Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$122

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

43.6%

Resolved

Trades

116

lifetime

Volume

$992

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$83

10 positions

First seen

2026-05-31

last 10-25 00:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Other

54% 21% -$29

Sports

21% 22% -$48

Politics

14% 50% +$3

Crypto

11% 10% -$49

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+133	$20	12¢	$17	-$3	09-11 01:42
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+556	$10	3¢	$16	+$6	07-24 21:36
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+96	$5	12¢	$12	+$7	06-10 09:46
Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+1,385	$18	1¢	$9	-$9	08-11 19:34
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+63	$10	12¢	$8	-$2	06-17 20:37
Will Como win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+500	$5	1¢	$6	+$1	09-11 01:41
AI bubble burst in 2026?	Yes	+47	$5	9¢	$4	-$1	09-24 19:11
US recession by end of 2026?	Yes	+56	$5	7¢	$4	-$1	08-12 19:50
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	+277	$5	1¢	$4	-$1	09-24 19:10
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+83	$5	4¢	$3	-$2	09-15 20:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?	3	$41	141	111	+30	No	+$21	07-24 02:55
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?	2	$38	43	43	+0	Yes	+$28	09-09 19:59
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?	2	$34	56	56	+0	Yes	+$14	06-14 04:38
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$33	28	28	+0	Yes	+$13	06-12 23:49
Will England win on 2026-06-23?	2	$31	50	50	+0	No	+$11	06-23 21:21
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?	2	$28	169	169	+0	open	—	09-09 19:59
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?	2	$23	18	18	+0	Yes	+$13	06-15 01:10
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$21	571	320	+251	No	+$5	06-30 06:11
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	2	$20	42	22	+20	No	+$0	07-01 20:26
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	1	$20	133	0	+133	open	—	09-11 01:42
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$20	870	0	+870	No	-$20	07-07 09:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	1	$20	39	0	+39	Down	-$20	08-13 19:41
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	1	$20	95	0	+95	Yes	+$75	07-04 20:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$20	15	15	+0	Down	+$10	09-09 20:05
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	2	$20	16	16	+0	open	—	06-14 04:51
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	2	$20	42	23	+19	No	$0	07-11 21:39
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$18	352	352	+0	No	-$2	07-05 22:43
Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	1	$18	1,385	0	+1,385	open	—	08-11 19:34
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	2	$18	234	234	+0	open	—	08-11 19:28
Trump out as President by June 30?	2	$17	815	815	+0	No	-$3	06-13 05:03
will a us iran deal in 2026 include surrender of iranian enriched uranium 20260623023201640	2	$17	77	77	+0	open	—	07-13 23:43
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	2	$17	111	111	+0	open	—	09-09 19:58
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?	2	$16	28	28	+0	No	+$6	06-13 22:30
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$16	37	37	+0	open	—	06-12 20:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$16	13	13	+0	Yes	+$6	06-14 22:05
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$15	10,000	0	+10,000	No	-$15	07-01 19:39
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?	1	$10	143	0	+143	No	-$10	06-30 08:49
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$10	115	0	+115	No	-$10	05-31 08:58
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?	1	$10	455	0	+455	No	-$10	06-12 22:18
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?	1	$10	59	0	+59	No	-$10	06-27 00:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 00:45:18	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	16	25¢	$4	0x44b677…
10-12 21:13:20	Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	SELL	185	2¢	$4	0x86fc3e…
09-24 19:14:00	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.5% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xae99c0…
09-24 19:11:27	AI bubble burst in 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	11¢	$5	0xf3926e…
09-24 19:10:20	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	277	2¢	$5	0x325184…
09-23 19:42:20	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xe8c9e5…
09-23 19:39:40	Will Turks and Caicos Islands vs. Montserrat end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x188648…
09-23 19:36:55	Will Bahamas win on 2026-09-23?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xc242fa…
09-23 19:35:53	Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x79bc87…
09-17 19:40:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 19:40 UTC	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x5c165a…
09-17 19:40:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 19:35 UTC	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x642faa…
09-17 19:01:09	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x4f276d…
09-17 19:00:33	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x0a72b3…
09-17 19:00:24	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	152	2¢	$3	0x5a2805…
09-15 20:29:45	Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x524e81…
09-12 20:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	19	17¢	$3	0x5d8858…
09-12 19:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x243ac5…
09-11 01:42:04	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0xf69ceb…
09-11 01:41:51	Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	185	3¢	$5	0x49cfac…
09-11 01:41:36	Will Como win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xea67d4…
09-10 19:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x5cd836…
09-10 19:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xbb7330…
09-09 20:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xc5d07d…
09-09 20:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x75e879…
09-09 19:59:30	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	43	78¢	$33	0x1bdd06…
09-09 19:59:04	Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	169	5¢	$8	0x06401a…
09-09 19:58:30	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	111	6¢	$7	0x9e787c…
