Front-Partnership — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$880

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

88.5%

Resolved

649

Trades

1,345

lifetime

Volume

$34.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

$96

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 10-31 21:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 203 days

Categories

Other

70% 76% -$534

Politics

20% 82% +$25

Sports

8% 81% -$40

Crypto

2% 29% -$351

Tech

1% 100% +$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+29	$25	96¢	$28	+$3	10-16 17:49
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	No	+29	$25	88¢	$25	+$1	10-22 22:52
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	Yes	+28	$25	86¢	$24	-$1	10-15 05:51
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	No	+23	$18	86¢	$19	+$1	08-21 16:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 2 2026	2	$1.8K	894	894	+0	No	+$7	02-02 23:44
will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 1	3	$1.8K	887	887	+0	No	+$6	02-02 10:58
us strikes iran by february 1 2026	4	$1.7K	863	863	+0	No	+$7	02-02 00:40
highest temperature in seoul on february 5 2026 4c	5	$1.6K	824	824	+0	No	+$3	02-05 04:03
highest temperature in nyc on february 4 2026 38 39f	15	$1.5K	771	771	+0	No	+$3	02-05 00:13
highest temperature in london on february 9 2026 9c	14	$1.5K	743	743	-0	Yes	+$3	02-09 23:16
highest temperature in nyc on february 3 2026 29forbelow	5	$894	901	0	+901	No	+$8	02-03 10:48
highest temperature in seoul on february 9 2026 2c	1	$738	739	0	+739	Yes	+$1	02-09 10:09
highest temperature in ankara on february 5 2026 13corhigher	3	$693	347	347	-0	No	+$1	02-06 00:01
highest temperature in nyc on february 4 2026 40 41f	6	$613	309	309	+0	No	+$4	02-04 22:22
will demarcus lawrence win the super bowl lx mvp	2	$599	300	300	+0	No	+$1	02-09 03:57
highest temperature in nyc on february 8 2026 15forbelow	6	$590	608	0	+608	No	+$18	02-08 14:39
will marcus jones win the super bowl lx mvp	2	$570	286	286	+0	No	+$2	02-09 03:57
highest temperature in atlanta on february 3 2026 50 51f	2	$560	282	282	+0	No	+$0	02-03 10:47
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	3	$466	234	234	+0	Yes	+$1	01-31 16:38
highest temperature in toronto on february 9 2026 neg 7c	9	$436	441	441	+0	Yes	-$428	02-10 02:43
will trump say anarchist this week february 8	4	$433	437	0	+437	No	+$5	02-09 04:09
highest temperature in wellington on january 29 21corhigher	12	$366	432	0	+432	Yes	+$66	01-28 21:58
highest temperature in nyc on february 5 2026 26 27f	9	$359	361	0	+361	No	+$2	02-05 13:37
highest temperature in buenos aires on january 18 29corbelow	11	$332	345	0	+345	Yes	+$13	01-18 17:06
highest temperature in seoul on february 4 2026 4c	2	$300	306	0	+306	No	+$6	02-04 02:55
highest temperature in london on january 27 9corhigher	5	$261	277	0	+277	Yes	+$16	01-27 10:26
ethereum up or down january 18 11am et	3	$255	300	0	+300	Down	-$255	01-18 16:59
will the government shutdown last 2 days or more	4	$243	244	0	+244	Yes	+$1	02-01 00:23
highest temperature in nyc on january 18 34 35f	7	$235	284	0	+284	Yes	+$49	01-18 18:08
highest temperature in ankara on february 5 2026 8c	4	$232	229	229	+0	Yes	-$225	02-05 13:36
highest temperature in buenos aires on january 27 35corbelow	8	$228	266	0	+266	Yes	+$38	01-27 10:29
highest temperature in london on january 26 6c	13	$217	256	0	+256	Yes	-$97	01-26 15:31
bitcoin up or down on february 10	2	$195	173	173	+0	Down	+$9	02-10 03:07
highest temperature in chicago on february 9 2026 40 41f	8	$184	95	95	+0	No	+$2	02-10 02:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 21:00:19	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x7bcd5b…
10-31 13:00:18	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x712262…
10-31 05:00:21	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x654d05…
10-30 13:00:19	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0xab6912…
10-29 21:00:19	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x975f9d…
10-29 13:00:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xde3b04…
10-29 05:00:22	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x5b3086…
10-26 14:04:56	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x28e18b…
10-26 05:01:26	Seoul: Koki Matsuda vs Beibit Zhukayev	Beibit Zhukayev	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0xf29084…
10-26 05:00:39	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x1100dd…
10-26 00:14:53	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x263696…
10-25 21:05:50	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xcbc9ba…
10-25 21:00:20	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$27	0x1f7906…
