Realized P&L (24h)
+$34
Unrealized P&L
-$401
Hit rate
64.0%
Resolved (24h)
3
Trades (24h)
0
23 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$0
$4.06K lifetime
Avg / trade
$177
Open exposure
$999
7 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-15 18:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
96% 50% +$29
Other
4%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -632 $-316 74¢ $-464 $-148 05-07 07:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,227 $638 26¢ $325 $-313 05-07 11:04
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026? Yes +1,080 $43 12¢ $130 +$86 05-14 07:39
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? Yes -1,000 $-46 $-26 +$20 05-07 15:41
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? Yes -5,345 $-71 $-24 +$46 05-10 00:46
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? Yes +232 $102 $15 $-87 05-07 09:49
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? Yes +72 $19 20¢ $14 $-5 05-07 13:19