Sympathetic-Assassination — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$140

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

11.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,969

lifetime

Volume

$63.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-21

last 08-05 18:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

66% 25% $-134

Other

31% 100% +$79

Sports

1% 0% $-85

Crypto

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	188	$9.8K	23,875	21,347	+2,528	open	—	04-30 12:41
will iran strike uae again in march	122	$5.7K	4,377	4,003	+374	open	—	04-06 01:19
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	89	$4.9K	27,674	27,758	-83	open	—	04-30 20:52
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	71	$4.6K	10,570	7,248	+3,322	open	—	04-22 01:53
will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	110	$4.2K	51,309	2,645	+48,664	open	—	04-15 12:22
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	72	$3.7K	6,557	2,441	+4,116	open	—	04-27 18:06
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	108	$3.1K	5,704	3,998	+1,706	open	—	04-11 02:21
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	40	$2.6K	7,917	7,236	+681	open	—	04-21 19:36
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	66	$2.3K	83,898	46,087	+37,811	open	—	04-09 22:28
trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	73	$2.1K	2,948	1,906	+1,041	open	—	04-07 22:48
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	34	$1.4K	9,035	8,088	+947	open	—	04-21 19:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	33	$1.2K	27,111	7,304	+19,807	open	—	05-18 03:40
netanyahu out by march 31 854	54	$1.0K	68,046	65,268	+2,778	open	—	03-30 23:13
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	10	$1.0K	705	705	+0	open	—	04-27 16:34
will iran strike oman again in march	25	$676	793	873	-80	open	—	04-05 00:08
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	22	$526	6,082	884	+5,198	open	—	05-14 02:13
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	49	$525	4,843	3,125	+1,719	open	—	04-25 02:09
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	15	$525	10,837	1,845	+8,992	open	—	05-01 22:00
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	9	$447	365	365	+0	open	—	04-22 00:02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	9	$428	737	737	+0	Yes	$-52	04-21 14:35
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	8	$416	682	616	+66	open	—	04-15 04:50
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	7	$410	460	166	+294	open	—	04-07 21:40
will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	29	$402	7,157	3,474	+3,684	open	—	04-04 00:09
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	27	$379	3,400	1,000	+2,400	open	—	04-19 11:14
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	14	$319	2,083	0	+2,083	open	—	04-19 10:55
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	3	$307	179	179	+0	open	—	05-14 02:00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	5	$290	1,200	0	+1,200	open	—	08-02 07:47
will trump talk to mark rutte in march 855	13	$289	1,523	453	+1,070	open	—	04-03 22:45
bitboy convicted	85	$288	9,396	7,454	+1,942	open	—	04-01 07:09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	9	$284	2,380	1,528	+852	open	—	05-14 01:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-05 18:49:47	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0x1750c3…
08-03 15:54:47	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	307	25¢	$77	0x6be9c3…
08-03 15:54:38	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	200	39¢	$78	0x9c8ca0…
08-03 15:54:17	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	SELL	145	100¢	$145	0x62cf3e…
08-03 08:15:53	will russia capture all of chasiv yar by september 30	Yes	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0xccc574…
08-03 02:16:35	will russia capture all of chasiv yar by september 30	Yes	BUY	99	35¢	$35	0x606d1c…
08-02 07:47:20	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	300	19¢	$57	0x1eb2dc…
08-01 17:31:38	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0xa1c62d…
08-01 16:37:39	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	45	64¢	$29	0xeceefb…
08-01 03:56:14	btc updown 5m 1785556500	Down	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x5c2bd5…
08-01 03:54:56	btc updown 5m 1785556200	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x26248a…
08-01 03:54:26	btc updown 5m 1785556200	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x3b89b4…
08-01 03:52:32	btc updown 5m 1785556200	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x0735b4…
07-31 18:45:15	GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	75	70¢	$52	0xc9e5f7…
07-30 19:54:48	grvt fdv above 250m one day after launch	No	BUY	30	61¢	$18	0xcab2ef…
07-30 18:54:36	GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	95	29¢	$28	0xd52345…
07-30 18:40:56	GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x7d9e87…
07-30 13:28:12	grvt fdv above 250m one day after launch	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xda3568…
07-30 03:14:24	mlb nyy cws 2026 07 29	Chicago White Sox	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0xa310ae…
07-30 03:13:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	50	79¢	$40	0xf7fe17…
07-28 21:04:46	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0x90e8c6…
07-28 20:52:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x734644…
07-28 20:51:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0xf2aba9…
07-28 19:18:59	Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?	Yes	SELL	30	39¢	$12	0x532850…
07-28 19:18:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	240	22¢	$53	0xbf5a05…
07-28 19:07:52	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	38¢	$37	0x1d30a0…
07-28 19:04:43	will ansem reach 0pt6 before 2027	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0xba2506…
07-22 03:39:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	200	46¢	$92	0x6ca20e…
07-22 03:38:54	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xa917ba…
07-21 23:08:49	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	290	2¢	$6	0xe6dfb2…
07-21 22:40:16	mlb lad phi 2026 07 21	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	200	49¢	$98	0x8e646f…
07-21 04:02:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	27¢	$135	0xc2a05d…