10-24 21:00:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xa4f213…
10-24 16:16:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	No	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x280471…
10-23 16:48:48	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x944f1f…
10-23 05:08:17	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0x298cb5…
10-23 05:05:47	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	27	85¢	$23	0x7d22d8…
10-22 22:52:56	Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x0cf7b7…
10-22 13:00:36	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	47¢	$13	0xa81b9f…
10-22 05:13:48	Guangzhou 2: Liam Broady vs Akira Santillan	Akira Santillan	BUY	24	90¢	$22	0x9d08f0…
10-22 05:13:48	Guangzhou 2: Liam Broady vs Akira Santillan	Akira Santillan	BUY	4	90¢	$3	0x1fd3cb…
10-22 05:00:21	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xeae795…
10-21 14:35:45	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x2767bd…
10-21 13:01:09	UAE Tri-Nations ODIs: Afghanistan vs Bangladesh	Afghanistan	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x22ff5d…
10-20 21:07:48	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?	No	BUY	28	91¢	$25	0x6699e9…
10-20 21:00:20	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xe0096f…
10-19 21:00:39	Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-10-19?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x564bad…
10-19 16:41:30	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	29	88¢	$25	0x014faf…
10-19 13:18:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x5b65f5…
10-18 18:44:06	Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-10-19?	No	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x482e3b…
10-17 21:40:51	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x484bff…
10-16 21:19:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x3f5656…
10-16 17:49:39	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x80cf0c…
10-16 15:59:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x61bc48…
10-15 21:00:18	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 15	Yes	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x0e9676…
10-15 05:51:02	Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x6e6974…
10-15 05:00:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 15 2026	No	SELL	29	99¢	$28	0x07f16f…
10-14 14:52:22	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	29	88¢	$25	0x52d742…
10-14 14:39:15	us imports russian diesel by october 31	No	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0xf4f700…
10-14 08:20:40	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0xa22f4b…
10-14 06:47:10	katie zacharia out as press secretary by october 31	No	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x294b09…
10-13 15:58:04	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x1d9880…
10-13 14:39:07	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0xfa3124…
10-13 05:10:08	Wuhan Tennis Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Liudmila Samsonova	Liudmila Samsonova	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x9043f9…
10-12 13:06:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?	Yes	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0xafcff2…
10-12 02:14:29	Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xdf8e41…
10-11 21:20:19	LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs	KT Rolster	BUY	29	88¢	$25	0x7d0c8c…
10-11 06:33:09	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Yi Zhou	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	13	86¢	$11	0xb97a1e…
10-11 06:29:05	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Yi Zhou	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	17	86¢	$14	0x6173c9…
10-10 15:38:19	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x0d342c…
10-10 05:14:25	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Nuno Borges	Jiri Lehecka	BUY	15	86¢	$13	0x078291…
10-10 05:13:40	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Nuno Borges	Jiri Lehecka	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0xb835d1…
10-09 21:04:59	LoL: Disguised vs Fuego (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs	Disguised	BUY	9	85¢	$7	0xc50b8e…
10-09 21:00:50	LoL: Disguised vs Fuego (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs	Disguised	BUY	21	85¢	$18	0xfc335a…
10-09 16:12:00	Will Falcons Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?	No	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0xb99d63…
10-09 06:16:40	Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0xf8442c…
10-08 05:55:07	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xade3cc…
