Realized P&L
+$14
Unrealized P&L
+$84
Hit rate
81.8%
Resolved
8
Trades
2,557
lifetime
Volume
$241.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$95
Open exposure
$2.50K
12 positions
First seen
2026-02-22
last 06-30 19:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
55% 67% +$9
Other
43% 100% +$5
Tech
1%
Crypto
1%
Sports
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 206 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,000 $998 100¢ $999 +$1 06-30 19:06
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -400 $-381 96¢ $-385 $-4 06-11 21:27
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? No +400 $381 95¢ $380 $-1 07-01 10:07
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026? No +300 $290 97¢ $292 +$2 06-27 07:34
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No +200 $195 98¢ $195 $-0 06-30 16:39
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? No -133 $-131 99¢ $-131 $-1 06-01 18:47
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? No -63 $-61 98¢ $-62 $-1 06-04 14:19
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -50 $-46 94¢ $-47 $-0 06-13 08:11
Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau? Yes -20 $-17 62¢ $-12 +$4 06-04 17:22
Brie Larson as Captain Marvel? Yes -0 $-0 59¢ $-0 +$0 05-31 17:23
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +0 $-1 96¢ $0 +$1 06-08 00:20
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +0 $-82 95¢ $0 +$82 06-30 14:23