Front-Partnership — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

78.3%

Resolved

Trades

948

lifetime

Volume

$27.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

$12

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 06-09 12:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

71% 100% +$0

Politics

20% 100% +$1

Sports

7% 60% $-14

Crypto

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No		+7	$6	90¢	$6	+$0	06-09 12:00
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No		+7	$6	90¢	$6	$-0	06-09 12:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 2 2026	2	$1.8K	894	894	+0	open	—	02-02 23:44
will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 1	3	$1.8K	887	887	+0	open	—	02-02 10:58
us strikes iran by february 1 2026	4	$1.7K	863	863	+0	open	—	02-02 00:40
highest temperature in seoul on february 5 2026 4c	5	$1.6K	824	824	+0	open	—	02-05 04:03
highest temperature in nyc on february 4 2026 38 39f	15	$1.5K	771	771	+0	open	—	02-05 00:13
highest temperature in london on february 9 2026 9c	14	$1.5K	743	743	-0	open	—	02-09 23:16
highest temperature in nyc on february 3 2026 29forbelow	5	$894	901	0	+901	open	—	02-03 10:48
highest temperature in seoul on february 9 2026 2c	1	$738	739	0	+739	open	—	02-09 10:09
highest temperature in ankara on february 5 2026 13corhigher	3	$693	347	347	-0	open	—	02-06 00:01
highest temperature in nyc on february 4 2026 40 41f	6	$613	309	309	+0	open	—	02-04 22:22
will demarcus lawrence win the super bowl lx mvp	2	$599	300	300	+0	open	—	02-09 03:57
highest temperature in nyc on february 8 2026 15forbelow	6	$590	608	0	+608	open	—	02-08 14:39
will marcus jones win the super bowl lx mvp	2	$570	286	286	+0	open	—	02-09 03:57
highest temperature in atlanta on february 3 2026 50 51f	2	$560	282	282	+0	open	—	02-03 10:47
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	3	$466	234	234	+0	open	—	01-31 16:38
highest temperature in toronto on february 9 2026 neg 7c	9	$436	441	441	+0	open	—	02-10 02:43
will trump say anarchist this week february 8	4	$433	437	0	+437	open	—	02-09 04:09
highest temperature in wellington on january 29 21corhigher	12	$366	432	0	+432	open	—	01-28 21:58
highest temperature in nyc on february 5 2026 26 27f	9	$359	361	0	+361	open	—	02-05 13:37
highest temperature in buenos aires on january 18 29corbelow	11	$332	345	0	+345	open	—	01-18 17:06
highest temperature in seoul on february 4 2026 4c	2	$300	306	0	+306	open	—	02-04 02:55
highest temperature in london on january 27 9corhigher	5	$261	277	0	+277	open	—	01-27 10:26
ethereum up or down january 18 11am et	3	$255	300	0	+300	open	—	01-18 16:59
will the government shutdown last 2 days or more	4	$243	244	0	+244	open	—	02-01 00:23
highest temperature in nyc on january 18 34 35f	7	$235	284	0	+284	open	—	01-18 18:08
highest temperature in ankara on february 5 2026 8c	4	$232	229	229	+0	open	—	02-05 13:36
highest temperature in buenos aires on january 27 35corbelow	8	$228	266	0	+266	open	—	01-27 10:29
highest temperature in london on january 26 6c	13	$217	256	0	+256	open	—	01-26 15:31
bitcoin up or down on february 10	2	$195	173	173	+0	open	—	02-10 03:07
highest temperature in chicago on february 9 2026 40 41f	8	$184	95	95	+0	open	—	02-10 02:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 12:18:22	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x1c2c89…
06-09 12:00:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x90084d…
06-09 06:29:16	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0xbca921…
06-08 13:42:33	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x42acad…
06-08 05:00:39	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	23	50¢	$11	0xeebc44…
06-07 21:18:33	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x86eef3…
06-07 21:12:12	mlb wsh ari 2026 06 07	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	14	90¢	$12	0x036dcb…
06-07 21:00:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xfc15e8…
06-07 21:00:34	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x32253b…
06-07 13:03:57	wta maria miyazak 2026 06 06	Tatjana Maria	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xb9f820…
06-07 13:00:15	atp fery bu 2026 06 06	Yunchaokete Bu	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x7d4b10…
06-07 05:01:24	atp fery bu 2026 06 06	Yunchaokete Bu	BUY	14	84¢	$12	0x2c0cea…
06-04 13:00:39	wta lukas semenis 2026 06 03	Darja Semenistaja	BUY	18	90¢	$16	0x5641f3…
06-04 13:00:31	wta lukas semenis 2026 06 03	Darja Semenistaja	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x479591…
06-01 21:00:18	Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka	Aryna Sabalenka	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xa0f053…
06-01 21:00:16	Birmingham: Mary Stoiana vs Lulu Sun	Lulu Sun	SELL	24	58¢	$14	0xe97488…
06-01 14:53:07	Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka	Aryna Sabalenka	BUY	12	80¢	$9	0x433bba…
06-01 13:18:25	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	No	BUY	23	90¢	$20	0xff619d…
06-01 13:05:14	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	No	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xdee507…
06-01 13:00:38	Birmingham: Mary Stoiana vs Lulu Sun	Lulu Sun	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xd758bb…
06-01 05:20:26	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	31	82¢	$25	0x8f2ddf…
05-31 21:00:21	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x065f20…
05-31 15:04:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	18	88¢	$16	0x4bc7e1…
05-30 13:00:18	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xf81600…
05-29 21:00:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x548b6a…
05-28 06:44:24	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	18	90¢	$17	0xa64fe2…
05-27 14:40:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	23	90¢	$21	0x61b85d…
05-27 13:08:06	Roland Garros ATP: Valentin Royer vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	29	88¢	$25	0x104a87…
05-27 05:00:14	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x010c2c…
05-26 22:35:28	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	BUY	29	88¢	$25	0x583f5a…
05-26 13:02:21	Roland Garros ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Juan Carlos Prado	Martin Landaluce	BUY	19	88¢	$17	0xb969f4…
