Realized P&L
+$5.66K
Unrealized P&L
-$11.6K
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
7
Trades
7,891
lifetime
Volume
$4.00M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$507
Open exposure
$30.0K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-22 00:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
66% 100% +$4,794
Other
31% 100% +$868
Crypto
3%
Sports
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 167 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -11,579 $-10,386 86¢ $-10016 +$371 07-11 14:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +13,207 $13,968 54¢ $7.1K $-6,903 07-20 07:46
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -6,000 $-5,828 92¢ $-5490 +$338 07-20 03:05
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +6,533 $4,290 72¢ $4.7K +$381 07-21 04:47
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No -2,157 $-1,838 90¢ $-1952 $-114 06-08 06:40
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +502 $46 74¢ $369 +$323 06-15 19:28
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +320 $288 90¢ $286 $-2 07-13 22:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +14,519 $6,278 $167 $-6,111 06-30 22:57
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No -10 $-103 91¢ $-9 +$94 07-13 16:33
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -6 $-5 78¢ $-5 +$0 07-21 04:49