Illustrious-Spectacles 0xbaa2bc…b92c73
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$17.7K
Unrealized P&L
-$63.0K
Hit rate
91.8%
Resolved
5
Trades
26,929
lifetime
Volume
$18.5M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$688
Open exposure
$246.4K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 20:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
82% 100% +$21,579
Other
18% 50% $-3,839
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 1524 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +259,108 $78,026 20¢ $51.8K $-26,205 06-09 05:42
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No -60,527 $-15,700 64¢ $-38435 $-22,734 05-30 02:00
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -40,785 $-32,404 90¢ $-36503 $-4,098 05-28 19:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +110,978 $24,988 32¢ $36.1K +$11,080 06-09 05:40
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +23,333 $21,077 94¢ $22.0K +$972 06-04 11:52
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +26,599 $20,592 82¢ $21.7K +$1,087 05-29 16:15
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +76,879 $15,948 12¢ $8.8K $-7,107 06-08 01:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +89,701 $23,107 10¢ $8.5K $-14,585 06-09 16:27
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -6,833 $-4,916 88¢ $-6047 $-1,131 05-29 15:00
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? No -4,986 $-4,185 95¢ $-4730 $-544 05-29 09:24
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +88,888 $4,300 4¢ $3.7K $-567 06-09 08:30
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? No +2,709 $2,558 94¢ $2.6K +$2 06-09 09:29
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No +3,196 $1,310 71¢ $2.3K +$959 05-31 17:41
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No -2,600 $-1,638 66¢ $-1729 $-91 05-29 17:12
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? Yes +4,489 $665 16¢ $741 +$76 06-05 14:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -1,525 $-274 24¢ $-358 $-84 05-30 14:15
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -208 $-125 62¢ $-130 $-5 06-01 04:07
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30? Yes +665 $64 13¢ $86 +$23 06-09 09:22
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? Yes +745 $104 9¢ $68 $-36 06-09 20:34