Realized P&L
+$1.22K
Unrealized P&L
-$2.82K
Hit rate
85.4%
Resolved
23
Trades
12,427
lifetime
Volume
$999.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$80
Open exposure
$3.58K
15 positions
First seen
2026-02-17
last 06-20 15:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Politics
86% 57% +$1,123
Other
12% 62% +$52
Tech
1%
Sports
1% 100% +$43
Crypto
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 346 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +6,000 $990 15¢ $870 $-120 06-19 20:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +1,000 $640 66¢ $665 +$25 06-11 19:13
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -539 $-460 100¢ $-537 $-77 06-14 10:16
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes -4,000 $-760 12¢ $-500 +$260 06-06 09:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +1,417 $245 34¢ $475 +$230 06-11 17:33
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +2,043 $315 11¢ $215 $-100 06-18 14:44
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -930 $-449 20¢ $-181 +$267 05-29 16:24
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes +6,335 $664 $44 $-620 06-19 08:59
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -422 $-51 $-30 +$21 05-28 06:14
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +10,944 $3,040 $27 $-3,012 06-19 05:29
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +5,561 $-456 $11 +$467 06-18 14:16
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes -10,000 $-40 $-10 +$30 06-14 21:27
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +857 $118 $9 $-108 06-10 10:14
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes +7,480 $106 $7 $-98 06-18 11:40
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes -2,000 $-13 $-2 +$11 06-15 03:26