Realized P&L
-$4.47K
Unrealized P&L
+$21.7K
Hit rate
71.7%
Resolved
65
Trades
839
lifetime
Volume
$851.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.01K
Open exposure
$230.5K
13 positions
First seen
2026-04-12
last 10-29 16:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 24 days
Categories
Politics
74% 76% -$7,922
Other
26% 70% +$3,466
Crypto
0% 0% -$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +75,405 $55,722 79¢ $59.6K +$3,849 09-21 15:44
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +71,897 $46,473 68¢ $48.5K +$2,058 10-22 15:38
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -146,138 -$29,281 16¢ $-23528 +$5,752 09-15 16:38
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +29,333 $19,013 66¢ $19.5K +$494 10-29 16:11
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +22,831 $14,978 82¢ $18.8K +$3,858 05-24 21:00
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +18,915 $12,361 82¢ $15.6K +$3,235 05-06 05:30
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +12,375 $11,385 92¢ $11.4K +$62 10-21 23:49
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +14,226 $11,173 79¢ $11.2K +$65 10-29 14:12
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +15,579 $10,128 68¢ $10.5K +$388 10-21 14:25
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +7,229 $6,000 78¢ $5.7K -$325 10-29 14:12
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +2,844 $1,873 95¢ $2.7K +$837 05-04 06:31
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +2,714 $1,520 88¢ $2.4K +$882 05-04 19:55
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +1,033 $485 96¢ $986 +$501 05-04 06:31