Realized P&L
+$4
Unrealized P&L
-$416
Hit rate
45.5%
Resolved
5
Trades
1,282
lifetime
Volume
$156.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$122
Open exposure
$161
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 06-30 10:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
59% 33% +$29
Other
36% 0% $-25
Sports
4%
Crypto
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -164 $-86 30¢ $-50 +$36 05-31 23:47
Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? No -41 $-19 98¢ $-40 $-21 06-04 23:47
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -378 $-53 10¢ $-36 +$17 05-31 23:47
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30? Yes +1,464 $128 $15 $-113 06-22 01:08
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? Yes +1,209 $46 $9 $-37 06-28 04:25
Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? Yes +2,553 $361 $6 $-355 06-22 08:37
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes -747 $-6 $-2 +$3 06-16 00:21
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? Yes -491 $-54 $-1 +$53 06-01 01:06