(anonymous) 0x9d4a9f…c85887
3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$366
Unrealized P&L
+$529
Hit rate
87.0%
Resolved
9
Trades
248
lifetime
Volume
$20.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$83
Open exposure
$8.54K
22 positions
First seen
2026-07-19
last 10-20 21:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
60% 83% -$38
Other
39% 33% -$328
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +1,987 $1,891 98¢ $1.9K +$47 09-13 08:30
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +940 $700 86¢ $804 +$104 08-10 22:16
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +800 $513 66¢ $532 +$19 10-14 04:04
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +543 $526 97¢ $526 +$0 10-08 20:05
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +500 $481 97¢ $485 +$4 10-16 06:50
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +531 $465 88¢ $466 +$1 09-14 20:09
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +3,000 $447 15¢ $439 -$8 09-22 13:57
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +635 $414 64¢ $410 -$5 10-14 02:49
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +440 $400 92¢ $406 +$6 07-30 10:13
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +441 $300 92¢ $404 +$104 07-25 16:51
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +400 $352 94¢ $378 +$26 07-23 12:25
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +439 $290 74¢ $323 +$33 10-11 06:10
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +314 $301 97¢ $304 +$3 10-15 23:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +275 $250 100¢ $274 +$24 09-07 09:58
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +243 $212 98¢ $239 +$27 10-20 21:51
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +200 $189 97¢ $194 +$5 07-23 17:58
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +175 $140 72¢ $125 -$15 09-12 09:06
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +115 $100 92¢ $105 +$5 09-10 08:46
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +100 $93 96¢ $96 +$3 09-03 12:38
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? No +100 $96 95¢ $95 -$1 10-06 16:31
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +0 -$10 97¢ $0 +$10 08-30 23:27
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +0 -$137 94¢ $0 +$137 10-14 20:37