Notable-Tin 0xc31516…5afe18
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$108
Unrealized P&L
+$246
Hit rate
88.1%
Resolved
6
Trades
10,352
lifetime
Volume
$4.08M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$394
Open exposure
$9.34K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-01 21:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
72% 67% +$60
Other
27% 67% +$48
Crypto
1% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 104 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +2,500 $2,135 88¢ $2.2K +$78 06-30 07:27
Trump out as President before 2027? No +2,000 $1,780 94¢ $1.9K +$90 06-18 21:21
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -1,000 $-950 97¢ $-975 $-25 06-10 04:42
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -1,000 $-939 96¢ $-958 $-19 06-03 14:26
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +1,000 $918 95¢ $948 +$30 06-14 09:32
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $910 94¢ $945 +$35 06-11 05:05
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -500 $-450 94¢ $-472 $-22 06-11 19:15
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -500 $-550 86¢ $-433 +$117 06-27 21:51
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -321 $-306 96¢ $-307 $-1 06-06 08:55
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +196 $142 75¢ $147 +$5 06-17 04:23
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -500 $-91 16¢ $-77 +$14 06-15 19:28
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +50 $55 1¢ $0 $-55 06-28 23:10