Illustrious-Spectacles 0xbaa2bc…b92c73
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$17.7K
Unrealized P&L
-$16.7K
Hit rate
91.8%
Resolved
5
Trades
32,428
lifetime
Volume
$22.4M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$692
Open exposure
$219.1K
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 14:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
83% 100% +$21,579
Other
16% 50% $-3,839
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 623 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +120,530 $103,747 74¢ $88.6K $-15,158 07-20 00:59
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +66,666 $58,999 90¢ $59.7K +$667 07-17 17:57
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +39,838 $31,777 88¢ $34.9K +$3,081 06-21 08:31
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +8,325 $6,227 84¢ $7.0K +$808 06-28 17:07
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +5,724 $4,821 76¢ $4.4K $-442 06-17 02:19
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +4,668 $4,005 85¢ $4.0K $-33 07-14 05:56
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No +4,170 $2,089 84¢ $3.5K +$1,392 06-30 13:46
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? No -3,453 $-3,417 92¢ $-3160 +$257 06-26 14:46
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -2,790 $-75 86¢ $-2413 $-2,338 07-05 18:56
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +16,689 $5,569 14¢ $2.3K $-3,316 06-18 17:08
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No -2,694 $-1,711 82¢ $-2223 $-512 07-12 00:42
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No +2,282 $1,925 94¢ $2.2K +$231 06-30 19:01
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +6,925 $2,837 18¢ $1.2K $-1,591 07-20 14:23
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31? No +908 $744 94¢ $858 +$113 06-29 06:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +2,719 $408 26¢ $720 +$313 07-11 18:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -1,525 $-274 46¢ $-694 $-419 05-30 14:15
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? No +698 $587 90¢ $632 +$45 06-27 17:54
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +720 $546 70¢ $508 $-38 07-20 08:35
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? Yes -2,382 $-420 8¢ $-191 +$229 06-26 17:56
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? Yes +659 $128 18¢ $115 $-13 07-03 23:09