Illustrious-Spectacles 0xbaa2bc…b92c73
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$17.7K
Unrealized P&L
-$83.4K
Hit rate
91.8%
Resolved
5
Trades
30,581
lifetime
Volume
$21.3M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$697
Open exposure
$434.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 11:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
83% 100% +$21,579
Other
17% 50% $-3,839
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1524 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +106,700 $100,236 100¢ $106.6K +$6,358 06-21 09:24
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -71,221 $-70,685 100¢ $-71150 $-464 06-15 05:38
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +66,666 $57,332 86¢ $57.7K +$333 06-21 16:42
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +45,560 $43,282 100¢ $45.4K +$2,164 06-15 10:08
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +39,838 $31,777 88¢ $34.9K +$3,081 06-21 08:31
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +23,087 $22,876 100¢ $23.1K +$177 06-21 16:55
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +15,604 $21,551 100¢ $15.6K $-5,994 06-22 12:35
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No +10,404 $10,352 100¢ $10.4K +$42 06-21 17:31
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +10,016 $9,190 99¢ $9.9K +$731 06-26 10:46
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No -7,902 $-7,834 100¢ $-7894 $-60 06-15 08:38
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +8,325 $6,227 82¢ $6.9K +$641 06-28 17:07
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? No -4,986 $-4,185 99¢ $-4959 $-774 05-29 09:24
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +5,724 $4,821 84¢ $4.8K $-41 06-17 02:19
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? No +4,121 $3,947 99¢ $4.1K +$139 06-27 10:04
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No +4,170 $2,089 82¢ $3.4K +$1,330 06-30 13:46
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +3,415 $3,199 100¢ $3.4K +$205 06-16 20:49
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -4,126 $-1,055 80¢ $-3322 $-2,267 06-24 19:13
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +16,689 $5,569 20¢ $3.3K $-2,315 06-18 17:08
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? No -3,453 $-3,417 87¢ $-3004 +$413 06-26 14:46
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -2,894 $-1,765 100¢ $-2886 $-1,122 06-19 20:58
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +6,925 $2,837 30¢ $2.0K $-794 06-19 01:17
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No -2,600 $-1,638 70¢ $-1820 $-182 05-29 17:12
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No +1,699 $1,684 100¢ $1.7K +$11 06-21 08:47
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +7,567 $7,036 18¢ $1.4K $-5,640 06-30 11:42
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026? No +1,332 $1,314 99¢ $1.3K +$7 06-21 11:46
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026? No +804 $791 99¢ $798 +$7 06-22 22:45
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31? No +908 $744 84¢ $758 +$14 06-29 06:11
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No +862 $733 88¢ $754 +$22 06-27 14:43
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +255,587 $80,091 0¢ $639 $-79,452 06-22 18:37
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? No +698 $587 90¢ $632 +$45 06-27 17:54