05-26 13:02:19	Roland Garros ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Juan Carlos Prado	Martin Landaluce	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x26a33f…
05-26 11:04:29	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xdcbe07…
05-26 10:52:07	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	No	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x4558ad…
05-26 10:43:57	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0xa9e45e…
05-26 07:16:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0xcec307…
05-26 05:12:08	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xa3616e…
05-26 05:01:04	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0xc8eea2…
05-25 21:00:17	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x127f70…
05-24 21:00:30	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x630f9e…
05-23 21:02:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	13	45¢	$6	0xa84eb0…
05-23 05:00:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0x4562cf…
05-23 05:00:23	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xd25564…
05-17 05:00:19	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0x62cd5e…
05-16 13:00:17	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xd3cee9…
05-16 05:00:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x330ba9…
05-14 05:00:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xe0e406…
05-11 05:00:25	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xb86373…
05-11 05:00:25	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x6ee15e…
05-11 05:00:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x5c8313…
05-11 05:00:20	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x513e50…
05-10 05:13:51	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xdfa6de…
05-08 06:28:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0xb02078…
05-08 05:00:16	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0x56a3c7…
05-05 05:00:22	NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Hurricanes vs. Flyers	Canes	SELL	9	91¢	$8	0x84105d…
05-04 23:17:24	NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Hurricanes vs. Flyers	Canes	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0xa371f1…
05-03 18:10:52	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x515c9a…
05-03 14:31:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	4	83¢	$4	0x8926c6…
05-03 14:30:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xfde565…
05-03 14:30:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	0	83¢	$0	0xc78a8d…
05-03 14:30:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	0	83¢	$0	0x78856f…
05-03 14:30:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	0	83¢	$0	0x3807d4…
05-03 14:30:28	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xb89c33…
05-03 14:30:28	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0xb133ba…
05-03 14:30:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x9467f8…
04-26 05:00:14	LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season	Cloud9	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9380fe…
04-25 21:00:16	LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season	Cloud9	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xfc95b0…
04-25 21:00:14	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0xdd0ef5…
04-25 21:00:14	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0xac69c9…
04-25 21:00:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xaa0ac2…
04-25 13:00:12	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x611d70…
04-24 21:00:24	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	88¢	$24	0x3c2e7c…
04-24 13:04:14	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	84¢	$8	0xcd9811…
04-24 13:00:12	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0x802c6f…
04-24 13:00:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	9	82¢	$8	0xa2c6b6…
04-24 05:31:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	9	84¢	$8	0x6d1299…
04-24 05:00:14	Madrid Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Sofia Kenin	Qinwen Zheng	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x3e929f…
04-24 05:00:10	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xd5a119…
04-23 21:00:18	Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x03f20d…
04-23 05:54:32	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x6d4b4e…
04-23 05:00:26	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	90¢	$23	0x1ae34f…
04-23 05:00:22	Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x9d51f4…
04-23 05:00:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0x2829ff…
04-23 05:00:18	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x5254e4…
04-22 21:00:14	fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 psg	Yes	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xa71ed1…
04-22 21:00:14	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	SELL	9	83¢	$8	0x055a42…
04-22 21:00:12	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0x998dd0…
04-22 13:02:18	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x39aa16…
04-22 13:00:42	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xc73c1e…
04-22 13:00:40	nba phx okc 2026 04 22	Thunder	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0x08f2f8…
04-22 05:00:38	Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$9	0xae6173…
04-21 21:07:48	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0x3a341d…
04-21 21:00:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x6923a2…
04-21 21:00:48	Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x084155…
04-21 21:00:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0xfb12c2…
04-21 13:43:28	Madrid Open: Anna Bondar vs Viktorija Golubic	Anna Bondar	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0xfbe039…
04-21 13:00:18	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	No	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0xbca4ec…
04-21 13:00:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x6f0dde…
04-21 13:00:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	11	75¢	$8	0x7f88fb…
04-21 06:10:34	Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x7ec399…