Illustrious-Spectacles — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17.7K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.8%

Resolved

Trades

34,461

lifetime

Volume

$24.0M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$696

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 11:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

82% 100% +$21,579

Other

18% 50% $-3,839

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 587 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	536	$1.21M	1,396,524	1,302,984	+93,540	open	—	04-21 15:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	714	$1.21M	3,209,441	3,395,865	-186,424	open	—	06-01 10:53
us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	316	$1.04M	959,154	514,631	+444,523	open	—	08-06 18:27
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	308	$826.3K	703,337	517,514	+185,823	open	—	05-01 05:56
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	323	$572.6K	751,802	450,190	+301,612	open	—	05-23 20:49
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	104	$566.1K	363,865	207,494	+156,371	open	—	04-07 21:04
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	245	$523.5K	389,258	339,810	+49,448	open	—	06-01 01:11
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	525	$439.8K	658,058	559,182	+98,876	open	—	02-28 06:46
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	475	$413.2K	550,570	357,184	+193,387	open	—	04-21 11:12
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	348	$411.9K	341,907	189,779	+152,128	open	—	08-04 17:43
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	528	$401.8K	863,899	730,955	+132,945	open	—	04-21 15:53
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	199	$395.6K	630,022	473,023	+156,999	open	—	03-02 14:50
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	218	$380.1K	336,220	237,195	+99,025	open	—	05-25 14:35
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	282	$376.8K	354,577	229,956	+124,621	open	—	06-01 04:50
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	253	$361.4K	335,032	223,655	+111,377	open	—	02-01 07:13
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	534	$345.9K	424,986	190,426	+234,560	open	—	02-01 00:01
will the us invade venezuela by march 31 2026 255	375	$327.5K	199,354	171,162	+28,192	open	—	03-31 12:52
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	73	$306.1K	173,786	165,308	+8,478	open	—	04-08 20:45
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	216	$303.5K	187,945	191,078	-3,133	open	—	08-08 11:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	638	$295.4K	552,829	546,458	+6,372	open	—	04-22 13:30
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	568	$270.7K	1,497,266	614,638	+882,628	open	—	06-17 21:16
us strikes yemen by december 31	63	$262.4K	183,516	112,276	+71,240	open	—	01-03 16:54
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	517	$256.4K	293,852	133,816	+160,036	No	+$18,380	05-07 20:37
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	94	$243.3K	213,634	110,483	+103,151	open	—	04-16 00:42
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	633	$234.4K	280,499	165,492	+115,007	open	—	02-27 07:51
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	52	$232.7K	173,569	60,000	+113,569	open	—	01-03 13:21
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	625	$220.6K	330,624	329,244	+1,380	open	—	01-25 22:42
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	48	$214.1K	115,983	115,983	+0	open	—	07-15 07:34
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	299	$213.0K	180,746	183,511	-2,765	open	—	04-16 15:57
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	231	$209.8K	205,687	181,198	+24,489	open	—	08-10 14:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 14:38:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	43,571	93¢	$40,521	0xde72e1…
08-10 11:03:36	israel x hamas ceasefire cancelled by december 31	No	BUY	541	68¢	$368	0x919ebc…
08-10 06:27:39	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x5ae749…
08-10 01:19:36	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	175	92¢	$161	0xd869d1…
08-09 20:47:46	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	1,558	32¢	$499	0xeb8a65…
08-09 20:47:46	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	38	32¢	$12	0x56ccf9…
08-09 18:05:00	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	29,327	94¢	$27,567	0xa97418…
08-09 17:01:13	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	20,000	91¢	$18,200	0xe9227a…
08-09 14:17:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	1,635	20¢	$327	0xdf8efc…
08-09 14:13:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	1,409	20¢	$282	0x6c18f1…
08-09 14:13:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	110	20¢	$22	0x374af3…
08-09 14:13:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	19	20¢	$4	0x2819a2…
08-09 14:13:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x2ce0cf…
08-09 14:13:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	45	20¢	$9	0x7096e1…
08-09 14:13:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	45	20¢	$9	0x613426…
08-09 14:13:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	9,476	20¢	$1,895	0x343d4f…
08-09 13:31:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x0ae0c1…
08-09 13:27:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xf8c6d5…
08-09 12:47:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	45	20¢	$9	0x3a755a…
08-09 12:46:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	38	20¢	$8	0x897577…
08-09 12:40:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xe66827…
08-09 11:59:30	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	1,000	94¢	$940	0x1bcf79…
08-09 11:50:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x52bb4f…
08-09 11:24:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0xd5483a…
08-09 11:16:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	9,354	20¢	$1,871	0xe8f10f…
08-09 10:45:00	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xa1573d…
08-09 08:49:22	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x380c4d…
08-09 08:38:15	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	70	32¢	$22	0x2d8f9b…
