Incomparable-Surprise 0x048215…5c6b0a
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$36
Unrealized P&L
-$1.35K
Hit rate
15.3%
Resolved
20
Trades
7,709
lifetime
Volume
$1.47M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$190
Open exposure
$1.71K
10 positions
First seen
2026-03-16
last 06-28 14:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Politics
61% 0% $-966
Tech
19% 100% +$500
Other
18% 14% $-292
Crypto
1% — —
Sports
0% 33% +$722
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 284 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes -5,000 $-1,200 12¢ $-625 +$575 06-16 21:27
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No -416 $-198 88¢ $-364 $-166 05-29 23:52
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? No -423 $-287 82¢ $-345 $-58 05-29 23:53
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No -172 $-28 62¢ $-108 $-80 06-04 13:19
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +586 $426 18¢ $103 $-324 06-01 17:19
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes -343 $-61 26¢ $-87 $-26 06-04 13:18
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? Yes -242 $-46 16¢ $-37 +$9 05-29 23:51
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -109 $1,247 32¢ $-36 $-1,283 06-28 14:38
Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -21 $-1 4¢ $-1 $-0 06-17 14:44
Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes -13 $-1 4¢ $-1 +$0 06-17 14:45