Scratchy-Loading — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5.66K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

8,369

lifetime

Volume

$4.25M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$508

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-11 11:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

66% 100% +$4,794

Other

31% 100% +$868

Crypto

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 167 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	272	$133.4K	109,853	85,798	+24,055	open	—	03-11 11:41
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	256	$108.8K	63,768	59,921	+3,848	open	—	03-01 16:45
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	49	$102.0K	85,353	24,973	+60,380	open	—	06-03 21:40
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	96	$96.7K	50,270	54,185	-3,915	open	—	05-27 17:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	127	$64.7K	38,872	38,872	+0	open	—	04-25 23:07
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	27	$56.4K	51,503	45,503	+6,000	open	—	04-08 21:14
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	27	$55.4K	32,395	32,395	+0	open	—	04-09 12:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	66	$55.0K	46,267	30,134	+16,133	open	—	04-28 22:19
netanyahu out by march 31 854	102	$54.3K	27,194	29,063	-1,869	open	—	03-20 08:26
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	11	$53.1K	29,834	23,500	+6,334	open	—	01-04 19:16
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	15	$51.5K	25,931	25,931	+0	open	—	01-01 18:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	39	$50.9K	24,852	27,352	-2,500	Yes	+$2,908	05-09 18:41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	172	$50.5K	82,335	74,406	+7,929	open	—	05-31 08:59
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	91	$48.7K	25,922	24,528	+1,394	open	—	02-28 12:12
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	49	$48.3K	49,039	44,041	+4,999	open	—	06-17 11:31
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	59	$46.8K	36,614	28,461	+8,154	open	—	01-30 19:03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	133	$45.9K	28,000	30,214	-2,214	open	—	08-01 08:28
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	32	$45.3K	24,889	24,526	+363	open	—	04-12 14:33
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	64	$44.4K	28,237	19,972	+8,265	open	—	05-14 23:14
Trump out as President by April 30?	44	$42.2K	21,500	21,500	+0	open	—	04-11 13:53
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	84	$39.3K	31,585	20,463	+11,122	open	—	05-01 02:48
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	42	$37.4K	23,908	15,500	+8,408	open	—	03-01 00:16
us forces in venezuela by january 31 2026	11	$34.4K	34,570	0	+34,570	open	—	01-03 11:33
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	61	$34.0K	19,674	19,674	+0	open	—	04-12 19:18
will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	29	$33.9K	22,675	14,109	+8,566	open	—	08-02 06:13
will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	34	$33.8K	25,690	10,563	+15,127	open	—	06-18 07:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	18	$33.3K	29,403	16,197	+13,207	open	—	07-20 07:46
us x iran nuclear talks resume by march 31	41	$31.1K	18,951	14,890	+4,061	open	—	02-06 18:32
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	58	$30.1K	15,306	15,306	+0	open	—	05-20 22:24
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	57	$29.2K	28,488	28,488	+0	open	—	02-28 09:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 11:04:34	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	431	87¢	$375	0xd2c4fd…
08-11 10:51:43	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	46	87¢	$40	0x7e7578…
08-11 10:01:31	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	100	87¢	$87	0x529a0e…
08-11 08:23:01	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	833	87¢	$725	0x456145…
08-11 08:19:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0xc2b15c…
08-11 08:08:28	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	400	87¢	$348	0xc39866…
08-11 06:54:46	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	21	87¢	$18	0x452021…
08-11 06:42:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	27	87¢	$23	0xf4470c…
08-11 06:39:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	19	87¢	$17	0x33249e…
08-11 06:34:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	21	87¢	$18	0x27928b…
08-11 06:23:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	18	87¢	$16	0xb60d43…
08-11 05:56:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	200	87¢	$174	0x4eca52…
08-11 05:53:54	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	BUY	204	92¢	$187	0x1221b6…
08-11 04:07:10	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xb67156…
08-11 03:43:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	100	87¢	$87	0x4be41d…
08-11 03:36:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	1,771	87¢	$1,540	0x8ed7c9…
08-11 02:12:22	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	BUY	2,000	92¢	$1,840	0xe28ec8…
08-11 02:12:13	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	BUY	796	92¢	$733	0x0b83bf…
08-10 20:41:16	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742051	No	BUY	54	84¢	$45	0x6ca93f…
08-10 19:37:25	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742051	No	BUY	480	84¢	$403	0x22a1e3…
08-10 19:37:03	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742051	No	BUY	757	84¢	$636	0x6ef1a9…
08-10 16:23:33	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0xbd0cee…
08-10 16:22:22	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	21	74¢	$16	0x9f16f0…
08-10 16:22:21	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	21	74¢	$16	0x0629f9…
08-10 16:21:43	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	13	74¢	$9	0x749ac3…
08-10 16:21:42	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	4,970	74¢	$3,677	0x16fa83…
08-10 08:11:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	617	87¢	$537	0x865d1b…
08-10 07:58:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	1,700	87¢	$1,479	0xfefc8e…
08-10 07:35:22	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	80	87¢	$70	0x8c577b…