08-09 08:03:31	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by september 30 145	No	BUY	1,979	95¢	$1,884	0x009473…
08-09 08:02:57	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by september 30 145	No	BUY	103	95¢	$98	0xa71790…
08-09 04:56:30	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$6	0x6f62ed…
08-09 03:19:18	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	4	94¢	$3	0x6d2a6f…
08-09 02:55:51	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	SELL	230	36¢	$82	0x37c0c3…
08-09 01:08:37	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xcd813a…
08-09 00:58:03	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	540	32¢	$173	0xabb848…
08-09 00:19:45	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$5	0x3552bf…
08-08 18:11:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	120	25¢	$30	0x8cd84a…
08-08 18:10:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0x51121c…
08-08 18:10:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$1	0xb32a11…
08-08 18:10:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	23	25¢	$6	0x6e9742…
08-08 18:10:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0xfb5a2a…
08-08 18:10:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	6,519	25¢	$1,630	0xea8016…
08-08 18:10:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0xc9bfee…
08-08 18:10:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x5a388a…
08-08 18:10:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	26	25¢	$7	0x35e59d…
08-08 18:10:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	26	25¢	$7	0x0e174b…
08-08 18:05:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0x0067fd…
08-08 16:52:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	57	25¢	$14	0x92ea72…
08-08 16:42:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x2ba51f…
08-08 16:31:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	55	25¢	$14	0x55c7e9…
08-08 16:12:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0x6fb2ca…
08-08 16:05:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	6,385	25¢	$1,596	0x4465b3…
08-08 15:06:33	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x08a72c…
08-08 12:24:15	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xbf6116…
08-08 11:50:34	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$5	0xd17273…
08-08 11:36:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	44,915	88¢	$39,525	0x9d6da6…
08-08 11:25:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x222fe2…
08-08 11:25:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	1,000	88¢	$880	0x1fc6a7…
08-08 11:25:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xda2bb7…
08-08 11:15:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	57	88¢	$50	0xe232ce…
08-08 10:54:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x0683fb…
08-08 10:37:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x59b211…
08-08 10:36:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	550	88¢	$484	0x6c186a…
08-08 10:34:55	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xb1bdb9…
08-08 10:33:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x5fb707…
08-08 10:30:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xda6116…
08-08 10:29:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x2c047d…
08-08 10:29:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	9,021	88¢	$7,938	0x5856ed…
08-08 06:23:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	813	90¢	$732	0x1d0e00…
08-08 05:28:28	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	2,413	90¢	$2,172	0x7f7566…
08-08 04:37:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	5,000	90¢	$4,500	0x2743db…
08-08 04:33:31	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	10,535	90¢	$9,482	0x0fe5f4…
08-08 04:29:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	1,238	90¢	$1,114	0xcb4760…
08-07 21:34:09	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	1,600	94¢	$1,504	0x7a42cd…
08-07 21:32:57	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x83581b…
08-07 21:16:39	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by september 30 145	No	BUY	95	95¢	$91	0xbfa1ca…
08-07 19:12:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	453	47¢	$213	0xd93870…
08-07 19:12:57	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	225	47¢	$106	0x6db62b…
08-07 18:12:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10,197	59¢	$6,016	0x07d9db…
08-07 17:55:21	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x1d1e83…
08-07 17:54:06	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	70	94¢	$66	0x6e7393…
08-07 17:36:48	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x7fc2ec…
08-07 07:44:52	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	1,193	94¢	$1,122	0x3a7905…
08-07 06:55:54	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0x3e3e7b…
08-06 21:03:38	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	38	87¢	$33	0xefeb73…
08-06 20:57:05	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	180	87¢	$157	0x925524…
08-06 20:16:08	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x40834a…
08-06 18:27:17	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	1,447	98¢	$1,419	0x7b0460…
08-06 17:00:33	foreign intervention in gaza by august 31	Yes	SELL	27	6¢	$2	0x62f4c1…
08-06 16:59:56	foreign intervention in gaza by august 31	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0xd00a2f…
08-06 16:59:54	foreign intervention in gaza by august 31	Yes	BUY	12	6¢	$1	0xd52a3c…
08-06 16:59:54	foreign intervention in gaza by august 31	Yes	SELL	285	6¢	$16	0x6ad6d7…
08-06 16:31:47	foreign intervention in gaza by august 31	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x9b97d0…
08-06 16:14:53	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	120	35¢	$42	0xdd5e5e…
08-06 14:51:08	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	444	87¢	$386	0x525167…
08-06 14:26:02	foreign intervention in gaza by august 31	Yes	BUY	31	6¢	$2	0xae634b…
08-06 11:58:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	55,555	83¢	$46,111	0x1166a1…
08-06 10:58:26	foreign intervention in gaza by september 30	Yes	BUY	198	19¢	$38	0x07bcc9…
08-06 10:48:42	foreign intervention in gaza by september 30	Yes	BUY	2,000	19¢	$380	0x672257…
08-06 10:10:18	foreign intervention in gaza by september 30	Yes	BUY	15	19¢	$3	0x22f656…