Realized P&L
+$108
Unrealized P&L
+$162
Hit rate
88.1%
Resolved
6
Trades
10,442
lifetime
Volume
$4.11M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$394
Open exposure
$11.5K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-18 18:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
72% 67% +$60
Other
27% 67% +$48
Crypto
1%
Tech
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 104 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +2,670 $2,300 92¢ $2.4K +$143 07-09 18:59
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +2,000 $1,840 96¢ $1.9K +$70 07-18 18:36
Trump out as President before 2027? No +2,000 $1,780 92¢ $1.8K +$70 06-18 21:21
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,000 $1,485 70¢ $1.4K $-75 07-16 17:06
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -1,000 $-950 96¢ $-964 $-14 06-10 04:42
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -1,000 $-939 95¢ $-954 $-15 06-03 14:26
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -1,000 $-984 95¢ $-949 +$34 07-14 08:14
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -500 $-450 94¢ $-467 $-17 06-11 19:15
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -321 $-306 97¢ $-311 $-5 06-06 08:55
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +196 $142 78¢ $154 +$12 06-17 04:23
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -500 $-91 26¢ $-132 $-41 06-15 19:28