08-10 07:35:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	41	87¢	$36	0x96e94f…
08-10 07:35:07	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x60f497…
08-10 07:35:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x956f90…
08-10 07:35:04	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	1,000	87¢	$870	0x31a6ff…
08-10 06:59:19	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	549	87¢	$477	0x9d98da…
08-10 05:50:42	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	1,500	87¢	$1,305	0xf07088…
08-10 05:50:12	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	62	87¢	$54	0xec673b…
08-10 05:49:54	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	376	87¢	$327	0xe35be1…
08-10 05:49:51	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	188	87¢	$164	0xf5fa6f…
08-10 05:49:16	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0xdb2bcb…
08-10 05:49:15	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xe7b85c…
08-10 05:49:13	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	16	87¢	$14	0xe8dd2c…
08-10 05:49:13	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	16	87¢	$14	0x9ae0da…
08-10 05:49:13	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	680	87¢	$592	0x774b4b…
08-10 05:48:49	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	1,045	87¢	$910	0x581929…
08-10 05:48:42	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	1,228	87¢	$1,068	0xc51336…
08-10 04:26:03	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	3,929	93¢	$3,654	0x3ecf3a…
08-10 04:18:37	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	71	93¢	$66	0x018c22…
08-10 04:09:43	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	SELL	2,867	10¢	$287	0xb13b79…
08-10 04:01:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	430	86¢	$370	0xbea1d1…
08-10 03:58:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x0c99be…
08-10 03:52:07	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	467	86¢	$401	0x4d438b…
08-10 03:44:07	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	1,750	86¢	$1,505	0x26ee9a…
08-10 03:39:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xb14356…
08-10 03:38:31	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	300	86¢	$258	0x4c734a…
08-10 03:23:25	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x342f2e…
08-10 03:22:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x8e3d59…
08-10 03:21:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	3	86¢	$2	0x62fd64…
08-10 03:15:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	39	86¢	$33	0xfa7624…
08-10 02:50:25	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	3	86¢	$2	0xfd48c1…
08-10 02:49:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	61	86¢	$52	0x6d6aff…
08-10 02:48:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	4,475	14¢	$626	0xcdda2f…
08-10 02:48:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	2,526	86¢	$2,172	0xcdda2f…
08-10 02:45:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	8,542	58¢	$4,954	0xd18c31…
08-10 02:40:24	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	1,590	65¢	$1,032	0x50ebd3…
08-09 12:46:34	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742051	No	BUY	90	84¢	$75	0x499408…
08-09 07:43:43	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	729	88¢	$641	0x56a8b9…
08-09 07:43:31	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	1,000	88¢	$880	0x2924b6…
08-09 06:58:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	168	88¢	$148	0x54f1ea…
08-09 06:22:40	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	228	88¢	$201	0x182611…
08-09 05:52:24	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	2,152	81¢	$1,751	0x956ac6…
08-09 05:42:49	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	79	88¢	$70	0x20c4f8…
08-09 05:40:58	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	180	88¢	$159	0x153985…
08-09 05:40:52	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xb8ea8f…
08-09 05:40:52	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0xb5bd68…
08-09 05:40:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xf4659a…
08-09 04:32:16	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0xf743ed…
08-09 03:10:01	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	91	88¢	$80	0xd320a7…
08-09 01:39:30	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	4,007	66¢	$2,629	0x2822a6…
08-09 01:09:43	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	11	87¢	$9	0xfb7c04…
08-09 01:09:43	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	53	87¢	$46	0xee2a89…
08-09 00:47:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x12803c…
08-09 00:47:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x27818e…
08-09 00:46:55	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x18b386…
08-09 00:46:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x866bbd…
08-09 00:46:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	5,146	87¢	$4,477	0xa9f3b1…
08-08 11:54:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	13,728	11¢	$1,510	0x6edde9…
08-07 06:36:18	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	95	84¢	$80	0xd91d52…
08-07 02:50:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	3,728	13¢	$485	0x09887c…
08-07 01:38:07	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	4,475	57¢	$2,551	0xe3fa75…
08-06 19:27:11	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	2,500	75¢	$1,875	0x9eabf2…
08-06 19:19:50	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	4,026	80¢	$3,209	0x83ac02…
08-06 19:09:53	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	453	73¢	$331	0xc0728c…
08-06 19:09:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	294	73¢	$215	0xbbd98c…
08-06 16:03:50	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	1,125	50¢	$563	0xa09310…
08-06 16:02:59	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf54a94…
08-06 16:02:35	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	715	50¢	$358	0xf810ce…
08-06 16:00:56	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xdb6eda…
08-06 15:59:53	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	1,500	50¢	$750	0xcd74ab…
08-06 15:59:50	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	42	50¢	$21	0x8ea5ed…
08-06 15:58:50	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb9ab9a…