Inborn-Bust — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$38

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

37.1%

Resolved

447

Trades

54,758

lifetime

Volume

$1.36M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-14

last 06-25 10:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Other

42% 21% -$24

Politics

29% 36% -$9

Sports

21% 17% -$4

Crypto

7% 27% $0

Tech

1% 29% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-25).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2,652	$73.4K	37,439	37,439	+0	No	-$1	06-24 21:58
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	2,154	$47.2K	23,907	23,907	+0	No	+$0	06-18 03:08
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1,745	$45.6K	23,238	23,238	+0	No	$0	05-26 01:26
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	1,595	$37.3K	18,915	18,915	+0	Yes	$0	06-16 19:37
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	1,126	$32.7K	16,500	16,500	+0	No	$0	06-21 00:59
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	1,179	$32.5K	16,730	16,730	+0	No	-$7	06-11 12:22
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	1,222	$32.2K	16,434	16,434	+0	Yes	$0	05-18 01:14
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	1,253	$32.2K	16,217	16,217	+0	No	+$0	06-17 09:07
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	1,081	$30.5K	15,325	15,325	+0	No	$0	05-29 18:25
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	890	$28.1K	14,168	14,168	+0	No	+$0	06-16 18:34
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?	837	$27.5K	14,052	14,052	+0	No	+$0	06-14 16:58
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	1,150	$26.8K	13,477	13,477	+0	No	$0	05-30 19:45
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	855	$24.1K	12,266	12,266	+0	Yes	+$0	05-26 01:45
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	977	$23.0K	11,575	11,575	+0	No	-$1	06-16 18:26
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?	882	$23.0K	11,532	11,532	+0	No	+$0	06-24 17:08
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	980	$22.8K	11,531	11,531	+0	No	-$1	06-25 08:11
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	899	$22.5K	11,278	11,278	+0	No	$0	06-16 18:35
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	812	$22.4K	11,453	11,453	+0	No	+$0	06-25 10:13
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?	1,286	$21.1K	10,646	10,646	+0	No	$0	05-15 23:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	974	$20.7K	10,467	10,467	+0	No	$0	06-14 23:58
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	780	$20.2K	10,164	10,176	-12	Yes	$0	05-30 14:03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	595	$19.4K	9,803	9,835	-32	No	-$1	06-01 10:53
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	990	$16.0K	8,094	8,094	+0	No	$0	05-23 20:48
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	545	$15.1K	7,693	7,693	+0	No	$0	06-25 10:13
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?	555	$14.6K	7,383	7,383	+0	No	$0	06-17 18:05
Will Luis Javier Suárez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	730	$13.8K	6,904	6,904	+0	No	+$0	06-21 15:00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?	393	$13.7K	6,864	6,864	+0	No	$0	06-14 10:42
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	476	$13.4K	6,878	6,878	+0	No	$0	06-25 09:33
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	460	$13.2K	6,687	6,687	+0	No	$0	06-25 09:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	514	$13.0K	6,559	6,559	+0	Yes	+$0	06-18 00:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 10:13:40	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x8e99db…
06-25 10:13:40	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	29	98¢	$29	0x8e5002…
06-25 10:13:40	Will Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	29	98¢	$29	0x45f9a2…
06-25 10:13:40	Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x262200…
06-25 10:13:38	Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xc12b18…
06-25 10:13:38	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x6eb1a9…
06-25 10:13:38	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	31	98¢	$30	0x59a323…
06-25 10:13:38	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	31	98¢	$30	0x050ee2…
06-25 10:13:37	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	32	98¢	$31	0x1e9842…
06-25 10:09:31	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x1e2642…
06-25 09:33:22	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	31	97¢	$30	0xa9434e…
06-25 09:21:56	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xf14458…
06-25 09:05:55	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$29	0x8da7ba…
06-25 09:05:52	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$29	0x5f4008…
06-25 09:05:20	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9a530f…
06-25 09:05:08	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x02cd12…
06-25 08:44:17	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x13530d…
06-25 08:44:16	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x133537…
06-25 08:43:56	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xfff9b2…
06-25 08:43:53	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x6db7b5…
06-25 08:42:46	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xebabf0…
06-25 08:42:34	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x254bb4…
06-25 08:42:32	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb547ea…
06-25 08:42:31	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x0721b6…
06-25 08:42:13	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$18	0xb747f6…
06-25 08:42:11	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$18	0x849266…