07-20 18:23:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0xc87504…
07-19 18:17:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	60	31¢	$19	0x2c0c30…
07-12 13:51:14	wnba nyl tor 2026 07 12 total 176pt5	Under	BUY	35	48¢	$17	0x59b195…
07-12 13:13:55	wnba nyl tor 2026 07 12 total 176pt5	Under	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0xd67628…
07-12 13:13:55	wnba nyl tor 2026 07 12 total 176pt5	Under	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0x4addc4…
07-12 13:09:26	wnba nyl tor 2026 07 12 total 176pt5	Under	BUY	71	50¢	$36	0x66add7…
07-05 15:00:28	Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	15¢	$6	0x437a00…
07-04 13:04:47	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	No	BUY	40	38¢	$15	0x8d6a81…
07-04 13:03:05	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	No	BUY	60	38¢	$23	0xa4dd44…
07-04 13:01:25	over 25m committed to the laso finance public sale 663 611 164	No	BUY	430	9¢	$39	0xabf1c3…
07-04 10:33:04	over 25m committed to the laso finance public sale 663 611 164	No	BUY	126	15¢	$19	0x4ce067…
07-04 01:53:50	over 25m committed to the laso finance public sale 663 611 164	No	BUY	70	9¢	$6	0x0a6cce…
06-17 05:11:26	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	300	10¢	$28	0x9c7433…
06-15 22:57:21	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x66c361…
06-15 19:40:30	nothing ever happens june 20260601234950501	Nothing	BUY	150	92¢	$138	0x23c6d1…
06-14 23:56:27	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Alex Pereira	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0xf2a750…
06-14 23:52:46	ufc kyl3 bon 2026 06 14	Kyle Daukaus	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x659fa7…
06-14 23:51:30	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x24f7a3…
06-14 23:50:43	Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?	No	SELL	170	8¢	$13	0xf42459…
06-13 16:20:51	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x9bc587…
06-13 14:42:31	ethereum above 1700 on june 13 2026	Yes	BUY	474	2¢	$8	0x3a631a…
06-13 14:34:13	ethereum above 1700 on june 13 2026	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x98fe58…
06-13 14:34:13	ethereum above 1700 on june 13 2026	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x24025f…
06-13 14:30:22	ethereum above 1700 on june 13 2026	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xa94521…
06-13 13:46:40	ethereum above 1700 on june 13 2026	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x593390…
06-13 07:31:42	Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,339	1¢	$13	0x372b13…
06-13 06:28:16	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	No	BUY	200	23¢	$46	0x334134…
06-13 06:27:58	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	19	37¢	$7	0x95136e…
06-13 06:14:43	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	55	11¢	$6	0x5ea3a8…
06-12 07:23:09	Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x31e023…
06-09 06:23:48	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0xb3c0eb…
06-09 06:10:57	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0xa7db14…
06-09 05:59:49	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	69¢	$8	0xb9f4f5…
06-09 05:51:27	israel closes its airspace by june 14	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xbf76da…
06-09 05:50:34	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	Yes	SELL	438	3¢	$12	0x165f67…
06-09 05:46:22	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0xb9c1e7…
06-09 05:43:51	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	Yes	SELL	562	3¢	$15	0x50814e…
06-08 21:57:19	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$16	0xb10549…
06-08 18:48:57	Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?	No	BUY	469	13¢	$61	0x787964…
06-08 18:40:12	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	No	SELL	42	64¢	$26	0xdcc2cd…
06-03 20:47:39	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	350	16¢	$56	0xef2b81…
05-18 03:40:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xc993ff…
05-15 03:01:29	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	40	28¢	$11	0x587b1f…
05-14 14:27:26	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	500	3¢	$17	0x0b9d44…
05-14 07:40:04	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	Yes	SELL	62	51¢	$32	0x3b103b…
05-14 02:13:33	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	2¢	$1	0x3ee863…
05-14 02:00:58	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	734	6¢	$44	0xfc8c66…
05-14 02:00:29	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	SELL	89	91¢	$81	0x75d236…
05-14 01:59:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x2aad3b…
05-14 01:59:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x672fcf…
05-14 01:59:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,941	2¢	$91	0xf9803f…
05-14 01:57:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	1¢	$10	0xc7cfa8…
05-14 01:55:59	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	Yes	BUY	156	50¢	$77	0x21a26e…
05-13 21:34:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$15	0x24c58a…
05-13 01:00:44	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	SELL	89	85¢	$76	0xfb16f3…
05-13 00:59:49	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	No	BUY	94	56¢	$52	0x93d47a…
05-13 00:50:28	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	1,000	12¢	$120	0x46e0ab…
05-12 13:04:52	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	157	8¢	$13	0x6dd9c0…
05-12 13:02:16	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	98	4¢	$4	0x321bcb…
05-12 09:28:02	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x08fbc1…
05-11 06:06:48	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	BUY	179	84¢	$150	0xccaf3e…
05-11 06:06:20	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?	No	SELL	204	75¢	$153	0xb7d0d1…
05-11 06:03:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	3,449	1¢	$24	0xa1139b…
05-10 23:27:30	Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	SELL	866	3¢	$25	0x6fe739…
05-10 21:42:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	217	5¢	$10	0x126fed…
05-10 21:42:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	761	5¢	$35	0xab5c25…
05-10 21:40:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	634	5¢	$29	0x63cbe0…
05-09 13:54:22	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?	No	SELL	25	67¢	$17	0x6233da…