Scratchy-Loading 0x8597ca…49daee
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$12.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$18.4K
Hit rate
75.3%
Resolved
491
Trades
10,465
lifetime
Volume
$5.18M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$495
Open exposure
$80.9K
28 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 12:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 178 days
Categories
Politics
65% 77% +$5,468
Other
31% 77% +$4,789
Crypto
2% 100% +$8,241
Sports
1% 78% -$8,424
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Tech
1% 88% +$2,000
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +17,706 $13,180 83¢ $14.7K +$1,515 10-08 16:25
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +17,606 $13,076 78¢ $13.7K +$657 10-27 12:56
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +14,970 $13,920 92¢ $13.7K -$223 10-27 12:52
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +5,236 $3,053 94¢ $4.9K +$1,896 10-21 17:15
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454 592 696 No +4,581 $2,551 96¢ $4.4K +$1,847 10-23 17:25
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No +4,650 $3,930 92¢ $4.3K +$371 09-19 12:52
Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,038 $3,341 80¢ $3.3K -$90 10-03 13:19
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +7,026 $4,083 40¢ $2.8K -$1,238 10-23 23:05
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +3,741 $2,800 74¢ $2.8K -$13 10-22 14:10
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +2,672 $1,948 86¢ $2.3K +$337 09-22 09:35
israel accuses iranproxies of plane stabbing incident by oct 31 No +2,120 -$219 98¢ $2.1K +$2,308 10-24 01:16
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No -2,157 -$1,838 92¢ $-1984 -$146 06-08 06:40
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,801 $1,657 95¢ $1.7K +$50 10-23 04:54
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? No +1,887 $1,649 90¢ $1.7K +$49 10-26 05:36
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No +1,750 $1,161 88¢ $1.5K +$379 10-14 22:25
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? No +1,083 $966 97¢ $1.0K +$80 10-22 05:12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +1,173 $939 84¢ $992 +$53 10-23 05:36
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +1,041 $726 74¢ $765 +$39 10-27 13:38
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? Yes +4,416 $1,104 14¢ $596 -$508 09-05 16:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? No +491 $432 94¢ $459 +$27 10-23 08:10
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +526 -$835 86¢ $453 +$1,287 10-16 12:50
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +558 $396 78¢ $435 +$39 10-27 11:01
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? Yes +234 $178 100¢ $234 +$56 10-21 21:54
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No +2 -$185 96¢ $2 +$186 09-20 06:36
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +0 -$1,554 94¢ $0 +$1,554 10-10 18:10
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +0 -$814 81¢ $0 +$814 08-27 00:39
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +0 -$300 97¢ $0 +$300 07-17 05:52
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? No +0 -$6,821 100¢ $0 +$6,821 10-03 10:07