22:49:15	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	390	2¢	$7	0x978997…
05-25 22:47:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	SELL	1,367	3¢	$45	0xdf34b7…
05-25 22:47:43	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	BUY	274	15¢	$41	0x52d08c…
05-25 22:47:29	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	BUY	191	15¢	$29	0x92deb6…
05-25 22:47:13	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	BUY	35	15¢	$5	0xf536e6…
05-25 22:47:09	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xf28733…
05-25 22:46:36	Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?	No	BUY	101	43¢	$43	0xd1d9ad…
05-25 22:46:17	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	85	2¢	$2	0xc33606…
05-25 22:46:12	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	500	2¢	$9	0x30b271…
05-25 22:45:07	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	80	2¢	$2	0xd1c8c1…
05-25 22:45:07	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	80	2¢	$2	0xa45a3b…
05-25 22:45:05	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x1b692a…
05-25 22:43:53	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0xee0793…
05-25 22:37:18	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	1,298	2¢	$22	0xe2d2bd…
05-25 22:35:56	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x2aa0ae…
05-25 22:35:49	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0xc61da5…
05-25 22:34:40	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	33	2¢	$1	0x8d86c4…
05-25 22:34:09	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x8bef53…
05-25 22:34:04	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	98	2¢	$2	0x9a8cdd…
05-25 22:32:08	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	No	SELL	200	29¢	$58	0xa893f6…
05-25 22:27:47	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	672	2¢	$15	0x21423c…
05-25 22:26:25	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	128	2¢	$3	0x8a4f54…
05-25 22:24:59	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x27b1fc…
05-25 22:24:33	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	1,400	2¢	$25	0x127940…
05-25 22:23:37	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	743	1¢	$9	0xea21bb…
05-25 22:23:25	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x36cb0d…
05-25 22:23:20	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	700	2¢	$12	0xca10e8…
05-25 22:22:48	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	1,000	2¢	$17	0x2db3b7…
05-25 22:22:36	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	35	1¢	$0	0x82f775…
05-25 22:22:27	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	1,950	1¢	$23	0x9a84f8…
05-25 22:22:01	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	1,500	1¢	$16	0xa998b1…
05-25 22:17:21	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	1,400	1¢	$13	0x61ab62…
05-25 22:17:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	SELL	633	3¢	$21	0x99ee12…
05-25 22:15:32	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	330	1¢	$2	0x3fd926…
05-25 22:15:27	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	300	1¢	$2	0x9e54b3…
05-25 22:14:56	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	60	1¢	$0	0xeca203…
05-25 22:14:26	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	500	1¢	$4	0x89e154…
05-25 22:14:22	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x60b22e…
05-25 22:13:49	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	505	1¢	$4	0xa2458c…
05-25 22:11:45	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	SELL	58	23¢	$13	0x43794c…
05-25 21:56:54	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	No	SELL	19	30¢	$6	0x270d3d…
05-25 21:56:51	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	No	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0xfe2ef5…
05-25 21:56:45	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	No	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0x797ab8…
05-25 21:52:56	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	SELL	348	24¢	$84	0x26c9d7…
05-25 21:52:53	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	SELL	88	23¢	$20	0x2e5b81…
05-25 21:52:02	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	SELL	42	24¢	$10	0xbfb0ca…
05-25 21:50:55	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	SELL	98	94¢	$92	0xf6b9db…
05-25 21:50:24	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	SELL	11	27¢	$3	0xc2f0e2…
05-25 21:49:58	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	SELL	900	24¢	$216	0x1e4506…
05-25 21:48:00	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	No	SELL	187	35¢	$65	0xd851f2…
05-25 21:45:26	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	SELL	589	29¢	$171	0xa677c7…
05-25 21:42:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	2,000	3¢	$67	0xc39991…
05-25 21:40:31	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	SELL	1,085	17¢	$184	0x4e7e86…
05-25 21:40:03	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0xaf25a3…
05-25 21:40:03	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	SELL	176	17¢	$30	0x492e82…
05-25 21:40:01	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	SELL	200	17¢	$34	0xa0a92c…
05-25 21:40:01	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	SELL	300	17¢	$51	0x4e7f15…
05-25 21:39:35	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	SELL	565	17¢	$96	0x28bb69…
05-25 21:38:51	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	SELL	40	17¢	$7	0xea1743…
05-25 21:38:44	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	SELL	14	17¢	$2	0x5ddcba…
05-25 21:38:19	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	SELL	33	94¢	$31	0x34f5f5…
05-25 21:37:50	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	SELL	53	94¢	$50	0x1258ab…
05-25 21:37:09	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	29	90¢	$26	0x19a9b3…
05-25 21:37:04	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	71	89¢	$63	0x1f8c38…
05-25 21:35:05	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	SELL	500	9¢	$43	0x825529…
05-25 21:33:45	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	SELL	39	18¢	$7	0x54bf71…
05-25 21:30:34	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0xd4ec3e…
05-25 21:30:34	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	BUY	2,356	15¢	$353	0xa0ebfb…
05-25 21:30:34	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0x0cb770…
05-25 21:29:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	900	3¢	$29	0x92f5c9…
05-25 21:28:45	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	BUY	700	14¢	$98	0x39ffe6…