08-13 19:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xe27f89…
08-13 19:39:58	Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	169	12¢	$20	0xb3fc41…
08-12 19:52:43	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x847262…
08-12 19:50:18	US recession by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xb376b1…
08-12 19:47:52	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	43	12¢	$5	0x22c90e…
08-12 19:47:43	Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	269	2¢	$5	0xa5aa21…
08-12 19:46:18	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	152	3¢	$5	0x4ba33c…
08-11 19:34:09	Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	1,385	1¢	$18	0xeb662a…
08-11 19:29:01	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	116	4¢	$4	0xb6af6f…
08-11 19:28:54	Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	234	3¢	$8	0xfd109e…
08-04 21:06:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 21:05 UTC	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x5d5226…
07-24 21:36:33	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	556	2¢	$10	0x822659…
07-24 02:55:39	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	38	41¢	$15	0x4d2312…
07-23 09:49:57	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	73	21¢	$15	0x07995f…
07-17 21:23:39	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 spread away 2pt5	Argentina	BUY	391	2¢	$9	0xde4d92…
07-15 19:46:07	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	141	7¢	$10	0x93ad4b…
07-13 23:45:43	Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	234	4¢	$10	0x3a9ba2…
07-13 23:44:46	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	BUY	116	4¢	$5	0x9c0861…
07-13 23:43:19	will a us iran deal in 2026 include surrender of iranian enriched uranium 20260623023201640	Yes	SELL	77	9¢	$7	0xe0d3cb…
07-11 21:39:41	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	SELL	23	42¢	$10	0x1520aa…
07-11 20:45:05	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	172	6¢	$10	0x714e05…
07-09 22:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x826754…
07-08 21:55:56	will a us iran deal in 2026 include surrender of iranian enriched uranium 20260623023201640	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x0e28f4…
07-08 21:51:52	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x607e9f…
07-07 09:17:56	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	870	2¢	$20	0x8cb4bb…
07-06 19:45:17	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xeb5de9…
07-06 19:44:56	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xe79701…
07-06 04:46:59	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x4df045…
07-05 22:43:46	Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	352	2¢	$8	0xcb3333…
07-05 08:43:37	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 spread home 2pt5	Mexico	BUY	194	4¢	$7	0x9586d9…
07-04 20:46:35	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0xeddc8b…
07-03 19:26:37	Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x822b3b…
07-01 20:26:31	Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	SELL	22	47¢	$10	0xda97a6…
07-01 19:39:32	Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xa12cd6…
07-01 19:37:17	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	115	4¢	$5	0x3ec9a0…
07-01 19:31:52	Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x31b6e4…
07-01 19:26:58	Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x6423a7…
06-30 08:49:52	Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xc24434…
06-30 06:11:01	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	320	4¢	$13	0x5fc0d0…
06-28 20:21:52	Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xb69011…
06-28 20:19:19	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x22b017…
06-28 02:57:55	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	571	1¢	$8	0xf43c52…
06-27 00:09:20	Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xc20a8e…
06-26 20:23:50	Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xd92096…
06-25 23:23:40	Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x6b8ebf…
06-25 19:54:56	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	40	22¢	$9	0xa6240a…
06-24 18:48:19	Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x76b94e…
06-23 23:37:47	Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	714	0¢	$1	0x2736b1…
06-23 21:53:04	Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xec44ad…
06-23 21:21:53	Will England win on 2026-06-23?	No	SELL	50	42¢	$21	0xe34873…
06-20 06:37:40	Will England win on 2026-06-23?	No	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x9391fe…
06-18 19:34:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	28	14¢	$4	0x460bdc…
06-18 09:43:23	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xcbced6…
06-18 09:42:49	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	263	4¢	$10	0x3202e2…
06-18 09:11:02	Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x73950a…
06-17 20:37:11	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	63	16¢	$10	0xba3429…
06-16 18:54:34	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xad3415…
06-15 20:03:36	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0xf81594…
06-15 07:00:09	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x432a8c…
06-15 04:28:37	Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	75	8¢	$6	0x111933…
06-15 01:49:15	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0x4b2f0e…
06-15 01:10:36	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x7c3875…
06-14 22:07:09	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xcfb023…
06-14 22:05:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	85¢	$11	0x46382f…
06-14 06:08:18	Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x022a9b…
06-14 04:51:57	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	16	60¢	$10	0xf997cb…
06-14 04:38:30	Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	SELL	56	43¢	$24	0x3cf12c…
06-13 22:30:24	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	SELL	28	41¢	$11	0x6eaa08…
06-13 20:42:34	Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x14b0a5…
06-13 05:05:01	Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	77	6¢	$5	0x1e621f…
06-13 05:03:33	Trump out as President by June 30?	Yes	SELL	815	1¢	$7	0x93c430…
06-12 23:49:52	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	28	81¢	$23	0x9bcac8…
06-12 22:18:49	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	455	2¢	$10	0xbd9ab9…