Realized P&L
+$4
Unrealized P&L
+$369
Hit rate
45.5%
Resolved
5
Trades
1,417
lifetime
Volume
$182.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$129
Open exposure
$839
5 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 07-21 02:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
56% 33% +$29
Other
38% 0% $-25
Sports
4%
Tech
1%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? Yes +759 $218 55¢ $414 +$196 07-19 01:06
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? No +759 $233 46¢ $345 +$112 07-17 10:35
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -164 $-86 34¢ $-56 +$30 05-31 23:47
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -378 $-53 $-21 +$32 05-31 23:47
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? Yes +5 $3 52¢ $3 $-0 07-15 03:30