Realized P&L
+$14
Unrealized P&L
+$25
Hit rate
81.8%
Resolved
8
Trades
3,206
lifetime
Volume
$276.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$86
Open exposure
$2.81K
18 positions
First seen
2026-02-22
last 07-21 17:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
51% 67% +$9
Other
46% 100% +$5
Crypto
1%
Sports
1%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 206 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? No +500 $484 97¢ $486 +$2 07-20 22:53
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +396 $342 86¢ $338 $-4 07-21 17:44
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +348 $342 97¢ $337 $-6 07-20 15:44
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +300 $287 96¢ $287 +$1 07-20 18:44
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? No +267 $253 96¢ $257 +$4 07-18 00:12
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December? No +227 $218 97¢ $220 +$2 07-13 10:01
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +200 $184 94¢ $189 +$5 07-17 17:03
Trump out as President before 2027? No +200 $184 92¢ $185 +$1 07-18 21:37
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -187 $-184 90¢ $-168 +$17 07-19 02:47
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? No -133 $-131 99¢ $-132 $-1 06-01 18:47
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +100 $91 92¢ $92 +$0 07-19 08:46
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? No -63 $-61 98¢ $-62 $-1 06-04 14:19
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -50 $-46 94¢ $-47 $-0 06-13 08:11
Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau? Yes -20 $-17 64¢ $-13 +$4 06-04 17:22
Brie Larson as Captain Marvel? Yes -0 $-0 66¢ $-0 $-0 05-31 17:23
Will Atalanta qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League? No -4 $-0 $-0 +$0 07-20 01:14
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No +0 $-0 98¢ $0 +$0 07-06 18:04
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 +$0 07-15 16:50