10-07 21:01:47	Antofagasta: Nick Hardt vs Felipe Meligeni Alves	Felipe Meligeni Alves	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x3aace7…
10-07 21:00:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?	Yes	SELL	29	100¢	$28	0x8ca91e…
10-07 05:28:05	Samsun: Cagla Buyukakcay vs Linda Klimovicova	Linda Klimovicova	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x3dff66…
10-07 05:25:30	Samsun: Cagla Buyukakcay vs Linda Klimovicova	Linda Klimovicova	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x3ed98f…
10-07 05:24:42	Samsun: Cagla Buyukakcay vs Linda Klimovicova	Linda Klimovicova	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x9e1d0f…
10-07 05:18:33	Samsun: Cagla Buyukakcay vs Linda Klimovicova	Linda Klimovicova	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x8e57d7…
10-06 21:00:17	Will England win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xb1e4ea…
10-06 18:43:54	Will England win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	4	86¢	$3	0x7e549c…
10-06 18:42:06	Will England win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	25	86¢	$22	0x067d33…
10-06 05:00:52	Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Aziz Dougaz vs Federico Cina	Federico Cina	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x7194a6…
10-05 13:20:14	China Open: Coco Gauff vs Xinran Sun	Coco Gauff	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xf5ab63…
10-04 21:02:13	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	No	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x30d5e6…
10-04 21:01:07	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	28	91¢	$25	0xb8ae7b…
10-04 09:15:02	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?	No	BUY	29	88¢	$25	0xb3fb45…
10-03 13:02:29	West Indies Tour of India ODIs: India vs West Indies	India	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0xa9ad88…
10-03 05:39:26	Asian Games Men: Pakistan vs India	India	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x5af1b1…
10-02 23:08:35	Will Argentina vs. Burkina Faso end in a draw?	No	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x6458ff…
10-02 21:17:18	Curitiba: Gustavo Heide vs Lautaro Midon	Gustavo Heide	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xb1e3b7…
10-02 05:00:50	Jingshan: Elias Ymer vs Federico Cina	Federico Cina	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xd672c9…
10-02 05:00:47	Jingshan: Elias Ymer vs Federico Cina	Federico Cina	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x572f0f…
10-01 21:53:59	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 15 2026	No	BUY	29	88¢	$25	0xaed13a…
10-01 21:01:53	Curitiba: Guido Justo vs Pedro Sakamoto	Guido Justo	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0xd69a7d…
10-01 06:42:11	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 7	Yes	BUY	29	88¢	$25	0x188567…
10-01 05:02:08	wta zhen shi 2026 09 30	Qinwen Zheng	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x84ef78…
09-30 21:00:30	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x4adc98…
09-30 21:00:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x13c34e…
09-30 21:00:29	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x0fe39c…
09-30 21:00:27	Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x7dae41…
09-30 13:19:18	atp lehecka bergs 2026 09 29	Jiri Lehecka	BUY	16	85¢	$14	0x0820c3…
09-30 13:12:41	atp lehecka bergs 2026 09 29	Jiri Lehecka	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0xd478ce…
09-30 13:12:05	Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x693778…
09-29 13:01:24	will wti dip to 90 in september 2026 from september 23	Yes	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x88441a…
09-29 05:00:17	Eagles vs. Bears: O/U 57.5	Under	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x81db92…
09-28 23:29:23	Eagles vs. Bears: O/U 57.5	Under	BUY	29	88¢	$25	0xb3d1d1…
09-28 21:00:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x0c496e…
09-28 05:01:32	atp hanfman machac 2026 09 27	Tomas Machac	BUY	28	86¢	$24	0xbd50ba…
09-27 21:09:38	atp basavar marcond 2026 09 27	Nishesh Basavareddy	BUY	19	89¢	$17	0xf50126…
09-27 21:09:03	atp basavar marcond 2026 09 27	Nishesh Basavareddy	BUY	7	89¢	$7	0x439b96…
09-26 22:07:14	lol ly sr 2026 09 26 game handicap away 1pt5	LYON	BUY	25	85¢	$21	0x844408…
09-26 13:05:24	atp gurri taberne 2026 09 26	Max Alcala Gurri	BUY	28	86¢	$25	0x84d2c6…
09-26 13:05:24	atp gurri taberne 2026 09 26	Max Alcala Gurri	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0x652563…
09-26 13:02:35	atp medvede royer 2026 09 25	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x9c3f09…