Realized P&L
+$914
Unrealized P&L
+$73
Hit rate
82.8%
Resolved
104
Trades
853
lifetime
Volume
$93.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$110
Open exposure
$946
8 positions
First seen
2026-03-30
last 11-07 16:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 37 days
Categories
Politics
53% 86% +$48
Other
40% 98% +$862
Crypto
4% 60% -$37
Sports
2% 67% -$1
Tech
0% 100% +$42
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +216 $205 99¢ $213 +$8 08-30 21:47
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +200 $190 98¢ $197 +$7 07-22 01:09
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +200 $180 98¢ $197 +$17 10-13 05:15
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +200 $190 97¢ $195 +$5 08-17 08:17
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? No +100 $93 99¢ $99 +$6 10-29 08:45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +50 $20 92¢ $46 +$26 08-11 07:45
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No +0 -$3 99¢ $0 +$4 06-11 20:50
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 +$0 06-11 12:57