06-25 08:41:59	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x86800a…
06-25 08:41:44	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xe1c4f4…
06-25 08:41:44	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xa30b9e…
06-25 08:41:43	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x73af0b…
06-25 08:41:43	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x01f200…
06-25 08:41:41	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xef55dc…
06-25 08:41:31	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xeab299…
06-25 08:41:23	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xf07db8…
06-25 08:41:16	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$50	0xcba46c…
06-25 08:41:16	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x858737…
06-25 08:41:01	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xd75feb…
06-25 08:41:01	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xa146e6…
06-25 08:40:59	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x31b9ec…
06-25 08:40:49	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x74cae4…
06-25 08:40:46	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd41279…
06-25 08:40:46	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x5cb08e…
06-25 08:40:34	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x9ff154…
06-25 08:40:28	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xb7132d…
06-25 08:40:26	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x36338c…
06-25 08:40:17	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x946c19…
06-25 08:40:14	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x571f5e…
06-25 08:40:14	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x457e68…
06-25 08:40:02	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x72885d…
06-25 08:40:01	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xd5707c…
06-25 08:39:53	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xa5d569…
06-25 08:39:47	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xba0e47…
06-25 08:39:47	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x06aa2e…
06-25 08:39:35	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8cf3f0…
06-25 08:39:29	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xf821d6…
06-25 08:39:28	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x78caff…
06-25 08:33:56	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$17	0x26176d…
06-25 08:23:23	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x9dbb14…
06-25 08:23:20	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0xe7115e…
06-25 08:23:17	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfee494…
06-25 08:23:01	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x70da37…
06-25 08:22:56	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xaae668…
06-25 08:22:38	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x25b0e7…
06-25 08:22:31	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x98113f…
06-25 08:22:31	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x70e10b…
06-25 08:22:17	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xefddd3…
06-25 08:22:17	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x21a44a…
06-25 08:22:16	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x398206…
06-25 08:22:01	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0x364b27…
06-25 08:21:59	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x6141f2…
06-25 08:21:44	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x22536c…
06-25 08:21:43	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5ef947…
06-25 08:20:56	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xcd09ae…
06-25 08:20:52	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x79dce9…
06-25 08:20:44	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xb46a08…
06-25 08:20:32	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0xb649e3…
06-25 08:18:26	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x34ad56…
06-25 08:18:26	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x1bbdde…
06-25 08:18:25	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaf3fba…
06-25 08:18:25	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x269c6a…
06-25 08:18:19	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xf195a6…
06-25 08:18:13	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xd04bcb…
06-25 08:18:13	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0xae1837…
06-25 08:18:11	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x143b90…
06-25 08:18:11	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0cdd2d…
06-25 08:18:07	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x638709…
06-25 08:18:07	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x345f30…
06-25 08:18:07	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x033c4f…
06-25 08:18:04	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xed1445…
06-25 08:18:04	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xebc9f4…
06-25 08:18:04	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xddd8d7…
06-25 08:18:04	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x49890e…
06-25 08:18:01	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x5b5083…
06-25 08:17:59	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x78fc96…
06-25 08:17:59	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x1b4385…
06-25 08:17:58	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4dbb4f…
06-25 08:17:56	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xba4a24…
06-25 08:17:56	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x349995…
06-25 08:17:23	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xe8d609…
06-25 08:17:23	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8d7dee…