Realized P&L
+$1.22K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.60K
Hit rate
85.4%
Resolved
23
Trades
12,439
lifetime
Volume
$999.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$80
Open exposure
$3.88K
7 positions
First seen
2026-02-17
last 07-09 08:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Politics
86% 57% +$1,123
Other
12% 62% +$52
Tech
1%
Sports
1% 100% +$43
Crypto
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 346 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +6,000 $990 29¢ $1.7K +$720 06-19 20:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +1,000 $640 99¢ $987 +$347 06-11 19:13
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes -4,000 $-760 14¢ $-540 +$220 06-06 09:19
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +2,043 $315 24¢ $490 +$176 06-18 14:44
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -930 $-449 14¢ $-126 +$323 05-29 16:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +1,417 $245 $18 $-227 06-11 17:33
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -422 $-51 $-13 +$37 05-28 06:14